Winterthur xG 2025/2026

Winterthur xG Questions

Are Winterthur overperforming their xG this season?

No, Winterthur have taken 23 points over 38 Super League games in 2025/2026, 11.37 fewer than the 34.37 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Winterthur's xG per game this season?

Winterthur create 1.29 expected goals (xG) per game over 38 Super League games in 2025/2026, 48.94 in all, and have scored 44 goals from those chances, 4.94 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Winterthur's xGA per game this season?

Winterthur allow 2.23 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 38 Super League games in 2025/2026, 84.58 in all, and have conceded 100 goals from those chances, 15.42 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Winterthur this season?

Andrin Hunziker has the most expected goals (xG) for Winterthur over 38 Super League games in 2025/2026, 13.21 xG in 36 appearances, and has scored 12 goals; Théo Golliard is next with 4.22 xG.

Winterthur expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 38
Expected goals (xG): 48.94
Goals scored: 44
Goals minus xG: -4.94
Expected goals against (xGA): 84.58
Goals conceded: 100
xGA minus goals conceded: -15.42
Expected points (xPts): 34.37
Points: 23
Points minus xPts: -11.37
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Winterthur overperforming their expected goals?

Winterthur have taken 11.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 38 games: -4.9 goals against their xG, and -15.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Winterthur results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	38	48.94	44	-4.94	84.58	100	-15.42	34.37	23	-11.37
Last 10	10	14.51	13	-1.51	21.19	22	-0.81	10.58	8	-2.58
Last 5	5	6.16	9	+2.84	11.36	14	-2.64	4.55	4	-0.55
Home	19	28.01	23	-5.01	37.18	43	-5.82	20.71	14	-6.71
Away	19	20.93	21	+0.07	47.40	57	-9.60	13.66	9	-4.66

Winterthur expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
16 May	Super League	Luzern (H)	0-3	0.74	2.47	0.43	0	L
12 May	Super League	Grasshopper (A)	3-2	1.61	1.81	1.26	0	L
9 May	Super League	Lausanne (H)	2-1	1.47	1.26	1.52	3	W
2 May	Super League	Zürich (H)	2-2	1.89	2.20	1.22	1	L
26 Apr	Super League	Servette (A)	5-3	0.45	3.62	0.12	0	L
11 Apr	Super League	Grasshopper (H)	0-2	0.94	1.73	0.85	0	L
4 Apr	Super League	Lausanne (A)	2-1	1.82	1.79	1.41	0	W
22 Mar	Super League	Basel (H)	0-2	3.12	0.87	2.54	0	W
15 Mar	Super League	Luzern (A)	1-2	1.46	3.04	0.62	3	L
7 Mar	Super League	Sion (A)	1-1	1.01	2.40	0.61	1	L
3 Mar	Super League	Servette (H)	1-1	1.34	1.59	1.21	1	L
28 Feb	Super League	St. Gallen (A)	2-1	0.90	3.89	0.21	0	L
25 Feb	Super League	Thun (H)	0-3	0.63	1.68	0.64	0	L
18 Feb	Super League	St. Gallen (H)	1-5	1.97	3.21	0.81	0	L
14 Feb	Super League	Young Boys (A)	6-1	1.11	2.38	0.67	0	L
11 Feb	Super League	Zürich (A)	3-0	1.70	2.15	1.13	0	L
7 Feb	Super League	Lugano (H)	1-1	1.09	2.37	0.66	1	L
31 Jan	Super League	Lausanne (H)	2-1	2.04	0.98	2.06	3	W
24 Jan	Super League	Lugano (A)	4-1	1.61	1.66	1.35	0	L
14 Jan	Super League	Sion (A)	2-0	1.07	1.42	1.12	0	L
16 Dec	Super League	Thun (H)	1-4	0.49	2.49	0.30	0	L
13 Dec	Super League	Zürich (A)	2-2	1.54	2.18	1.02	1	L
7 Dec	Super League	Basel (H)	1-2	4.30	3.61	1.62	0	W
29 Nov	Super League	Luzern (A)	1-3	0.68	2.14	0.50	3	L
22 Nov	Super League	Young Boys (A)	5-0	0.09	2.55	0.11	0	L
8 Nov	Super League	Grasshopper (H)	0-1	1.26	0.96	1.58	0	W
1 Nov	Super League	Servette (H)	4-2	0.95	1.94	0.75	3	L
28 Oct	Super League	Thun (A)	3-0	1.08	3.36	0.36	0	L
25 Oct	Super League	Luzern (H)	2-2	1.12	1.68	1.00	1	L
18 Oct	Super League	Basel (A)	3-0	0.54	3.86	0.11	0	L

Winterthur players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Nishan Burkart	attacker	22	1141	2.97	5	+2.03	0.23
Pajtim Kasami	midfielder	24	1468	3.12	5	+1.88	0.19
Christian Gomis	attacker	5	442	0.84	2	+1.16	0.17
Tibault Citherlet	defender	18	1188	0.26	1	+0.74	0.02
Souleymane Diaby	defender	22	1473	0.40	1	+0.60	0.02
Alexandre Jankewitz	midfielder	32	2171	1.46	2	+0.54	0.06
Brian Beyer	attacker	14	475	0.87	1	+0.13	0.17
Remo Arnold	defender	30	2291	0.89	1	+0.11	0.03
Roman Buess	attacker	24	919	2.90	3	+0.10	0.28
Luca Zuffi	midfielder	28	2115	0.97	1	+0.03	0.04
Théo Golliard	midfielder	35	2146	4.22	4	-0.22	0.18
Elias Maluvunu	midfielder	28	925	3.31	3	-0.31	0.32
Randy Schneider	midfielder	31	1872	2.37	2	-0.37	0.11
Silvan Sidler	defender	28	2054	1.40	1	-0.40	0.06
Francis Momoh	attacker	11	226	0.52	0	-0.52	0.21
Loïc Lüthi	defender	10	836	0.57	0	-0.57	0.06
Fabian Rohner	midfielder	17	1102	0.64	0	-0.64	0.05
Adrian Durrer	midfielder	18	1431	1.20	0	-1.20	0.08
Andrin Hunziker	attacker	36	2536	13.21	12	-1.21	0.47
Bafode Dansoko	attacker	21	1300	2.87	1	-1.87	0.20

Super League 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Thun	38	70.3	80	65.7	52	56.9	75	+18.1
2	Lugano	37	56.7	58	53.9	39	52.2	67	+14.8
3	St. Gallen	37	70.6	69	57.2	46	59	67	+8
4	Sion	38	65.1	63	52	40	59.8	63	+3.2
5	Basel	38	68.8	55	62.9	58	57.6	56	-1.6
6	Young Boys	38	71.8	80	63.1	69	56.6	55	-1.6
7	Luzern	38	66.3	76	59.7	66	57.1	53	-4.1
8	Zürich	38	53.8	49	66.6	72	44.2	38	-6.2
9	Grasshopper	38	46.6	48	67.5	74	40.7	33	-7.7
10	Servette	38	61.2	71	46.1	63	61.8	53	-8.8
11	Lausanne Sport	38	57.4	53	58.3	67	51	42	-9
12	Winterthur	38	48.9	44	84.6	100	34.4	23	-11.4