How much xG Freiburg create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 8 November 2026, after the last game
Freiburg create 1.85 expected goals per game in the Bundesliga in 2026/2027, the 8th most of the 18 clubs and above the league average of 1.73, across nine league games, while FC Bayern München create the most with 3.03.
Igor Matanovic has created the most expected goals for Freiburg in 2026/2027, 3.00 in 14 appearances, 0.21 a game, ahead of Lucas Höler with 2.00 and Lukas Kübler with 1.00, across all competitions.
Freiburg create more expected goals at home, 2.02 a game in their last 10 home games against 1.41 in their last 10 away.
Freiburg created 4.15 expected goals at home to Motherwell on 27 August, their most in a game in 2026/2027, against an average of 2.01 across their 14 games, and their fewest was 1.00 away at Trabzonspor on 5 November.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Matanovic | 14 | 3 | 0.21 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Lucas Höler | 11 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Lukas Kübler | 11 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cyriaque Irié | 11 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Yannik Engelhardt | 12 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Vincenzo Grifo | 13 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Yuito Suzuki | 13 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Derry Scherhant | 13 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 14 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Matthias Ginter | 14 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bruno Ogbus | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rihito Yamamoto | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Günter | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Berkay Yilmaz | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Osterhage | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Rosenfelder | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Niklas Beste | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keisuke Goto | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Philipp Lienhart | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Philipp Treu | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordy Makengo | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mio Backhaus | 14 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Freiburg | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | U Berlin (H) | Bundesliga | 2-0 | 2.34 | 0.55 | 2.89 |
| 5 Nov 2026 | Trabzonspor (A) | Europa Conference League | 0-1 | 1.00 | 1.31 | 2.31 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Augsburg (A) | Bundesliga | 1-2 | 1.43 | 1.18 | 2.61 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Bayern (H) | Bundesliga | 1-3 | 1.41 | 1.89 | 3.30 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Monaco (A) | Europa Conference League | 3-0 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 3.02 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Leverkusen (A) | Bundesliga | 2-1 | 1.12 | 1.52 | 2.64 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Jablonec (H) | Europa Conference League | 3-2 | 2.07 | 1.56 | 3.63 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Schalke (H) | Bundesliga | 2-1 | 1.26 | 0.47 | 1.73 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Frankfurt (A) | Bundesliga | 2-2 | 2.78 | 2.14 | 4.92 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Gladbach (H) | Bundesliga | 5-0 | 3.10 | 0.31 | 3.41 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Paderborn (A) | Bundesliga | 0-1 | 1.29 | 0.81 | 2.10 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Bremen (H) | Bundesliga | 4-1 | 1.95 | 0.71 | 2.66 |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Motherwell (H) | Europa Conference League | 4-1 | 4.15 | 0.09 | 4.24 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Motherwell (A) | Europa Conference League | 1-3 | 2.76 | 0.50 | 3.26 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg expected goals | Over 1.50 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Freiburg expected goals | Over 2.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Freiburg expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Freiburg expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Freiburg expected goals | Over 3.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.50 | 0 of 10 | 0% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |