No, Willem II have taken 2 points over their last 9 Eredivisie games, 6.08 fewer than the 8.08 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Willem II create 1.35 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 9 Eredivisie games, 12.12 in all, and have scored 9 goals from those chances, 3.12 fewer than that xG would expect.
Willem II allow 2.26 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 9 Eredivisie games, 20.36 in all, and have conceded 26 goals from those chances, 5.64 more than that xGA would expect.
D. Haen has the most expected goals (xG) for Willem II over their last 9 Eredivisie games, 2.66 xG in 9 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Uriël van Aalst is next with 2.60 xG.
Willem II have taken 6.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 9 games: -3.1 goals against their xG, and -5.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 9 | 9 | 12.12 | 9 | -3.12 | 20.36 | 26 | -5.64 | 8.08 | 2 | -6.08 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.15 | 5 | -1.15 | 11.79 | 13 | -1.21 | 3.95 | 1 | -2.95 |
| Home | 4 | 5.57 | 3 | -2.57 | 7.55 | 10 | -2.45 | 4.43 | 1 | -3.43 |
| Away | 5 | 6.55 | 6 | -0.55 | 12.81 | 16 | -3.19 | 3.65 | 1 | -2.65 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Eredivisie | Sparta (A) | 3-2 | 1.76 | 3.17 | 0.72 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Eredivisie | FC Utrecht (A) | 3-1 | 0.72 | 1.39 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Eredivisie | Fortuna (H) | 0-1 | 1.32 | 1.42 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 15 Sep | Eredivisie | Ajax (A) | 5-1 | 1.23 | 3.31 | 0.44 | 0 | L |
| 11 Sep | Eredivisie | AZ (A) | 1-1 | 1.12 | 2.50 | 0.63 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | Eredivisie | Excelsior (H) | 0-3 | 1.18 | 1.73 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Eredivisie | Heerenveen (H) | 2-2 | 1.65 | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (H) | 1-4 | 1.42 | 2.85 | 0.66 | 0 | L |
| 8 Aug | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (A) | 4-1 | 1.72 | 2.44 | 1.00 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandro Ciranni | defender | 6 | 237 | 0.46 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.18 |
| Tonny Vilhena | midfielder | 6 | 380 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.15 |
| Thomas Verheydt | attacker | 7 | 94 | 0.63 | 1 | +0.37 | 0.60 |
| D. Haen | attacker | 9 | 810 | 2.66 | 3 | +0.34 | 0.30 |
| Jaden Slory | attacker | 9 | 745 | 1.40 | 1 | -0.40 | 0.17 |
| Uriël van Aalst | midfielder | 9 | 798 | 2.60 | 2 | -0.60 | 0.29 |
| Nathan Tjoe-A-On | defender | 9 | 755 | 0.85 | 0 | -0.85 | 0.10 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 8 | 16 | 21.7 | 17 | 6.6 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.3 | 31 | 9.1 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.1 | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | +0.7 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 9 | 12.5 | 16 | 17 | 26 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 10 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 13 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 17.4 | 20 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 | FC Twente | 9 | 20.2 | 17 | 7.7 | 10 | 19.5 | 17 | -2.5 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 19.2 | 22 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.6 | 10 | 20.6 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 16.7 | 15 | 15.6 | 16 | 12.9 | 10 | -2.9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 12.1 | 9 | 20.4 | 26 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |