No, Sint-Truiden have taken 22 points over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 7.84 fewer than the 29.84 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Sint-Truiden create 1.66 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 33.23 in all, and have scored 30 goals from those chances, 3.23 fewer than that xG would expect.
Sint-Truiden allow 1.51 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 30.10 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 0.90 more than that xGA would expect.
Ilias Sebaoui has the most expected goals (xG) for Sint-Truiden over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 5.86 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Samed Bazdar is next with 2.88 xG.
Sint-Truiden have taken 7.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -3.2 goals against their xG, and -0.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 33.23 | 30 | -3.23 | 30.10 | 31 | -0.90 | 29.84 | 22 | -7.84 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.68 | 19 | +0.32 | 15.06 | 19 | -3.94 | 15.83 | 11 | -4.83 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.25 | 7 | -1.25 | 6.95 | 11 | -4.05 | 7.48 | 3 | -4.48 |
| Home | 10 | 19.48 | 15 | -4.48 | 14.81 | 13 | +1.81 | 16.58 | 14 | -2.58 |
| Away | 10 | 13.75 | 15 | +1.25 | 15.29 | 18 | -2.71 | 13.26 | 8 | -5.26 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (A) | 4-3 | 1.82 | 0.78 | 2.08 | 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (H) | 0-2 | 2.03 | 2.19 | 1.31 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Belgian Pro League | SK Beveren (A) | 2-0 | 0.86 | 1.52 | 0.90 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Belgian Pro League | La Louvière (H) | 4-0 | 2.95 | 0.48 | 2.69 | 3 | W |
| 2 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (H) | 0-3 | 0.59 | 1.98 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Antwerp (A) | 1-4 | 3.07 | 0.94 | 2.49 | 3 | W |
| 14 Aug | Belgian Pro League | C Brugge (A) | 3-3 | 1.48 | 3.21 | 0.58 | 1 | L |
| 8 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Lommel SK (H) | 1-1 | 3.03 | 1.65 | 2.11 | 1 | W |
| 24 May | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (H) | 3-0 | 1.59 | 0.57 | 2.11 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Belgian Pro League | Anderlecht (A) | 3-1 | 1.26 | 1.74 | 1.06 | 0 | L |
| 16 May | Belgian Pro League | Gent (H) | 1-1 | 2.19 | 1.63 | 1.72 | 1 | W |
| 9 May | Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge (A) | 2-0 | 0.42 | 3.03 | 0.17 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (H) | 2-1 | 2.07 | 0.44 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (A) | 1-4 | 1.85 | 1.34 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 23 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Anderlecht (H) | 2-0 | 1.55 | 1.44 | 1.45 | 3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Gent (A) | 0-0 | 1.46 | 0.47 | 2.11 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge (H) | 1-2 | 2.03 | 2.45 | 1.17 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (A) | 1-0 | 0.75 | 1.49 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (H) | 1-3 | 1.45 | 1.98 | 1.06 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Genk (A) | 1-0 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 1.33 | 0 | D |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Merlen | midfielder | 19 | 1132 | 2.11 | 6 | +3.89 | 0.17 |
| Samed Bazdar | attacker | 6 | 393 | 2.88 | 5 | +2.12 | 0.66 |
| Ryotaro Ito | midfielder | 10 | 752 | 1.83 | 3 | +1.17 | 0.22 |
| Nelson Ishiwatari | midfielder | 7 | 324 | 0.48 | 1 | +0.52 | 0.13 |
| Joedrick Pupe | defender | 14 | 797 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.06 |
| Frederic Soelle Soelle | attacker | 3 | 186 | 0.73 | 1 | +0.27 | 0.35 |
| Taiga Hata | defender | 16 | 1242 | 0.82 | 1 | +0.18 | 0.06 |
| R. Araki | midfielder | 6 | 377 | 0.89 | 1 | +0.11 | 0.21 |
| Loïc Mbe Soh | defender | 10 | 649 | 1.00 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Arbnor Muja | attacker | 9 | 655 | 1.11 | 1 | -0.11 | 0.15 |
| Abdoulaye Sissako | midfielder | 20 | 1749 | 1.23 | 1 | -0.23 | 0.06 |
| Shogo Taniguchi | defender | 15 | 1206 | 0.56 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.04 |
| Rihito Yamamoto | midfielder | 11 | 944 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.07 |
| Oumar Diouf | attacker | 17 | 316 | 2.77 | 2 | -0.77 | 0.79 |
| Visar Musliu | defender | 17 | 1461 | 0.87 | 0 | -0.87 | 0.05 |
| Nathanaël Mbuku | attacker | 4 | 117 | 0.87 | 0 | -0.87 | 0.67 |
| Robert-Jan Vanwesemael | defender | 20 | 1734 | 2.15 | 1 | -1.15 | 0.11 |
| Kaito Matsuzawa | attacker | 19 | 753 | 2.41 | 1 | -1.41 | 0.29 |
| Keisuke Goto | attacker | 12 | 968 | 2.54 | 1 | -1.54 | 0.24 |
| Ilias Sebaoui | attacker | 20 | 1635 | 5.86 | 3 | -2.86 | 0.32 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.6 | 4 | 14.8 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 16.3 | 16 | 8.3 | 7 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Club Brugge | 8 | 22.6 | 19 | 9.7 | 4 | 16.7 | 21 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 8 | 8.8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SK Beveren | 8 | 8.4 | 8 | 15.8 | 14 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 8 | 13.3 | 20 | 13.9 | 17 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 8 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.2 | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 9 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11.4 | 9 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 11 | 12 | 18.8 | 20 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 11 | Genk | 8 | 14.3 | 16 | 10.2 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liège | 8 | 14.6 | 13 | 12.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Mechelen | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 8 | 10.2 | 8 | 18.1 | 18 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 10.5 | 6 | 17.1 | 14 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| 16 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 8.1 | 2 | 15.3 | 18 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| 17 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | 15.8 | 15 | 12.7 | 16 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 11.8 | 9 | 12.4 | 16 | 10.5 | 3 | -7.5 |