No, Sparta have taken 15 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 8.39 fewer than the 23.39 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Sparta create 1.51 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 30.26 in all, and have scored 26 goals from those chances, 4.26 fewer than that xG would expect.
Sparta allow 2.00 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 39.99 in all, and have conceded 47 goals from those chances, 7.01 more than that xGA would expect.
Milan Zonneveld has the most expected goals (xG) for Sparta over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 7.06 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Mitchell van Bergen is next with 2.67 xG.
Sparta have taken 8.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -4.3 goals against their xG, and -7.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 30.26 | 26 | -4.26 | 39.99 | 47 | -7.01 | 23.39 | 15 | -8.39 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.49 | 18 | -0.49 | 21.12 | 25 | -3.88 | 12.69 | 9 | -3.69 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.18 | 9 | -2.18 | 10.20 | 15 | -4.80 | 7.52 | 5 | -2.52 |
| Home | 10 | 18.46 | 15 | -3.46 | 18.97 | 20 | -1.03 | 13.83 | 10 | -3.83 |
| Away | 10 | 11.80 | 11 | -0.80 | 21.02 | 27 | -5.98 | 9.56 | 5 | -4.56 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Eredivisie | Willem II (H) | 3-2 | 3.17 | 1.76 | 2.11 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (A) | 3-3 | 2.20 | 1.45 | 1.84 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Eredivisie | Heerenveen (H) | 0-4 | 0.78 | 1.86 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Eredivisie | PSV (A) | 4-1 | 1.91 | 3.80 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 4 Sep | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (H) | 2-2 | 3.12 | 1.33 | 2.31 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Eredivisie | Excelsior (A) | 2-1 | 0.87 | 1.75 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Eredivisie | FC Utrecht (H) | 3-3 | 1.41 | 2.13 | 0.96 | 1 | L |
| 14 Aug | Eredivisie | Telstar (A) | 1-3 | 2.44 | 1.45 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (H) | 0-1 | 1.02 | 3.68 | 0.28 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Eredivisie | Excelsior (H) | 2-3 | 1.57 | 1.91 | 1.18 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Eredivisie | FC Twente (A) | 4-0 | 0.62 | 4.54 | 0.08 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (H) | 2-2 | 2.31 | 2.02 | 1.56 | 1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Eredivisie | Telstar (A) | 4-1 | 1.15 | 1.36 | 1.21 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Eredivisie | PSV (H) | 0-2 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Eredivisie | NAC Breda (A) | 0-0 | 0.34 | 0.57 | 1.02 | 1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Volendam (H) | 2-0 | 1.63 | 0.57 | 2.14 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Eredivisie | Ajax (A) | 4-0 | 0.45 | 2.82 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (H) | 1-1 | 2.28 | 1.54 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 28 Feb | Eredivisie | Heerenveen (A) | 2-1 | 0.78 | 2.19 | 0.54 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Eredivisie | AZ (A) | 3-1 | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Zonneveld | attacker | 19 | 797 | 7.06 | 10 | +2.94 | 0.80 |
| Lushendry Edward Martes | defender | 15 | 1214 | 1.14 | 2 | +0.86 | 0.08 |
| Isaac Babadi | midfielder | 5 | 291 | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 | 0.17 |
| Marvin Young | defender | 19 | 1699 | 1.64 | 2 | +0.36 | 0.09 |
| Robin van Cruijsen | midfielder | 8 | 351 | 0.82 | 1 | +0.18 | 0.21 |
| Jens Toornstra | midfielder | 10 | 405 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.20 |
| N. Verschuren | defender | 9 | 573 | 0.91 | 1 | +0.09 | 0.14 |
| Nökkvi Þórisson | attacker | 3 | 209 | 1.01 | 1 | -0.01 | 0.44 |
| Ayoni Santos | midfielder | 14 | 1062 | 1.16 | 1 | -0.16 | 0.10 |
| Tobias Lauritsen | attacker | 11 | 973 | 2.18 | 2 | -0.18 | 0.20 |
| Shunsuke Mito | attacker | 16 | 1206 | 2.37 | 2 | -0.37 | 0.18 |
| Bruno Martins Indi | defender | 16 | 1226 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.05 |
| Vito van Crooij | midfielder | 9 | 721 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.08 |
| Joshua Kitolano | midfielder | 11 | 870 | 1.03 | 0 | -1.03 | 0.11 |
| Casper Terho | attacker | 16 | 639 | 2.25 | 1 | -1.25 | 0.32 |
| Mitchell van Bergen | attacker | 16 | 1021 | 2.67 | 1 | -1.67 | 0.24 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 8 | 16 | 21.7 | 17 | 6.6 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.3 | 31 | 9.1 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.1 | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | +0.7 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 9 | 12.5 | 16 | 17 | 26 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 10 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 13 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 17.4 | 20 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 | FC Twente | 9 | 20.2 | 17 | 7.7 | 10 | 19.5 | 17 | -2.5 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 19.2 | 22 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.6 | 10 | 20.6 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 16.7 | 15 | 15.6 | 16 | 12.9 | 10 | -2.9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 12.1 | 9 | 20.4 | 26 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |