Yes, Santa Clara have taken 37 points over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 6.13 more than the 30.87 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Santa Clara create 1.19 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 23.75 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 3.25 more than that xG would expect.
Santa Clara allow 0.94 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 18.82 in all, and have conceded 17 goals from those chances, 1.82 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Gonçalo Paciência has the most expected goals (xG) for Santa Clara over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 5.16 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Gabriel Silva is next with 2.56 xG.
Santa Clara have taken 6.1 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +3.3 goals against their xG, and +1.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 23.75 | 27 | +3.25 | 18.82 | 17 | +1.82 | 30.87 | 37 | +6.13 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.16 | 14 | +0.84 | 8.09 | 5 | +3.09 | 17.20 | 21 | +3.80 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.38 | 8 | +1.62 | 3.14 | 2 | +1.14 | 9.14 | 11 | +1.86 |
| Home | 9 | 12.22 | 14 | +1.78 | 6.94 | 5 | +1.94 | 15.56 | 20 | +4.44 |
| Away | 11 | 11.53 | 13 | +1.47 | 11.88 | 12 | -0.12 | 15.31 | 17 | +1.69 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (A) | 0-1 | 0.76 | 0.38 | 1.66 | 3 | D |
| 20 Sep | Liga Portugal | Braga (H) | 0-0 | 0.82 | 0.67 | 1.45 | 1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Liga Portugal | Arouca (A) | 1-2 | 1.37 | 1.02 | 1.62 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave (H) | 4-0 | 2.13 | 0.68 | 2.32 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga Portugal | Alverca (A) | 1-1 | 1.30 | 0.39 | 2.09 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Liga Portugal | Famalicão (H) | 1-0 | 1.64 | 1.03 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Liga Portugal | Ac. Viseu (A) | 0-1 | 1.39 | 0.62 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 10 Aug | Liga Portugal | Nacional (H) | 2-2 | 1.55 | 1.25 | 1.57 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Liga Portugal | Porto (A) | 1-0 | 0.58 | 1.04 | 0.95 | 0 | L |
| 11 May | Liga Portugal | Nacional (H) | 2-0 | 1.62 | 1.01 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Liga Portugal | Arouca (A) | 2-2 | 1.92 | 1.30 | 1.78 | 1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Liga Portugal | Braga (H) | 2-1 | 2.41 | 0.19 | 2.72 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (A) | 0-0 | 0.20 | 1.86 | 0.28 | 1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave (H) | 0-2 | 0.81 | 0.25 | 1.84 | 0 | W |
| 3 Apr | Liga Portugal | Sporting (A) | 4-2 | 0.46 | 2.54 | 0.27 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente (H) | 1-0 | 0.28 | 0.81 | 0.79 | 3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Liga Portugal | AVS (A) | 0-1 | 1.02 | 0.23 | 2.03 | 3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Liga Portugal | Vitória SC (H) | 2-0 | 0.96 | 1.05 | 1.28 | 3 | L |
| 1 Mar | Liga Portugal | Tondela (A) | 2-2 | 1.86 | 1.14 | 1.85 | 1 | W |
| 21 Feb | Liga Portugal | Alverca (A) | 1-1 | 0.67 | 1.36 | 0.83 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonçalo Paciência | attacker | 17 | 1017 | 5.16 | 7 | +1.84 | 0.46 |
| Gabriel Silva | attacker | 12 | 1019 | 2.56 | 4 | +1.44 | 0.23 |
| Tiago Ribeiro | midfielder | 8 | 385 | 0.29 | 1 | +0.71 | 0.07 |
| Sidney Lima | defender | 13 | 1170 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.02 |
| Luis Fernando | attacker | 18 | 697 | 1.46 | 2 | +0.54 | 0.19 |
| Gustavo Klismahn | midfielder | 10 | 654 | 0.49 | 1 | +0.51 | 0.07 |
| Pedro Pacheco | defender | 11 | 907 | 0.50 | 1 | +0.50 | 0.05 |
| Djé | midfielder | 19 | 1209 | 0.86 | 1 | +0.14 | 0.06 |
| Brenner | attacker | 15 | 620 | 1.90 | 2 | +0.10 | 0.28 |
| Welinton Torrão | attacker | 18 | 672 | 1.03 | 1 | -0.03 | 0.14 |
| Elias Manoel | attacker | 7 | 150 | 2.08 | 2 | -0.08 | 1.25 |
| Serginho | midfielder | 11 | 961 | 1.16 | 1 | -0.16 | 0.11 |
| VinÃcius Lopes | attacker | 18 | 994 | 2.51 | 2 | -0.51 | 0.23 |
| Guilherme Romão | defender | 18 | 1552 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.04 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 18.7 | 20 | 7.9 | 4 | 17.2 | 24 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 9.7 | 11 | 14.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| 3 | Arouca | 8 | 8.9 | 11 | 11.2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | +4 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 14.4 | 18 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 8 | 13.8 | 20 | 7.1 | 9 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Rio Ave | 8 | 6.2 | 8 | 14.9 | 17 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 8 | 6.6 | 8 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 11.2 | 13 | 12.1 | 12 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Benfica | 8 | 18.6 | 24 | 5.8 | 7 | 18.4 | 19 | +0.6 |
| 10 | MarÃtimo | 8 | 7.1 | 9 | 11.3 | 14 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| 11 | Sporting Braga | 7 | 8.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 8 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6.6 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 6.7 | 10 | 11.4 | 11 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 11.9 | 14 | 11.1 | 15 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 8 | 7 | 3 | 13.7 | 17 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 4 | -5 |
| 17 | Estoril | 8 | 7.4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Vitória Guimarães | 8 | 13.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 5 | -9.2 |