No, Basel have taken 13 points over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, within 1.20 of the 11.80 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Basel create 1.27 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, 12.68 in all, and have scored 17 goals from those chances, 4.32 more than that xG would expect.
Basel allow 1.64 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, 16.36 in all, and have conceded 20 goals from those chances, 3.64 more than that xGA would expect.
Žan Celar has the most expected goals (xG) for Basel over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, 3.59 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Asane Sow is next with 1.99 xG.
Basel's results and their chances agree, within 1.2 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 12.68 | 17 | +4.32 | 16.36 | 20 | -3.64 | 11.80 | 13 | +1.20 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.94 | 7 | +2.06 | 10.05 | 13 | -2.95 | 3.85 | 3 | -0.85 |
| Home | 5 | 5.28 | 7 | +1.72 | 7.42 | 11 | -3.58 | 5.67 | 3 | -2.67 |
| Away | 5 | 7.40 | 10 | +2.60 | 8.94 | 9 | -0.06 | 6.13 | 10 | +3.87 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Super League | Vaduz (A) | 3-0 | 0.98 | 2.62 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Super League | St. Gallen (H) | 1-3 | 1.45 | 1.85 | 1.14 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Super League | Luzern (A) | 2-4 | 1.31 | 1.54 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 6 Sep | Super League | Lugano (H) | 1-3 | 0.45 | 1.74 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 3 Sep | Super League | Sion (H) | 1-2 | 0.75 | 2.30 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Super League | Young Boys (A) | 3-3 | 1.32 | 2.11 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Super League | Zürich (A) | 1-2 | 1.79 | 1.48 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Super League | Thun (H) | 4-2 | 1.23 | 1.02 | 1.51 | 3 | W |
| 1 Aug | Super League | Lausanne (H) | 0-1 | 1.40 | 0.51 | 2.04 | 0 | W |
| 25 Jul | Super League | Servette (A) | 0-1 | 2.00 | 1.19 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žan Celar | attacker | 10 | 857 | 3.59 | 6 | +2.41 | 0.38 |
| Xherdan Shaqiri | midfielder | 10 | 626 | 1.01 | 3 | +1.99 | 0.14 |
| Asane Sow | attacker | 7 | 569 | 1.99 | 3 | +1.01 | 0.31 |
| Akpe Victory | defender | 10 | 815 | 0.22 | 1 | +0.78 | 0.02 |
| Kazeem Olaigbe | attacker | 10 | 650 | 1.25 | 2 | +0.75 | 0.17 |
| Metinho | midfielder | 9 | 743 | 0.53 | 1 | +0.47 | 0.06 |
| Philip Otele | attacker | 9 | 460 | 1.57 | 1 | -0.57 | 0.31 |
| Flavius Daniliuc | defender | 10 | 900 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.06 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 18.1 | 31 | 13.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 28 | +11.4 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 10 | 25.1 | 33 | 14.4 | 18 | 19.2 | 22 | +2.8 |
| 3 | Sion | 10 | 22 | 23 | 16.8 | 17 | 16.8 | 19 | +2.2 |
| 4 | Zürich | 10 | 15.4 | 18 | 19.5 | 22 | 12 | 14 | +2 |
| 5 | Basel | 10 | 12.7 | 17 | 16.4 | 20 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| 6 | St. Gallen | 10 | 20.2 | 17 | 14.8 | 19 | 16.9 | 16 | -0.9 |
| 7 | Luzern | 10 | 19.2 | 17 | 21.4 | 22 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 8 | Thun | 10 | 15.7 | 17 | 21.9 | 27 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| 9 | Servette | 10 | 16.4 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14.4 | 13 | -1.4 |
| 10 | Lausanne Sport | 10 | 9.4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| 11 | Grasshopper | 10 | 18.1 | 13 | 22.1 | 26 | 11.8 | 8 | -3.8 |
| 12 | Vaduz | 10 | 18.9 | 21 | 17.9 | 21 | 14.7 | 9 | -5.7 |