No, Gil Vicente have taken 24 points over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 6.92 fewer than the 30.92 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Gil Vicente create 1.41 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 28.28 in all, and have scored 22 goals from those chances, 6.28 fewer than that xG would expect.
Gil Vicente allow 1.17 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 23.44 in all, and have conceded 26 goals from those chances, 2.56 more than that xGA would expect.
Murilo de Souza Costa has the most expected goals (xG) for Gil Vicente over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 6.80 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Héctor Hernández is next with 4.48 xG.
Gil Vicente have taken 6.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -6.3 goals against their xG, and -2.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 28.28 | 22 | -6.28 | 23.44 | 26 | -2.56 | 30.92 | 24 | -6.92 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.68 | 7 | -5.68 | 11.33 | 11 | +0.33 | 14.92 | 12 | -2.92 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.66 | 3 | -3.66 | 5.69 | 5 | +0.69 | 7.60 | 5 | -2.60 |
| Home | 11 | 16.17 | 15 | -1.17 | 10.12 | 12 | -1.88 | 19.17 | 17 | -2.17 |
| Away | 9 | 12.11 | 7 | -5.11 | 13.32 | 14 | -0.68 | 11.75 | 7 | -4.75 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct | Liga Portugal | Moreirense (A) | 0-1 | 1.67 | 1.16 | 1.72 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Liga Portugal | MarÃtimo (H) | 1-1 | 1.47 | 0.94 | 1.75 | 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Liga Portugal | Benfica (A) | 3-1 | 0.93 | 2.89 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Liga Portugal | Ac. Viseu (H) | 0-1 | 2.30 | 0.33 | 2.60 | 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Liga Portugal | Famalicão (A) | 0-0 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 1.12 | 1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (H) | 2-0 | 1.66 | 0.80 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave (H) | 1-0 | 1.63 | 0.15 | 2.48 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Liga Portugal | Sporting (A) | 3-0 | 0.87 | 1.62 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 11 May | Liga Portugal | Arouca (H) | 1-3 | 1.03 | 0.95 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 3 May | Liga Portugal | Rio Ave (A) | 0-0 | 0.83 | 2.12 | 0.60 | 1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (H) | 2-1 | 1.73 | 1.24 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Liga Portugal | Vitória SC (H) | 0-1 | 1.30 | 1.01 | 1.57 | 0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Liga Portugal | Tondela (A) | 2-2 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 3 Apr | Liga Portugal | AVS (H) | 3-0 | 2.20 | 0.45 | 2.49 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Liga Portugal | Santa Clara (A) | 1-0 | 0.81 | 0.28 | 1.80 | 0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Liga Portugal | Alverca (H) | 2-2 | 0.84 | 1.79 | 0.74 | 1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Liga Portugal | Estrela (A) | 2-2 | 2.27 | 1.28 | 1.99 | 1 | W |
| 2 Mar | Liga Portugal | Benfica (H) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 1.67 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Liga Portugal | Estoril (A) | 3-1 | 2.53 | 1.73 | 1.84 | 0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Liga Portugal | Braga (H) | 2-1 | 1.13 | 0.79 | 1.61 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AgustÃn Nahuel Moreira Morales | attacker | 15 | 792 | 1.43 | 2 | +0.57 | 0.16 |
| Murilo de Souza Costa | attacker | 19 | 1552 | 6.80 | 7 | +0.20 | 0.39 |
| Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente | attacker | 11 | 220 | 0.84 | 1 | +0.16 | 0.35 |
| Gil Martins | midfielder | 8 | 521 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.07 | 0.16 |
| Héctor Hernández | attacker | 15 | 801 | 4.48 | 4 | -0.48 | 0.50 |
| LuÃs André Leite Esteves | midfielder | 13 | 1112 | 1.53 | 1 | -0.53 | 0.12 |
| Marvin Adolphe Fabrice Elimbi Gilbert | defender | 16 | 1374 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.04 |
| Andreas Lausen | midfielder | 7 | 424 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.13 |
| Mohamed Kaba | attacker | 5 | 149 | 0.70 | 0 | -0.70 | 0.42 |
| Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela | attacker | 12 | 748 | 3.74 | 3 | -0.74 | 0.45 |
| Santiago GarcÃa González | midfielder | 17 | 1430 | 2.86 | 2 | -0.86 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 18.7 | 20 | 7.9 | 4 | 17.2 | 24 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 9.7 | 11 | 14.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| 3 | Arouca | 8 | 8.9 | 11 | 11.2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | +4 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 14.4 | 18 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 8 | 13.8 | 20 | 7.1 | 9 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Rio Ave | 8 | 6.2 | 8 | 14.9 | 17 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 8 | 6.6 | 8 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 11.2 | 13 | 12.1 | 12 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Benfica | 8 | 18.6 | 24 | 5.8 | 7 | 18.4 | 19 | +0.6 |
| 10 | MarÃtimo | 8 | 7.1 | 9 | 11.3 | 14 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| 11 | Sporting Braga | 7 | 8.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 8 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6.6 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 6.7 | 10 | 11.4 | 11 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 11.9 | 14 | 11.1 | 15 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 8 | 7 | 3 | 13.7 | 17 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 4 | -5 |
| 17 | Estoril | 8 | 7.4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Vitória Guimarães | 8 | 13.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 5 | -9.2 |