No, NEC Nijmegen have taken 27 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 3.74 fewer than the 30.74 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
NEC Nijmegen create 1.92 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 38.47 in all, and have scored 34 goals from those chances, 4.47 fewer than that xG would expect.
NEC Nijmegen allow 1.55 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 30.96 in all, and have conceded 30 goals from those chances, 0.96 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Tjaronn Chery has the most expected goals (xG) for NEC Nijmegen over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 7.24 xG in 18 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Bryan Linssen is next with 6.15 xG.
NEC Nijmegen have taken 3.7 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -4.5 goals against their xG, and +1.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 38.47 | 34 | -4.47 | 30.96 | 30 | +0.96 | 30.74 | 27 | -3.74 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 21.81 | 17 | -4.81 | 16.29 | 17 | -0.71 | 15.54 | 13 | -2.54 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.58 | 6 | -1.58 | 8.80 | 9 | -0.20 | 6.12 | 4 | -2.12 |
| Home | 11 | 24.95 | 18 | -6.95 | 15.59 | 18 | -2.41 | 19.21 | 12 | -7.21 |
| Away | 9 | 13.52 | 16 | +2.48 | 15.37 | 12 | +3.37 | 11.53 | 15 | +3.47 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Eredivisie | Fortuna (H) | 2-2 | 3.20 | 0.44 | 2.75 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Eredivisie | Ajax (A) | 1-1 | 1.17 | 1.59 | 1.10 | 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (H) | 1-1 | 1.30 | 1.90 | 1.01 | 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | Eredivisie | SC Cambuur (A) | 3-0 | 0.70 | 3.03 | 0.28 | 0 | L |
| 8 Sep | Eredivisie | Excelsior (H) | 2-2 | 1.21 | 1.84 | 0.98 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (H) | 1-3 | 1.19 | 1.57 | 1.11 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (A) | 1-3 | 2.12 | 2.07 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | Willem II (A) | 1-4 | 2.85 | 1.42 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Eredivisie | Telstar (H) | 1-2 | 2.95 | 1.74 | 2.03 | 0 | W |
| 17 May | Eredivisie | GA Eagles (H) | 2-1 | 5.12 | 0.69 | 2.68 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (A) | 2-1 | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.03 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | Eredivisie | Telstar (H) | 1-1 | 1.87 | 1.06 | 1.92 | 1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Eredivisie | FC Twente (A) | 1-1 | 1.34 | 1.43 | 1.31 | 1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (H) | 1-1 | 2.46 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Eredivisie | Excelsior (A) | 0-2 | 1.06 | 0.66 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eredivisie | Heerenveen (H) | 2-2 | 2.12 | 1.66 | 1.67 | 1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Eredivisie | PSV (A) | 2-3 | 1.79 | 1.64 | 1.48 | 3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Volendam (H) | 3-0 | 1.93 | 0.56 | 2.30 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Eredivisie | Fortuna (H) | 2-3 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Eredivisie | Ajax (A) | 1-1 | 1.22 | 1.71 | 1.06 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darko Nejašmić | midfielder | 18 | 1547 | 1.39 | 3 | +1.61 | 0.08 |
| P. Schuurs | defender | 6 | 188 | 0.73 | 2 | +1.27 | 0.35 |
| Başar Önal | attacker | 9 | 656 | 0.88 | 2 | +1.12 | 0.12 |
| Adam Tahaui | midfielder | 7 | 371 | 1.17 | 2 | +0.83 | 0.28 |
| Tjaronn Chery | midfielder | 18 | 1573 | 7.24 | 8 | +0.76 | 0.41 |
| Kevin Kers | - | 5 | 249 | 0.58 | 1 | +0.42 | 0.21 |
| K. Sierhuis | attacker | 5 | 257 | 1.84 | 2 | +0.16 | 0.64 |
| Youssef El Kachati | attacker | 7 | 159 | 0.92 | 1 | +0.08 | 0.52 |
| Bryan Linssen | attacker | 19 | 1306 | 6.15 | 6 | -0.15 | 0.42 |
| Danilo | attacker | 9 | 221 | 1.23 | 1 | -0.23 | 0.50 |
| Ayodele Thomas | attacker | 3 | 179 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.28 |
| Ahmetcan Kaplan | defender | 9 | 580 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.09 |
| Kodai Sano | midfielder | 11 | 990 | 0.61 | 0 | -0.61 | 0.06 |
| Dušan Tadić | attacker | 7 | 620 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.10 |
| Noé Lebreton | midfielder | 20 | 1486 | 4.70 | 4 | -0.70 | 0.28 |
| Koki Ogawa | attacker | 6 | 143 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.45 |
| Clement Bischoff | attacker | 7 | 478 | 0.85 | 0 | -0.85 | 0.16 |
| Sami Ouaissa | midfielder | 12 | 1042 | 2.99 | 1 | -1.99 | 0.26 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 8 | 16 | 21.7 | 17 | 6.6 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.3 | 31 | 9.1 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.1 | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | +0.7 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 9 | 12.5 | 16 | 17 | 26 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 10 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 13 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 17.4 | 20 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 | FC Twente | 9 | 20.2 | 17 | 7.7 | 10 | 19.5 | 17 | -2.5 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 19.2 | 22 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.6 | 10 | 20.6 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 16.7 | 15 | 15.6 | 16 | 12.9 | 10 | -2.9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 12.1 | 9 | 20.4 | 26 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |