Yes, Trabzonspor have taken 37 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, 7.56 more than the 29.44 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Trabzonspor create 1.48 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 29.59 in all, and have scored 36 goals from those chances, 6.41 more than that xG would expect.
Trabzonspor allow 1.34 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 26.78 in all, and have conceded 21 goals from those chances, 5.78 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Paul Onuachu has the most expected goals (xG) for Trabzonspor over their last 20 Super Lig games, 7.75 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 9 goals; Felipe Augusto is next with 4.23 xG.
Trabzonspor have taken 7.6 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +6.4 goals against their xG, and +5.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 29.59 | 36 | +6.41 | 26.78 | 21 | +5.78 | 29.44 | 37 | +7.56 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.84 | 19 | +5.16 | 17.19 | 10 | +7.19 | 11.69 | 17 | +5.31 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.85 | 13 | +5.15 | 7.64 | 3 | +4.64 | 6.97 | 9 | +2.03 |
| Home | 10 | 15.35 | 21 | +5.65 | 11.83 | 11 | +0.83 | 15.74 | 20 | +4.26 |
| Away | 10 | 14.24 | 15 | +0.76 | 14.95 | 10 | +4.95 | 13.70 | 17 | +3.30 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Super Lig | Samsunspor (A) | 0-3 | 1.21 | 1.50 | 1.17 | 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | Super Lig | Galatasaray (H) | 4-0 | 1.45 | 0.96 | 1.72 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 1-0 | 0.92 | 0.97 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Super Lig | Gençler (H) | 5-0 | 3.56 | 1.22 | 2.49 | 3 | W |
| 31 Aug | Super Lig | Amed SK (A) | 2-1 | 0.71 | 2.99 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Super Lig | Başakşehir (H) | 2-1 | 2.36 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (A) | 1-1 | 0.95 | 1.50 | 0.98 | 1 | L |
| 17 May | Super Lig | Gençler (H) | 0-3 | 0.88 | 1.84 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (A) | 1-2 | 0.76 | 2.58 | 0.41 | 3 | L |
| 2 May | Super Lig | Göztepe (H) | 1-1 | 1.04 | 1.72 | 0.93 | 1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 2-1 | 2.46 | 0.81 | 2.37 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Super Lig | Başakşehir (H) | 1-1 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.37 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (A) | 1-1 | 1.76 | 1.00 | 1.89 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Super Lig | Galatasaray (H) | 2-1 | 0.96 | 1.14 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 18 Mar | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 0-1 | 1.27 | 0.47 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Super Lig | Rizespor (H) | 1-0 | 1.52 | 0.76 | 1.92 | 3 | W |
| 9 Mar | Super Lig | Kayserispor (A) | 1-3 | 2.96 | 1.46 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 27 Feb | Super Lig | Fatih Karagümrük (H) | 3-1 | 1.54 | 0.71 | 1.97 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Super Lig | Gaziantep (A) | 1-2 | 1.24 | 1.67 | 1.10 | 3 | L |
| 14 Feb | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (H) | 2-3 | 0.87 | 0.42 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Salah | attacker | 7 | 558 | 3.44 | 7 | +3.56 | 0.55 |
| Chibuike Nwaiwu | defender | 19 | 1573 | 1.63 | 4 | +2.37 | 0.09 |
| Noah Jose Saviolo | attacker | 5 | 215 | 0.23 | 2 | +1.77 | 0.10 |
| Paul Onuachu | attacker | 19 | 1443 | 7.75 | 9 | +1.25 | 0.48 |
| Ernest Muci | midfielder | 15 | 1107 | 2.90 | 4 | +1.10 | 0.24 |
| Ozan Tufan | midfielder | 19 | 1195 | 0.65 | 1 | +0.35 | 0.05 |
| Franculino | attacker | 4 | 197 | 1.68 | 2 | +0.32 | 0.77 |
| Oleksandr Zubkov | attacker | 10 | 659 | 1.16 | 1 | -0.16 | 0.16 |
| Felipe Augusto | attacker | 12 | 839 | 4.23 | 4 | -0.23 | 0.45 |
| Umut Nayir | attacker | 11 | 348 | 1.32 | 1 | -0.32 | 0.34 |
| Anthony Nwakaeme | attacker | 10 | 536 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.09 |
| Mustafa Eskihellaç | defender | 18 | 1427 | 1.02 | 0 | -1.02 | 0.06 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.1 | 19 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.6 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 12 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 8 | 12.9 | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 | Gaziantep F.K. | 8 | 9.3 | 8 | 13.1 | 12 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.8 | 19 | 10.5 | 4 | -6.5 |