No, Vitória SC have taken 16 points over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 15.47 fewer than the 31.47 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Vitória SC create 1.47 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 29.46 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 10.46 fewer than that xG would expect.
Vitória SC allow 1.13 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 22.65 in all, and have conceded 30 goals from those chances, 7.35 more than that xGA would expect.
Gustavo Silva has the most expected goals (xG) for Vitória SC over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 6.79 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Samu is next with 6.28 xG.
Vitória SC have taken 15.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -10.5 goals against their xG, and -7.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 29.46 | 19 | -10.46 | 22.65 | 30 | -7.35 | 31.47 | 16 | -15.47 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.07 | 5 | -11.07 | 9.72 | 13 | -3.28 | 17.55 | 5 | -12.55 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.99 | 2 | -4.99 | 5.76 | 6 | -0.24 | 7.55 | 2 | -5.55 |
| Home | 9 | 16.57 | 11 | -5.57 | 6.11 | 6 | +0.11 | 18.71 | 12 | -6.71 |
| Away | 11 | 12.89 | 8 | -4.89 | 16.54 | 24 | -7.46 | 12.76 | 4 | -8.76 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Liga Portugal | Benfica (A) | 2-0 | 0.65 | 2.09 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Liga Portugal | Moreirense (H) | 1-1 | 1.19 | 0.48 | 1.93 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Liga Portugal | Ac. Viseu (A) | 2-1 | 2.11 | 2.19 | 1.36 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (H) | 0-0 | 2.55 | 0.23 | 2.73 | 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Liga Portugal | Braga (A) | 1-0 | 0.49 | 0.77 | 1.03 | 0 | D |
| 23 Aug | Liga Portugal | Nacional (H) | 1-0 | 2.81 | 0.63 | 2.58 | 3 | W |
| 14 Aug | Liga Portugal | Sporting (A) | 3-2 | 1.24 | 1.13 | 1.44 | 0 | W |
| 8 Aug | Liga Portugal | Arouca (H) | 0-1 | 2.27 | 0.31 | 2.61 | 0 | W |
| 16 May | Liga Portugal | Nacional (A) | 2-0 | 1.35 | 1.13 | 1.52 | 0 | W |
| 11 May | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (H) | 0-1 | 1.41 | 0.76 | 1.85 | 0 | W |
| 4 May | Liga Portugal | Sporting (A) | 5-1 | 0.94 | 2.37 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave (H) | 2-0 | 1.55 | 0.45 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente (A) | 0-1 | 1.01 | 1.30 | 1.15 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Liga Portugal | AVS (A) | 1-1 | 2.31 | 0.75 | 2.35 | 1 | W |
| 3 Apr | Liga Portugal | Tondela (H) | 5-0 | 2.57 | 0.05 | 2.82 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Liga Portugal | Benfica (A) | 3-0 | 0.76 | 1.60 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Liga Portugal | Famalicão (H) | 1-2 | 0.51 | 1.26 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Liga Portugal | Santa Clara (A) | 2-0 | 1.05 | 0.96 | 1.42 | 0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Liga Portugal | Alverca (H) | 1-1 | 1.71 | 1.94 | 1.25 | 1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Liga Portugal | Braga (A) | 3-2 | 0.98 | 2.25 | 0.64 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Borevković | defender | 3 | 186 | 0.32 | 1 | +0.68 | 0.15 |
| Tony Strata | defender | 19 | 1428 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.03 |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | midfielder | 20 | 1043 | 1.04 | 1 | -0.04 | 0.09 |
| João Mendes | defender | 18 | 1562 | 1.31 | 1 | -0.31 | 0.08 |
| Miguel Nogueira | midfielder | 17 | 853 | 1.33 | 1 | -0.33 | 0.14 |
| Nélson Oliveira | attacker | 7 | 262 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.17 |
| Oumar Camara | attacker | 20 | 925 | 1.54 | 1 | -0.54 | 0.15 |
| Noah Jose Saviolo | attacker | 12 | 788 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.07 |
| Diogo Sousa | midfielder | 10 | 538 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.11 |
| Thiago Balieiro | defender | 19 | 1710 | 0.70 | 0 | -0.70 | 0.04 |
| Arnel Jakupovic | attacker | 4 | 267 | 0.90 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Samu | midfielder | 20 | 1645 | 6.28 | 5 | -1.28 | 0.34 |
| Gustavo Silva | attacker | 19 | 1300 | 6.79 | 5 | -1.79 | 0.47 |
| A. Ndoye | attacker | 12 | 650 | 3.52 | 1 | -2.52 | 0.49 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 18.7 | 20 | 7.9 | 4 | 17.2 | 24 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 9.7 | 11 | 14.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| 3 | Arouca | 8 | 8.9 | 11 | 11.2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | +4 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 14.4 | 18 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 8 | 13.8 | 20 | 7.1 | 9 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Rio Ave | 8 | 6.2 | 8 | 14.9 | 17 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 8 | 6.6 | 8 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 11.2 | 13 | 12.1 | 12 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Benfica | 8 | 18.6 | 24 | 5.8 | 7 | 18.4 | 19 | +0.6 |
| 10 | Marítimo | 8 | 7.1 | 9 | 11.3 | 14 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| 11 | Sporting Braga | 7 | 8.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 8 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6.6 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 6.7 | 10 | 11.4 | 11 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 11.9 | 14 | 11.1 | 15 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 8 | 7 | 3 | 13.7 | 17 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 4 | -5 |
| 17 | Estoril | 8 | 7.4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Vitória Guimarães | 8 | 13.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 5 | -9.2 |