Yes, Ferencvárosi have taken 28 points over their last 13 Europa League games, 7.21 more than the 20.79 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Ferencvárosi create 1.67 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 13 Europa League games, 21.68 in all, and have scored 22 goals from those chances, 0.32 more than that xG would expect.
Ferencvárosi allow 1.26 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 13 Europa League games, 16.38 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 3.38 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Yusuf Bamidele has the most expected goals (xG) for Ferencvárosi over their last 13 Europa League games, 4.53 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Lenny Joseph is next with 4.06 xG.
Ferencvárosi have taken 7.2 points more than their chances warranted over 13 games: +0.3 goals against their xG, and +3.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 13 | 13 | 21.68 | 22 | +0.32 | 16.38 | 13 | +3.38 | 20.79 | 28 | +7.21 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.70 | 17 | +0.30 | 13.20 | 10 | +3.20 | 15.56 | 21 | +5.44 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.03 | 10 | -0.03 | 6.23 | 2 | +4.23 | 8.66 | 13 | +4.34 |
| Home | 6 | 11.54 | 12 | +0.46 | 5.23 | 4 | +1.23 | 11.70 | 14 | +2.30 |
| Away | 7 | 10.14 | 10 | -0.14 | 11.15 | 9 | +2.15 | 9.09 | 14 | +4.91 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Europa League | Celtic (A) | 1-3 | 1.54 | 1.33 | 1.52 | 3 | W |
| 27 Aug | Europa League | Trabzonspor (H) | 4-0 | 3.83 | 0.40 | 2.81 | 3 | W |
| 20 Aug | Europa League | Trabzonspor (A) | 0-1 | 1.91 | 1.45 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 13 Aug | Europa League | Górnik Zabrze (A) | 1-1 | 1.17 | 2.18 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 5 Aug | Europa League | Górnik Zabrze (H) | 1-0 | 1.58 | 0.87 | 1.87 | 3 | W |
| 29 Jan | Europa League | Forest (A) | 4-0 | 0.72 | 2.47 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 22 Jan | Europa League | Panathinaikos (H) | 1-1 | 1.69 | 0.72 | 2.06 | 1 | W |
| 11 Dec | Europa League | Rangers (H) | 2-1 | 1.62 | 1.50 | 1.46 | 3 | W |
| 27 Nov | Europa League | Fenerbahçe (A) | 1-1 | 0.95 | 1.27 | 1.12 | 1 | L |
| 6 Nov | Europa League | Ludogorets (H) | 3-1 | 1.69 | 1.01 | 1.84 | 3 | W |
| 23 Oct | Europa League | Salzburg (A) | 2-3 | 2.55 | 1.26 | 2.13 | 3 | W |
| 2 Oct | Europa League | Genk (A) | 0-1 | 1.30 | 1.19 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 25 Sep | Europa League | Plzeň (H) | 1-1 | 1.13 | 0.73 | 1.66 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marius Corbu | midfielder | 5 | 443 | 1.10 | 2 | +0.90 | 0.22 |
| Barnabás Varga | attacker | 6 | 454 | 3.15 | 4 | +0.85 | 0.62 |
| Daniel Arzani | attacker | 3 | 98 | 0.35 | 1 | +0.65 | 0.33 |
| Cadu | midfielder | 13 | 997 | 0.39 | 1 | +0.61 | 0.04 |
| Callum O'Dowda | midfielder | 10 | 498 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.08 |
| Yusuf Bamidele | attacker | 12 | 787 | 4.53 | 5 | +0.47 | 0.52 |
| Bence Ötvös | midfielder | 8 | 379 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.13 |
| Gabi Kanichowsky | midfielder | 11 | 711 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.09 |
| Kristoffer Zachariassen | midfielder | 12 | 858 | 3.04 | 3 | -0.04 | 0.32 |
| Lenny Joseph | attacker | 12 | 564 | 4.06 | 1 | -3.06 | 0.65 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 0.4 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.5 | 3 | +2.5 |
| 2 | OFI | 1 | 1.1 | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | 0.7 | 3 | +2.3 |
| 3 | Torreense | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 4 | Benfica | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Ferencvárosi | 1 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Olympique Lyonnais | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 8 | Salzburg | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 2.2 | 4 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 2.5 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 13 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 2.7 | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 15 | Juventus | 1 | 3.2 | 5 | 0.8 | 0 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 16 | Olympiacos F.C. | 1 | 3.2 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 19 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 3.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 3.2 | 5 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 21 | Celje | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 22 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | 2.7 | 3 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 23 | AZ | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 24 | Olympique Marseille | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 25 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 26 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 27 | Rennes | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 | Lech Poznań | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 2.2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 30 | Celtic | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 31 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 32 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 33 | AC Milan | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 34 | Lillestrøm | 1 | 2.6 | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 35 | TSG Hoffenheim | 1 | 2.2 | 0 | 1.1 | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 36 | Celta de Vigo | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.4 | 1 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |