Lillestrøm xG 2026/2027

Lillestrøm xG Questions

Are Lillestrøm overperforming their xG this season?

Yes, Lillestrøm have taken 36 points over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 4.63 more than the 31.37 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Lillestrøm's xG per game this season?

Lillestrøm create 1.64 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 37.70 in all, and have scored 32 goals from those chances, 5.70 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Lillestrøm's xGA per game this season?

Lillestrøm allow 1.68 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 38.73 in all, and have conceded 31 goals from those chances, 7.73 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Lillestrøm this season?

Thomas Lehne Olsen has the most expected goals (xG) for Lillestrøm over 23 Eliteserien games in 2026/2027, 6.26 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Felix Vá is next with 6.04 xG.

Lillestrøm expected goals 2026/2027: 2026/2027

Games: 23
Expected goals (xG): 37.70
Goals scored: 32
Goals minus xG: -5.70
Expected goals against (xGA): 38.73
Goals conceded: 31
xGA minus goals conceded: +7.73
Expected points (xPts): 31.37
Points: 36
Points minus xPts: +4.63
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Lillestrøm overperforming their expected goals?

Lillestrøm have taken 4.6 points more than their chances warranted over 23 games: -5.7 goals against their xG, and +7.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Lillestrøm results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	23	37.70	32	-5.70	38.73	31	+7.73	31.37	36	+4.63
Last 10	10	14.90	11	-3.90	22.01	19	+3.01	10.13	11	+0.87
Last 5	5	6.34	8	+1.66	11.46	6	+5.46	4.08	10	+5.92
Home	11	18.67	19	+0.33	17.64	17	+0.64	16.02	16	-0.02
Away	12	19.03	13	-6.03	21.09	14	+7.09	15.35	20	+4.65

Lillestrøm expected goals match by match, 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (A)	0-2	0.72	1.41	0.85	3	L
11 Oct	Eliteserien	Molde (H)	2-2	1.76	2.87	0.84	1	L
20 Sep	Eliteserien	Viking (A)	3-0	1.64	3.39	0.59	0	L
12 Sep	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (H)	2-0	0.93	1.37	1.04	3	L
5 Sep	Eliteserien	Brann (A)	1-2	1.29	2.42	0.76	3	L
30 Aug	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (H)	1-4	1.89	2.89	0.89	0	L
15 Aug	Eliteserien	KFUM (A)	1-1	2.17	1.08	2.06	1	W
9 Aug	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (H)	0-2	2.31	2.86	1.13	0	L
31 Jul	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (A)	4-0	0.76	2.55	0.42	0	L
22 Jul	Eliteserien	Viking (H)	1-2	1.43	1.17	1.55	0	W
18 Jul	Eliteserien	KFUM (H)	2-1	0.78	0.45	1.61	3	D
11 Jul	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad (A)	0-2	1.51	0.99	1.74	3	W
25 May	Eliteserien	HamKam (A)	2-0	2.22	1.27	1.96	0	W
20 May	Eliteserien	Kristiansund (H)	1-2	1.61	1.61	1.38	0	L
16 May	Eliteserien	Sandefjord (H)	3-1	1.75	1.45	1.57	3	W
10 May	Eliteserien	Rosenborg (A)	2-0	0.46	2.17	0.36	0	L
3 May	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 (H)	4-0	2.90	0.89	2.47	3	W
26 Apr	Eliteserien	Bodø / Glimt (H)	0-2	1.26	1.21	1.40	0	W
19 Apr	Eliteserien	Vålerenga (A)	0-2	1.10	1.36	1.18	3	L
15 Apr	Eliteserien	Tromsø (A)	0-0	1.70	2.08	1.17	1	L
11 Apr	Eliteserien	Start (H)	3-1	2.05	0.87	2.14	3	W
6 Apr	Eliteserien	Molde (A)	0-1	1.61	1.05	1.76	3	W
15 Mar	Eliteserien	Aalesund (A)	1-3	3.85	1.32	2.50	3	W

Lillestrøm players: goals against expected goals, 2026/2027

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Gustav Nyheim	attacker	22	1394	2.17	4	+1.83	0.14
Camil Jebara	attacker	11	322	0.22	1	+0.78	0.06
Ruben Gabrielsen	defender	18	1620	0.57	1	+0.43	0.03
Sander Moen Foss	defender	13	951	0.60	1	+0.40	0.06
Linus Alperud	attacker	11	316	0.79	1	+0.21	0.22
Markus Karlsbakk	midfielder	15	1178	3.96	4	+0.04	0.30
Felix Vá	attacker	23	1903	6.04	6	-0.04	0.29
Lars Ranger	defender	20	1684	2.09	2	-0.09	0.11
Thomas Lehne Olsen	attacker	17	1188	6.26	6	-0.26	0.47
Eric Kitolano	midfielder	12	880	1.27	1	-0.27	0.13
Fredrik Gulbrandsen	attacker	10	393	2.43	2	-0.43	0.56
Kparobo Arierhi	attacker	11	240	1.59	1	-0.59	0.59
Sturla Ottesen	defender	16	1000	0.65	0	-0.65	0.06
Yaw Paintsil	defender	17	842	1.19	0	-1.19	0.13
Salieu Drammeh	attacker	12	986	3.69	2	-1.69	0.34
Y. Ibrahimaj	midfielder	22	1736	1.87	0	-1.87	0.10

Eliteserien 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Viking	23	55.1	59	32.8	22	43.7	56	+12.3
2	KFUM	23	28.1	28	42.9	37	23.4	29	+5.6
3	Fredrikstad	23	28.6	28	43.5	36	24.1	29	+4.9
4	Lillestrøm	23	37.7	32	38.7	31	31.4	36	+4.6
5	Bodø / Glimt	23	65.1	58	21.8	20	52.5	56	+3.5
6	Tromsø	23	39.4	42	32.4	31	37.4	40	+2.6
7	Rosenborg	23	42.7	43	35	31	37	37	0
8	HamKam	23	31.8	33	42.9	48	26	26	-0
9	Molde	23	48.5	52	32.4	35	40.4	40	-0.4
10	Aalesund	23	37.1	39	50.2	51	25.6	24	-1.6
11	Sandefjord	23	30.4	22	43.2	30	25.9	24	-1.9
12	Brann	23	43.5	40	41.4	37	33	29	-4
13	Sarpsborg 08	23	39	28	38.6	34	32.2	28	-4.2
14	Kristiansund	23	27.6	23	47	47	23.8	19	-4.8
15	Vålerenga	23	42.2	38	42.1	46	32.1	26	-6.1
16	Start	23	34.9	25	46.5	54	26.2	16	-10.2

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