Yes, Fortuna have taken 27 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 5.77 more than the 21.23 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Fortuna create 1.29 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 25.86 in all, and have scored 30 goals from those chances, 4.14 more than that xG would expect.
Fortuna allow 1.98 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 39.67 in all, and have conceded 40 goals from those chances, 0.33 more than that xGA would expect.
K. Sierhuis has the most expected goals (xG) for Fortuna over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 4.79 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Mohamed Ihattaren is next with 2.69 xG.
Fortuna have taken 5.8 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +4.1 goals against their xG, and -0.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 25.86 | 30 | +4.14 | 39.67 | 40 | -0.33 | 21.23 | 27 | +5.77 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.69 | 17 | +7.31 | 21.68 | 19 | +2.68 | 8.72 | 17 | +8.28 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.76 | 9 | +4.24 | 9.18 | 10 | -0.82 | 4.75 | 10 | +5.25 |
| Home | 10 | 14.15 | 14 | -0.15 | 20.72 | 21 | -0.28 | 11.66 | 11 | -0.66 |
| Away | 10 | 11.71 | 16 | +4.29 | 18.95 | 19 | -0.05 | 9.57 | 16 | +6.43 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Eredivisie | FC Twente (H) | 1-1 | 1.01 | 1.12 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | Eredivisie | Willem II (A) | 0-1 | 1.42 | 1.32 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Eredivisie | Ajax (H) | 1-5 | 0.69 | 3.82 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag (A) | 2-3 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 1.19 | 3 | D |
| 28 Aug | Eredivisie | FC Groningen (A) | 2-3 | 0.99 | 2.14 | 0.69 | 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Eredivisie | AZ (H) | 0-2 | 0.24 | 4.69 | 0.03 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | Eredivisie | SC Cambuur (H) | 3-1 | 1.88 | 2.03 | 1.31 | 3 | L |
| 8 Aug | Eredivisie | PSV (A) | 2-2 | 0.71 | 2.63 | 0.37 | 1 | L |
| 17 May | Eredivisie | FC Utrecht (A) | 2-0 | 0.60 | 2.35 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle (H) | 3-2 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 1.87 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Eredivisie | Feyenoord (H) | 1-2 | 0.70 | 2.13 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Eredivisie | Heerenveen (A) | 2-1 | 0.74 | 2.45 | 0.44 | 0 | L |
| 12 Apr | Eredivisie | NAC Breda (H) | 1-1 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.55 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Eredivisie | AZ (A) | 2-0 | 0.83 | 1.66 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Twente (H) | 1-2 | 1.09 | 1.94 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Eredivisie | FC Volendam (A) | 1-2 | 2.12 | 2.60 | 1.15 | 3 | L |
| 8 Mar | Eredivisie | Telstar (H) | 1-4 | 3.42 | 1.58 | 2.28 | 0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Eredivisie | NEC Nijmegen (A) | 2-3 | 2.42 | 1.60 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 20 Feb | Eredivisie | Excelsior (H) | 2-1 | 2.37 | 1.61 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 14 Feb | Eredivisie | Ajax (A) | 4-1 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.24 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Ihattaren | midfielder | 17 | 1110 | 2.69 | 5 | +2.31 | 0.22 |
| Anthony Descotte | attacker | 8 | 447 | 1.20 | 3 | +1.80 | 0.24 |
| Lequincio Zeefuik | attacker | 8 | 573 | 1.31 | 3 | +1.69 | 0.21 |
| P. Brittijn | midfielder | 19 | 1530 | 1.39 | 3 | +1.61 | 0.08 |
| Dimitrios Limnios | attacker | 12 | 889 | 1.14 | 2 | +0.86 | 0.12 |
| Iván Márquez | defender | 10 | 690 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.09 |
| Shiloh 't Zand | midfielder | 7 | 517 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 | 0.13 |
| Ole Romeny | attacker | 5 | 315 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.22 |
| Edouard Michut | midfielder | 14 | 1148 | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 | 0.06 |
| Yassin Oukili | midfielder | 17 | 663 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.12 |
| Justin Hubner | defender | 18 | 1450 | 1.20 | 1 | -0.20 | 0.07 |
| Neraysho Kasanwirjo | defender | 11 | 869 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.06 |
| Kristoffer Peterson | attacker | 14 | 484 | 1.74 | 1 | -0.74 | 0.32 |
| K. Sierhuis | attacker | 11 | 791 | 4.79 | 4 | -0.79 | 0.54 |
| Lance Duijvestijn | midfielder | 12 | 1018 | 2.34 | 1 | -1.34 | 0.21 |
| Paul Gladon | attacker | 10 | 355 | 2.52 | 1 | -1.52 | 0.64 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 7.6 | 14 | 18.5 | 15 | 6.5 | 14 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 9 | 25.1 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 20.5 | 23 | +2.5 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 9 | 15.2 | 22 | 18.2 | 19 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| 4 | AZ | 9 | 21.7 | 20 | 9.9 | 10 | 18.1 | 20 | +1.9 |
| 5 | PSV | 9 | 22.2 | 27 | 11.2 | 12 | 18.2 | 19 | +0.8 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 13.6 | 15 | 14.3 | 11 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 9 | 13.1 | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 10.6 | 10 | 20.5 | 22 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Ajax | 9 | 24 | 27 | 11.3 | 12 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 | FC Twente | 8 | 18.7 | 16 | 6.4 | 8 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 13.5 | 13 | 15.1 | 14 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| 12 | SC Cambuur | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 16.3 | 21 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 11.2 | 14 | 15.4 | 25 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 17 | 20 | 16.7 | 21 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 8.5 | 11 | 17.5 | 20 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 12.5 | 10 | 20.4 | 18 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| 17 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 18.9 | 22 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 11.8 | 9 | 20.3 | 26 | 7.9 | 2 | -5.9 |