No, Nordsjælland have taken 19 points over 11 Superliga games in 2026/2027, within 1.56 of the 20.56 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Nordsjælland create 2.22 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Superliga games in 2026/2027, 24.39 in all, and have scored 17 goals from those chances, 7.39 fewer than that xG would expect.
Nordsjælland allow 1.39 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Superliga games in 2026/2027, 15.30 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 2.30 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Ibrahim Adel has the most expected goals (xG) for Nordsjælland over 11 Superliga games in 2026/2027, 3.45 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Hjalte Boe Rasmussen is next with 3.36 xG.
Nordsjælland's results and their chances agree, within 1.6 points of xPts over 11 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 24.39 | 17 | -7.39 | 15.30 | 13 | +2.30 | 20.56 | 19 | -1.56 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 21.17 | 16 | -5.17 | 13.79 | 12 | +1.79 | 18.31 | 18 | -0.31 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.40 | 8 | -3.40 | 8.93 | 9 | -0.07 | 8.46 | 6 | -2.46 |
| Home | 5 | 11.96 | 7 | -4.96 | 4.70 | 1 | +3.70 | 11.28 | 13 | +1.72 |
| Away | 6 | 12.43 | 10 | -2.43 | 10.60 | 12 | -1.40 | 9.28 | 6 | -3.28 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Superliga | Lyngby (A) | 3-3 | 3.04 | 2.24 | 1.80 | 1 | W |
| 9 Oct | Superliga | Odense BK (H) | 0-0 | 2.46 | 0.51 | 2.55 | 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Superliga | Viborg FF (A) | 4-1 | 1.57 | 2.81 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Superliga | AGF (H) | 2-0 | 2.44 | 1.43 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Superliga | Midtjylland (A) | 2-2 | 1.89 | 1.94 | 1.37 | 1 | L |
| 3 Sep | Superliga | Copenhagen (A) | 2-0 | 0.79 | 1.29 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Superliga | Brøndby IF (H) | 3-1 | 2.34 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Superliga | Sønderjyske (A) | 0-3 | 1.92 | 0.81 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Superliga | Silkeborg (H) | 1-0 | 1.98 | 0.30 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Superliga | Randers FC (H) | 1-0 | 2.74 | 0.61 | 2.57 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Superliga | Horsens (A) | 1-1 | 3.22 | 1.51 | 2.25 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Walker | defender | 3 | 156 | 0.23 | 2 | +1.77 | 0.13 |
| Malte Heyde | midfielder | 6 | 104 | 0.27 | 1 | +0.73 | 0.24 |
| Justin Janssen | midfielder | 11 | 823 | 1.49 | 2 | +0.51 | 0.16 |
| Alexander Lind | attacker | 9 | 521 | 2.59 | 3 | +0.41 | 0.45 |
| Mark Brink | midfielder | 10 | 649 | 1.13 | 1 | -0.13 | 0.16 |
| Hjalte Boe Rasmussen | attacker | 11 | 437 | 3.36 | 3 | -0.36 | 0.69 |
| Nicklas Røjkjær | midfielder | 8 | 498 | 1.61 | 1 | -0.61 | 0.29 |
| Villum Berthelsen | midfielder | 11 | 515 | 1.68 | 1 | -0.68 | 0.29 |
| Juho Lähteenmäki | defender | 11 | 862 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.08 |
| Peter Ankersen | defender | 8 | 635 | 0.89 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.13 |
| Mamadou Sadio | midfielder | 7 | 255 | 0.92 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.33 |
| Runar Norheim | defender | 11 | 930 | 2.98 | 2 | -0.98 | 0.29 |
| Prince Amoako Junior | attacker | 9 | 566 | 2.23 | 0 | -2.23 | 0.35 |
| Ibrahim Adel | attacker | 11 | 572 | 3.45 | 1 | -2.45 | 0.54 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC København | 10 | 15.7 | 24 | 11.3 | 10 | 16.5 | 24 | +7.5 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 14.1 | 19 | 13.2 | 10 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Viborg FF | 10 | 17.5 | 17 | 13.5 | 8 | 16.5 | 20 | +3.5 |
| 4 | Horsens | 11 | 13.4 | 18 | 20.9 | 19 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| 5 | Brøndby IF | 11 | 17.6 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 16.7 | 16 | -0.7 |
| 6 | Silkeborg IF | 11 | 12.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| 7 | Odense BK | 11 | 17.9 | 10 | 19.7 | 15 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 11 | 12.9 | 11 | 17.1 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 9 | Nordsjælland | 11 | 24.4 | 17 | 15.3 | 13 | 20.6 | 19 | -1.6 |
| 10 | Sønderjyske Fodbold | 11 | 12.4 | 16 | 17.7 | 24 | 12.2 | 8 | -4.2 |
| 11 | AGF | 10 | 16.4 | 14 | 15.8 | 17 | 14.7 | 8 | -6.7 |
| 12 | Lyngby Boldklub | 11 | 19.8 | 15 | 17 | 24 | 16.2 | 8 | -8.2 |