Yes, Lugano have taken 31 points over 11 Super League games in 2026/2027, 13.19 more than the 17.81 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Lugano create 1.83 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Super League games in 2026/2027, 20.11 in all, and have scored 34 goals from those chances, 13.89 more than that xG would expect.
Lugano allow 1.49 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Super League games in 2026/2027, 16.35 in all, and have conceded 9 goals from those chances, 7.35 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Dereck Moncada has the most expected goals (xG) for Lugano over 11 Super League games in 2026/2027, 2.98 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Kevin Behrens is next with 2.65 xG.
Lugano have taken 13.2 points more than their chances warranted over 11 games: +13.9 goals against their xG, and +7.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 20.11 | 34 | +13.89 | 16.35 | 9 | +7.35 | 17.81 | 31 | +13.19 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.90 | 32 | +14.10 | 15.30 | 8 | +7.30 | 15.71 | 28 | +12.29 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.56 | 17 | +7.44 | 8.03 | 5 | +3.03 | 7.98 | 13 | +5.02 |
| Home | 6 | 11.47 | 18 | +6.53 | 8.73 | 4 | +4.73 | 10.07 | 16 | +5.93 |
| Away | 5 | 8.64 | 16 | +7.36 | 7.62 | 5 | +2.62 | 7.74 | 15 | +7.26 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Super League | Thun (A) | 2-3 | 2.04 | 2.47 | 1.17 | 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Super League | Luzern (H) | 4-0 | 2.14 | 1.15 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Super League | Lausanne (A) | 0-4 | 2.38 | 0.60 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| 16 Sep | Super League | St. Gallen (H) | 4-1 | 1.34 | 1.28 | 1.42 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Super League | Young Boys (H) | 2-2 | 1.66 | 2.53 | 0.93 | 1 | L |
| 6 Sep | Super League | Basel (A) | 1-3 | 1.74 | 0.45 | 2.29 | 3 | W |
| 3 Sep | Super League | Servette (H) | 1-0 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.41 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Super League | Sion (A) | 1-2 | 1.07 | 2.36 | 0.65 | 3 | L |
| 9 Aug | Super League | Zürich (H) | 5-0 | 2.34 | 0.97 | 2.21 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Super League | Grasshopper (A) | 1-4 | 1.41 | 1.74 | 1.17 | 3 | L |
| 26 Jul | Super League | Vaduz (H) | 2-1 | 2.21 | 1.05 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Dos Santos | midfielder | 11 | 714 | 1.39 | 4 | +2.61 | 0.17 |
| Dereck Moncada | attacker | 10 | 566 | 2.98 | 5 | +2.02 | 0.47 |
| Beckham Castro | attacker | 6 | 162 | 0.46 | 2 | +1.54 | 0.25 |
| Hannes Delcroix | defender | 9 | 637 | 1.58 | 3 | +1.43 | 0.22 |
| Uran Bislimi | midfielder | 10 | 802 | 0.67 | 2 | +1.33 | 0.07 |
| Yanis Cimignani | midfielder | 11 | 860 | 1.72 | 3 | +1.28 | 0.18 |
| Elias Pihlström | attacker | 9 | 418 | 1.79 | 3 | +1.21 | 0.39 |
| Albian Ajeti | attacker | 7 | 215 | 2.00 | 3 | +1.00 | 0.84 |
| Lukas Mai | defender | 10 | 821 | 0.07 | 1 | +0.93 | 0.01 |
| Bekhruz Karimov | defender | 8 | 544 | 0.31 | 1 | +0.69 | 0.05 |
| Ahmed Kendouci | midfielder | 10 | 295 | 0.80 | 1 | +0.20 | 0.24 |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | defender | 10 | 900 | 1.33 | 1 | -0.33 | 0.13 |
| Renato Steffen | attacker | 8 | 476 | 1.36 | 1 | -0.36 | 0.26 |
| Anto Grgic | midfielder | 11 | 926 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.05 |
| Kevin Behrens | attacker | 4 | 207 | 2.65 | 2 | -0.65 | 1.15 |
| Mattia Zanotti | defender | 9 | 511 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.12 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 11 | 20.1 | 34 | 16.4 | 9 | 17.8 | 31 | +13.2 |
| 2 | Zürich | 11 | 17.2 | 20 | 22.4 | 23 | 12.8 | 17 | +4.2 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 11 | 26.8 | 35 | 15.4 | 18 | 21.1 | 25 | +3.9 |
| 4 | Sion | 11 | 23.8 | 24 | 18.3 | 17 | 18.4 | 22 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Basel | 11 | 14.4 | 17 | 17.4 | 20 | 13.6 | 14 | +0.4 |
| 6 | Servette | 11 | 18.8 | 16 | 16.4 | 14 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 7 | St. Gallen | 11 | 21.1 | 17 | 16.5 | 21 | 17.8 | 16 | -1.8 |
| 8 | Thun | 11 | 18.2 | 19 | 24 | 30 | 12.6 | 10 | -2.6 |
| 9 | Luzern | 11 | 22.1 | 18 | 23.1 | 24 | 14.9 | 12 | -2.9 |
| 10 | Grasshopper | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 23.8 | 26 | 12.7 | 9 | -3.7 |
| 11 | Lausanne Sport | 11 | 10.9 | 7 | 17.9 | 17 | 10.5 | 6 | -4.5 |
| 12 | Vaduz | 11 | 19.3 | 22 | 20.3 | 23 | 14.9 | 9 | -5.9 |