No, Rosenborg have taken 37 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, within 0.04 of the 36.96 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Rosenborg create 1.86 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 42.72 in all, and have scored 43 goals from those chances, 0.28 more than that xG would expect.
Rosenborg allow 1.52 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 35.01 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 4.01 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Amin Chiakha has the most expected goals (xG) for Rosenborg over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026, 12.85 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 14 goals; Dino Islamovic is next with 5.04 xG.
Rosenborg's results and their chances agree, within 0.0 points of xPts over 23 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 23 | 42.72 | 43 | +0.28 | 35.01 | 31 | +4.01 | 36.96 | 37 | +0.04 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 22.47 | 28 | +5.53 | 14.64 | 13 | +1.64 | 18.59 | 22 | +3.41 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.93 | 16 | +4.07 | 5.71 | 5 | +0.71 | 10.45 | 13 | +2.55 |
| Home | 12 | 24.25 | 28 | +3.75 | 14.35 | 14 | +0.35 | 22.42 | 24 | +1.58 |
| Away | 11 | 18.47 | 15 | -3.47 | 20.66 | 17 | +3.66 | 14.54 | 13 | -1.54 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Eliteserien | Sarpsborg 08 (A) | 0-3 | 2.02 | 1.09 | 1.97 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Eliteserien | Sandefjord (H) | 1-1 | 3.08 | 0.50 | 2.70 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Eliteserien | Kristiansund (A) | 1-3 | 3.03 | 1.29 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Eliteserien | Tromsø (H) | 5-3 | 1.87 | 2.24 | 1.19 | 3 | L |
| 5 Sep | Eliteserien | HamKam (H) | 4-0 | 1.93 | 0.59 | 2.28 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Eliteserien | Bodø / Glimt (A) | 4-2 | 1.07 | 3.35 | 0.36 | 0 | L |
| 14 Aug | Eliteserien | Viking (H) | 2-1 | 1.64 | 1.41 | 1.53 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm (A) | 0-2 | 2.86 | 2.31 | 1.68 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Eliteserien | Brann (A) | 3-2 | 2.24 | 1.19 | 2.03 | 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Eliteserien | Fredrikstad (H) | 4-0 | 2.73 | 0.67 | 2.54 | 3 | W |
| 18 Jul | Eliteserien | Start (A) | 0-3 | 1.75 | 0.97 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 12 Jul | Eliteserien | Kristiansund (H) | 3-0 | 2.77 | 0.81 | 2.47 | 3 | W |
| 29 May | Eliteserien | Bodø / Glimt (H) | 2-2 | 1.79 | 2.63 | 0.95 | 1 | L |
| 25 May | Eliteserien | KFUM (A) | 2-0 | 1.11 | 2.47 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 16 May | Eliteserien | Aalesund (H) | 2-3 | 1.02 | 1.26 | 1.18 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm (H) | 2-0 | 2.17 | 0.46 | 2.47 | 3 | W |
| 1 May | Eliteserien | Viking (A) | 3-0 | 1.18 | 2.61 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Eliteserien | Brann (H) | 1-1 | 1.76 | 1.23 | 1.73 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Eliteserien | Sandefjord (A) | 0-0 | 1.53 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Eliteserien | Sarpsborg 08 (H) | 2-1 | 1.65 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 6 Apr | Eliteserien | Tromsø (A) | 2-0 | 0.45 | 2.68 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Eliteserien | VÃ¥lerenga (H) | 0-2 | 1.84 | 0.98 | 1.95 | 0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Eliteserien | Molde (A) | 2-0 | 1.23 | 1.50 | 1.19 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Sahsah | attacker | 17 | 758 | 2.32 | 5 | +2.68 | 0.28 |
| Amin Chiakha | attacker | 22 | 1859 | 12.85 | 14 | +1.15 | 0.62 |
| Aslak Witry | defender | 18 | 1127 | 0.90 | 2 | +1.10 | 0.07 |
| Jonas Mortensen | defender | 16 | 614 | 0.24 | 1 | +0.76 | 0.04 |
| Simen Bolkan Nordli | attacker | 15 | 788 | 3.25 | 4 | +0.75 | 0.37 |
| Iver Fossum | midfielder | 15 | 855 | 2.37 | 3 | +0.63 | 0.25 |
| Jonas Svensson | defender | 15 | 834 | 0.39 | 1 | +0.61 | 0.04 |
| Emil Konradsen Ceide | attacker | 23 | 1909 | 4.44 | 5 | +0.56 | 0.21 |
| Ole Selnæs | midfielder | 19 | 1410 | 0.53 | 1 | +0.47 | 0.03 |
| Adrian Pereira | defender | 18 | 1074 | 1.89 | 2 | +0.11 | 0.16 |
| Tomas Nemcik | defender | 19 | 1689 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.04 |
| David Duris | attacker | 16 | 765 | 1.86 | 1 | -0.86 | 0.22 |
| Maciej Soboczynski | attacker | 4 | 110 | 0.86 | 0 | -0.86 | 0.70 |
| Mads Bomholt | midfielder | 23 | 1955 | 3.37 | 2 | -1.37 | 0.16 |
| Dino Islamovic | attacker | 12 | 547 | 5.04 | 2 | -3.04 | 0.83 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 23 | 55 | 59 | 32.8 | 22 | 43.7 | 56 | +12.3 |
| 2 | KFUM | 22 | 27.2 | 27 | 41.5 | 36 | 22.5 | 28 | +5.5 |
| 3 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 28.6 | 28 | 43.4 | 36 | 24.1 | 29 | +4.9 |
| 4 | Lillestrøm | 23 | 37.7 | 32 | 38.7 | 31 | 31.4 | 36 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Bodø / Glimt | 23 | 65.1 | 58 | 21.8 | 20 | 52.5 | 56 | +3.5 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 22 | 37.9 | 41 | 31.5 | 30 | 35.5 | 39 | +3.5 |
| 7 | Rosenborg | 23 | 42.7 | 43 | 35 | 31 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 8 | HamKam | 23 | 31.8 | 33 | 42.9 | 48 | 26 | 26 | -0 |
| 9 | Molde | 23 | 48.5 | 52 | 32.4 | 35 | 40.4 | 40 | -0.4 |
| 10 | Aalesund | 23 | 37.1 | 39 | 50.2 | 51 | 25.6 | 24 | -1.6 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 23 | 30.4 | 22 | 43.2 | 30 | 25.9 | 24 | -1.9 |
| 12 | Brann | 23 | 43.5 | 40 | 41.4 | 37 | 33 | 29 | -4 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 23 | 39 | 28 | 38.6 | 34 | 32.2 | 28 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 23 | 27.6 | 23 | 47 | 47 | 23.8 | 19 | -4.8 |
| 15 | VÃ¥lerenga | 23 | 42.2 | 38 | 42 | 46 | 32.1 | 26 | -6.1 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 34.9 | 25 | 46.5 | 54 | 26.2 | 16 | -10.2 |