No, Feyenoord have taken 43 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, within 2.05 of the 40.95 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Feyenoord create 2.29 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 45.70 in all, and have scored 48 goals from those chances, 2.30 more than that xG would expect.
Feyenoord allow 1.06 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 21.13 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 0.87 more than that xGA would expect.
Ayase Ueda has the most expected goals (xG) for Feyenoord over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 8.66 xG in 14 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Anis Hadj Moussa is next with 5.52 xG.
Feyenoord's results and their chances agree, within 2.1 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 45.70 | 48 | +2.30 | 21.13 | 22 | -0.87 | 40.95 | 43 | +2.05 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 28.02 | 33 | +4.98 | 9.51 | 10 | -0.49 | 23.19 | 26 | +2.81 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 13.79 | 21 | +7.21 | 4.78 | 4 | +0.78 | 11.16 | 15 | +3.84 |
| Home | 9 | 19.49 | 20 | +0.51 | 7.96 | 9 | -1.04 | 19.29 | 19 | -0.29 |
| Away | 11 | 26.21 | 28 | +1.79 | 13.17 | 13 | +0.17 | 21.66 | 24 | +2.34 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Eredivisie | Telstar (A) | 3-4 | 4.03 | 1.45 | 2.48 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Eredivisie | AZ (H) | 2-0 | 1.48 | 1.23 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Eredivisie | FC Utrecht (H) | 5-0 | 3.19 | 0.62 | 2.67 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (A) | 0-7 | 3.52 | 0.29 | 2.83 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (A) | 1-3 | 1.57 | 1.19 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag (H) | 2-2 | 2.39 | 0.30 | 2.65 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Eredivisie | SC Cambuur (A) | 2-5 | 2.60 | 1.59 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (H) | 2-2 | 2.80 | 1.37 | 2.17 | 1 | W |
| 9 Aug | Eredivisie | Sparta (A) | 0-1 | 3.68 | 1.02 | 2.59 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (A) | 0-2 | 2.76 | 0.45 | 2.66 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Eredivisie | AZ (H) | 1-1 | 1.10 | 0.92 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 3 May | Eredivisie | Fortuna (A) | 1-2 | 2.13 | 0.70 | 2.30 | 3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (H) | 3-1 | 1.95 | 0.83 | 2.13 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (A) | 1-1 | 1.71 | 2.46 | 0.99 | 1 | L |
| 5 Apr | Eredivisie | FC Volendam (A) | 0-0 | 1.51 | 1.46 | 1.41 | 1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eredivisie | Ajax (H) | 1-1 | 1.74 | 0.22 | 2.48 | 1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Eredivisie | Excelsior (H) | 2-1 | 2.45 | 1.25 | 2.09 | 3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Eredivisie | NAC Breda (A) | 3-3 | 1.78 | 1.10 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 1 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Twente (A) | 2-0 | 0.92 | 1.46 | 0.97 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Eredivisie | Telstar (H) | 2-1 | 2.39 | 1.22 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anis Hadj Moussa | attacker | 18 | 1596 | 5.52 | 10 | +4.48 | 0.31 |
| Gjivai Zechiël | midfielder | 9 | 764 | 2.38 | 5 | +2.62 | 0.28 |
| Nacho Ferri | attacker | 8 | 415 | 3.43 | 5 | +1.57 | 0.74 |
| Ayase Ueda | attacker | 14 | 1131 | 8.66 | 10 | +1.34 | 0.69 |
| Luciano Valente | midfielder | 20 | 1650 | 4.34 | 5 | +0.66 | 0.24 |
| Javi López | defender | 5 | 247 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.15 |
| Jordan Bos | defender | 10 | 801 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 | 0.09 |
| Sem Steijn | midfielder | 7 | 208 | 2.57 | 2 | -0.57 | 1.11 |
| Tsuyoshi Watanabe | defender | 16 | 1375 | 1.71 | 1 | -0.71 | 0.11 |
| Givairo Read | defender | 13 | 906 | 1.73 | 1 | -0.73 | 0.17 |
| In-beom Hwang | midfielder | 4 | 249 | 0.83 | 0 | -0.83 | 0.30 |
| Jakub Moder | midfielder | 7 | 630 | 1.92 | 1 | -0.92 | 0.27 |
| Raheem Sterling | attacker | 8 | 421 | 0.94 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.20 |
| Gaoussou Diarra | attacker | 11 | 459 | 3.08 | 2 | -1.08 | 0.60 |
| Tobias van den Elshout | midfielder | 13 | 415 | 1.38 | 0 | -1.38 | 0.30 |
| Casper Tengstedt | attacker | 9 | 177 | 1.44 | 0 | -1.44 | 0.73 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 8 | 16 | 21.7 | 17 | 6.6 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.3 | 31 | 9.1 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 10 | 18.2 | 20 | +1.8 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.1 | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | +0.7 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 9 | 12.5 | 16 | 17.3 | 26 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| 10 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.6 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 16.6 | 20 | 16.8 | 21 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 13 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 17.4 | 20 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 19.2 | 22 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| 15 | Telstar | 9 | 12.6 | 10 | 20.6 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 16 | FC Twente | 9 | 20.6 | 17 | 7.7 | 10 | 19.7 | 17 | -2.7 |
| 17 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 16.7 | 15 | 15.6 | 16 | 12.9 | 10 | -2.9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 12.1 | 9 | 20.4 | 26 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |