Yes, Standard have taken 30 points over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 3.10 more than the 26.90 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Standard create 1.61 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 32.18 in all, and have scored 31 goals from those chances, 1.18 fewer than that xG would expect.
Standard allow 1.64 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 32.83 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 7.83 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Dennis Eckert Ayensa has the most expected goals (xG) for Standard over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 5.17 xG in 18 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Casper Nielsen is next with 4.08 xG.
Standard have taken 3.1 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: -1.2 goals against their xG, and +7.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 32.18 | 31 | -1.18 | 32.83 | 25 | +7.83 | 26.90 | 30 | +3.10 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.59 | 15 | -2.59 | 16.02 | 16 | +0.02 | 14.34 | 14 | -0.34 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.84 | 6 | -2.84 | 7.40 | 8 | -0.60 | 7.43 | 6 | -1.43 |
| Home | 10 | 15.27 | 9 | -6.27 | 16.94 | 10 | +6.94 | 12.33 | 12 | -0.33 |
| Away | 10 | 16.91 | 22 | +5.09 | 15.89 | 15 | +0.89 | 14.57 | 18 | +3.43 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (H) | 0-1 | 1.32 | 1.75 | 1.10 | 0 | L |
| 18 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Gent (A) | 2-1 | 1.26 | 1.17 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (A) | 4-2 | 1.51 | 1.38 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (H) | 1-0 | 3.52 | 1.12 | 2.52 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (A) | 1-2 | 1.23 | 1.98 | 0.92 | 3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Belgian Pro League | La Louvière (H) | 2-0 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (A) | 3-3 | 1.77 | 2.60 | 0.96 | 1 | L |
| 8 Aug | Belgian Pro League | C Brugge (H) | 2-2 | 2.61 | 1.37 | 2.09 | 1 | W |
| 23 May | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (H) | 0-2 | 0.58 | 1.78 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 19 May | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (A) | 1-2 | 2.44 | 1.51 | 1.93 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Belgian Pro League | Genk (H) | 0-0 | 0.96 | 1.80 | 0.83 | 1 | L |
| 8 May | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (H) | 2-1 | 1.45 | 1.31 | 1.47 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (A) | 0-5 | 2.61 | 1.47 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Genk (A) | 1-1 | 0.86 | 2.65 | 0.44 | 1 | L |
| 21 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (H) | 1-2 | 2.00 | 2.05 | 1.37 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (A) | 1-2 | 0.77 | 1.62 | 0.78 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (H) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 2.19 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (A) | 1-3 | 2.30 | 0.76 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (H) | 0-0 | 0.60 | 2.21 | 0.42 | 1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (A) | 1-1 | 2.16 | 0.75 | 2.28 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Mohr | midfielder | 16 | 348 | 0.79 | 2 | +1.21 | 0.20 |
| Salieu Drammeh | attacker | 7 | 278 | 0.87 | 2 | +1.13 | 0.28 |
| Casper Nielsen | midfielder | 18 | 1467 | 4.08 | 5 | +0.92 | 0.25 |
| Timothé Nkada | attacker | 12 | 561 | 2.14 | 3 | +0.86 | 0.34 |
| Dennis Eckert Ayensa | attacker | 18 | 986 | 5.17 | 6 | +0.83 | 0.47 |
| Bruny Nsimba | attacker | 6 | 99 | 0.44 | 1 | +0.56 | 0.40 |
| Adnane Abid | attacker | 20 | 1594 | 2.84 | 3 | +0.16 | 0.16 |
| David Bates | defender | 11 | 979 | 0.99 | 1 | +0.01 | 0.09 |
| Henry Lawrence | defender | 16 | 1144 | 1.23 | 1 | -0.23 | 0.10 |
| Rafiki Saïd | attacker | 12 | 903 | 3.56 | 3 | -0.56 | 0.35 |
| Marlon Fossey | defender | 13 | 914 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.07 |
| Ibe Hautekiet | defender | 20 | 1800 | 0.81 | 0 | -0.81 | 0.04 |
| Marco Ilaimaharitra | midfielder | 10 | 641 | 0.87 | 0 | -0.87 | 0.12 |
| Rayan Touzghar | midfielder | 8 | 555 | 0.89 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.14 |
| Ibrahim Karamoko | defender | 19 | 1493 | 0.97 | 0 | -0.97 | 0.06 |
| Bernard Nguene | attacker | 19 | 723 | 3.58 | 2 | -1.58 | 0.45 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.6 | 4 | 14.8 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 16.3 | 16 | 8.3 | 7 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Club Brugge | 8 | 22.6 | 19 | 9.7 | 4 | 16.7 | 21 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 8 | 8.8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SK Beveren | 8 | 8.4 | 8 | 15.8 | 14 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 8 | 13.3 | 20 | 13.9 | 17 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 8 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.2 | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 9 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11.4 | 9 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 11 | 12 | 18.8 | 20 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 11 | Genk | 8 | 14.3 | 16 | 10.2 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liège | 8 | 14.6 | 13 | 12.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Mechelen | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 8 | 10.2 | 8 | 18.1 | 18 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 10.5 | 6 | 17.1 | 14 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| 16 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 8.1 | 2 | 15.3 | 18 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| 17 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | 15.8 | 15 | 12.7 | 16 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 11.8 | 9 | 12.4 | 16 | 10.5 | 3 | -7.5 |