Vålerenga xG 2026

Vålerenga xG Questions

Are Vålerenga overperforming their xG this season?

No, Vålerenga have taken 26 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 6.10 fewer than the 32.10 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Vålerenga's xG per game this season?

Vålerenga create 1.84 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 42.22 in all, and have scored 38 goals from those chances, 4.22 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Vålerenga's xGA per game this season?

Vålerenga allow 1.83 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 42.09 in all, and have conceded 46 goals from those chances, 3.91 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Vålerenga this season?

M. Grundetjern has the most expected goals (xG) for Vålerenga over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 8.48 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Lucas Haren is next with 7.22 xG.

Vålerenga expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 23
Expected goals (xG): 42.22
Goals scored: 38
Goals minus xG: -4.22
Expected goals against (xGA): 42.09
Goals conceded: 46
xGA minus goals conceded: -3.91
Expected points (xPts): 32.10
Points: 26
Points minus xPts: -6.10
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Vålerenga overperforming their expected goals?

Vålerenga have taken 6.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 23 games: -4.2 goals against their xG, and -3.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Next opponent: Bodø / Glimt expected goals

Games: 23
Bodø / Glimt xG per game: 2.83
Bodø / Glimt xGA per game: 0.95
Points minus xPts: +3.49
Verdict: Running a little hot

Vålerenga results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	23	42.22	38	-4.22	42.09	46	-3.91	32.10	26	-6.10
Last 10	10	19.32	19	-0.32	18.41	24	-5.59	14.41	9	-5.41
Last 5	5	9.56	7	-2.56	9.31	8	+1.31	7.27	5	-2.27
Home	12	22.83	23	+0.17	21.64	20	+1.64	17.39	17	-0.39
Away	11	19.39	15	-4.39	20.45	26	-5.55	14.71	9	-5.71

Vålerenga expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Eliteserien	Brann (H)	3-1	3.01	3.18	1.33	3	L
12 Oct	Eliteserien	KFUM (A)	2-1	2.08	2.18	1.34	0	L
20 Sep	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (H)	1-1	1.56	0.85	1.88	1	W
12 Sep	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (A)	2-0	1.37	0.93	1.69	0	W
6 Sep	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (A)	2-2	1.54	2.17	1.03	1	L
30 Aug	Eliteserien	Molde (H)	3-4	2.07	1.23	1.91	0	W
16 Aug	Eliteserien	Aalesund (A)	5-5	3.48	2.12	2.04	1	W
8 Aug	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (H)	1-2	1.26	1.92	0.97	0	L
31 Jul	Eliteserien	HamKam (H)	0-3	0.93	1.29	1.09	0	L
26 Jul	Eliteserien	Brann (A)	2-3	2.02	2.54	1.13	3	L
16 Jul	Eliteserien	Aalesund (H)	6-1	2.38	1.84	1.70	3	W
11 Jul	Eliteserien	Tromsø (A)	4-0	1.15	1.65	1.04	0	L
29 May	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (H)	3-1	3.43	1.18	2.48	3	W
25 May	Eliteserien	Start (A)	2-0	1.18	1.63	1.08	0	L
16 May	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (H)	3-2	2.77	2.22	1.69	3	W
8 May	Eliteserien	HamKam (A)	1-0	1.96	0.70	2.21	0	W
3 May	Eliteserien	KFUM (H)	2-2	1.70	1.65	1.42	1	W
26 Apr	Eliteserien	Molde (A)	5-1	1.29	3.05	0.53	0	L
19 Apr	Eliteserien	Lillestrøm (H)	0-2	1.36	1.10	1.55	0	W
12 Apr	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (A)	1-1	2.34	1.64	1.80	1	W
6 Apr	Eliteserien	Viking (H)	0-1	0.87	3.08	0.34	0	L
22 Mar	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (A)	0-2	0.98	1.84	0.82	3	L
15 Mar	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (H)	1-0	1.49	2.10	1.03	3	L

Vålerenga players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Lucas Haren	attacker	22	1460	7.22	10	+2.78	0.44
Carl Lange	midfielder	23	1937	3.37	6	+2.63	0.16
Sebastian Jarl	defender	12	932	1.10	2	+0.90	0.11
Gabriel Rajkovic	attacker	15	317	1.27	2	+0.73	0.36
Mohamed Ofkir	attacker	6	270	1.32	2	+0.68	0.44
Ivan Näsberg	defender	18	1321	0.66	1	+0.34	0.05
Aaron Kiil Olsen	defender	22	1951	1.12	1	-0.12	0.05
Filip Thorvaldsen	attacker	13	868	3.17	3	-0.17	0.33
Petter Strand	midfielder	23	911	2.17	2	-0.17	0.21
Ghayas Zahid	midfielder	7	338	0.50	0	-0.50	0.13
Kolbeinn Finnsson	defender	20	1765	0.93	0	-0.93	0.05
Magnus Westergaard	midfielder	22	1379	2.05	1	-1.05	0.13
Elias Sørensen	attacker	10	536	2.18	1	-1.18	0.37
Ole Sæter	attacker	11	343	1.45	0	-1.45	0.38
Henrik Bjørdal	midfielder	16	1302	2.68	1	-1.68	0.19
M. Grundetjern	attacker	22	1623	8.48	5	-3.48	0.47

Eliteserien 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Viking	23	55.1	59	32.8	22	43.7	56	+12.3
2	KFUM	23	28.1	28	42.9	37	23.4	29	+5.6
3	Fredrikstad	23	28.6	28	43.5	36	24.1	29	+4.9
4	Lillestrøm	23	37.7	32	38.7	31	31.4	36	+4.6
5	Bodø / Glimt	23	65.1	58	21.8	20	52.5	56	+3.5
6	Tromsø	23	39.4	42	32.4	31	37.4	40	+2.6
7	Rosenborg	23	42.7	43	35	31	37	37	0
8	HamKam	23	31.8	33	42.9	48	26	26	-0
9	Molde	23	48.5	52	32.4	35	40.4	40	-0.4
10	Aalesund	23	37.1	39	50.2	51	25.6	24	-1.6
11	Sandefjord	23	30.4	22	43.2	30	25.9	24	-1.9
12	Brann	23	43.5	40	41.4	37	33	29	-4
13	Sarpsborg 08	23	39	28	38.6	34	32.2	28	-4.2
14	Kristiansund	23	27.6	23	47	47	23.8	19	-4.8
15	Vålerenga	23	42.2	38	42.1	46	32.1	26	-6.1
16	Start	23	34.9	25	46.5	54	26.2	16	-10.2

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