No, Luzern have taken 12 points over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, within 0.89 of the 12.89 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Luzern create 1.92 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, 19.19 in all, and have scored 17 goals from those chances, 2.19 fewer than that xG would expect.
Luzern allow 2.14 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, 21.42 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 0.58 more than that xGA would expect.
D. Mikołajewski has the most expected goals (xG) for Luzern over 10 Super League games in 2026/2027, 3.40 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Matteo Di Giusto is next with 2.99 xG.
Luzern's results and their chances agree, within 0.9 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 19.19 | 17 | -2.19 | 21.42 | 22 | -0.58 | 12.89 | 12 | -0.89 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.68 | 12 | +0.32 | 11.02 | 13 | -1.98 | 7.38 | 7 | -0.38 |
| Home | 5 | 12.01 | 11 | -1.01 | 7.10 | 9 | -1.90 | 9.55 | 9 | -0.55 |
| Away | 5 | 7.18 | 6 | -1.18 | 14.32 | 13 | +1.32 | 3.34 | 3 | -0.34 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Super League | Lugano (A) | 4-0 | 1.15 | 2.14 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Super League | Grasshopper (H) | 5-1 | 4.07 | 1.83 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Super League | Basel (H) | 2-4 | 1.54 | 1.31 | 1.53 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | Super League | Young Boys (A) | 3-3 | 2.64 | 4.63 | 0.63 | 1 | L |
| 2 Sep | Super League | Vaduz (H) | 2-1 | 2.28 | 1.11 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Super League | Servette (A) | 1-1 | 1.17 | 1.98 | 0.88 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Super League | Lausanne (H) | 1-0 | 1.34 | 0.68 | 1.87 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Super League | St. Gallen (A) | 2-2 | 1.37 | 3.14 | 0.54 | 1 | L |
| 2 Aug | Super League | Sion (A) | 3-0 | 0.85 | 2.43 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jul | Super League | Thun (H) | 1-3 | 2.78 | 2.17 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrejs Ciganiks | defender | 9 | 660 | 1.08 | 3 | +1.92 | 0.15 |
| D. Mikołajewski | attacker | 8 | 579 | 3.40 | 4 | +0.60 | 0.53 |
| Nando Toggenburger | attacker | 7 | 149 | 0.49 | 1 | +0.51 | 0.29 |
| Rúben Dantas Fernandes | defender | 8 | 638 | 0.58 | 1 | +0.42 | 0.08 |
| Lars Villiger | attacker | 5 | 137 | 0.62 | 1 | +0.38 | 0.41 |
| Tyron Owusu | midfielder | 9 | 600 | 0.78 | 1 | +0.22 | 0.12 |
| Stefan Knezevic | defender | 6 | 450 | 0.94 | 1 | +0.06 | 0.19 |
| Matteo Di Giusto | midfielder | 10 | 864 | 2.99 | 3 | +0.01 | 0.31 |
| Oscar Kabwit | attacker | 8 | 559 | 2.26 | 2 | -0.26 | 0.36 |
| Bung Hua Freimann | - | 8 | 578 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.09 |
| Leonardo Bertone | midfielder | 10 | 867 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.07 |
| Bung Meng Freimann | defender | 7 | 630 | 0.81 | 0 | -0.81 | 0.12 |
| Faveurdi Bongeli | attacker | 4 | 182 | 1.12 | 0 | -1.12 | 0.55 |
| Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira | midfielder | 10 | 317 | 1.28 | 0 | -1.28 | 0.36 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 18.1 | 31 | 13.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 28 | +11.4 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 10 | 25.1 | 33 | 14.4 | 18 | 19.2 | 22 | +2.8 |
| 3 | Sion | 10 | 22 | 23 | 16.8 | 17 | 16.8 | 19 | +2.2 |
| 4 | Zürich | 10 | 15.4 | 18 | 19.5 | 22 | 12 | 14 | +2 |
| 5 | Basel | 10 | 12.7 | 17 | 16.4 | 20 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| 6 | St. Gallen | 10 | 20.2 | 17 | 14.8 | 19 | 16.9 | 16 | -0.9 |
| 7 | Luzern | 10 | 19.2 | 17 | 21.4 | 22 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 8 | Thun | 10 | 15.7 | 17 | 21.9 | 27 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| 9 | Servette | 10 | 16.4 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14.4 | 13 | -1.4 |
| 10 | Lausanne Sport | 10 | 9.4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| 11 | Grasshopper | 10 | 18.1 | 13 | 22.1 | 26 | 11.8 | 8 | -3.8 |
| 12 | Vaduz | 10 | 18.9 | 21 | 17.9 | 21 | 14.7 | 9 | -5.7 |