Ethiopia Goals Stats 2026

Ethiopia Goals Stats 2026 - season overview

Ethiopia are averaging 1.07 goals per game in 2026, with matches involving them seeing 2.33 total goals on average. That puts them 32nd of 50 for team goals scored per match among CAF World Cup Qualifiers teams on their 2026 record across all competitions. Below you'll find player goal-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against Mozambique, and a full match-by-match log.

Ethiopia Goals Questions

Which Ethiopia players score the most goals?

Bereket Desta leads with 4 goals across 8 qualifying appearances (0.5/g, 25% hit rate). The goal-rate table below ranks every Ethiopia player by goals per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes) and six-game form.

How does Ethiopia's scoring profile look this season?

Ethiopia are averaging 1.07 goals per game over 15 games and concede 1.27 for a match-total of 2.33. That ranks 32nd of 50 for team goals scored. They're generating 5.93 shots/g from 1.93 key passes/g.

Why aren't there any Bet365 prices on this page?

The Bet365 player markets feed currently ships odds for Shots, Shots on Target, Tackles, Fouls and Yellow Cards. Anytime-scorer prices are not yet wired up; the chip will read “no priced market” until that's added.

How is the goals matchup read calculated?

Goals matchup blends our attackers' scoring rate (50%) with the opposition's goals conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against Mozambique, the page weights each Ethiopia attacker against the opposition's last-season goals-conceded rate.

Where do these goal stats come from?

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz - 15 Ethiopia fixtures in the active window for 2026.

Why is finishing rate (Goals / SOT) shown?

Ethiopia are currently finishing at 48% - that's the share of their shots on target that beat the keeper. Above-average finishing without a matching xG signal usually regresses; pair this with shots/g and key passes/g to read whether the goals trend is sustainable.

Ethiopia player goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
A. Nasir	attacker	2	3	1.5	50%
Biniam Ayten	midfielder	2	1	0.5	50%
Bereket Desta	attacker	8	4	0.5	25%
Bereket Waza	midfielder	7	1	0.14	14%
Ramkel James	defender	9	1	0.11	11%
Chernet Gugsa	attacker	10	0	0	0%
Yared Baye	defender	7	0	0	0%
Bekele Berhane	defender	6	0	0	0%
Abubeker Nura	goalkeeper	6	0	0	0%
Canaan Markneh	midfielder	5	0	0	0%
Wogene Gezahegn	attacker	5	0	0	0%
Abdulkarim Worku	midfielder	5	0	0	0%
Suleman Hamid	defender	3	0	0	0%
Gatoch Panom	midfielder	3	0	0	0%
Abel Yalew Tilahun	attacker	3	0	0	0%
Said Habtamu	goalkeeper	3	0	0	0%
Amanuel Yohannes	midfielder	3	0	0	0%
Yared Moges		3	0	0	0%
Asrat Tonjo	defender	3	0	0	0%
Ahmed Reshid	defender	3	0	0	0%
Anteneh Beyene	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Yared Kassaye	defender	2	0	0	0%
Amanuel Terfa	defender	2	0	0	0%
Firew Getahun	goalkeeper	2	0	0	0%
Fitsum Tilahun	attacker	2	0	0	0%

Ethiopia goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team goals	Opposition goals	Match total	Top player
29 Sep 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Senegal	Home	0-1	0	1	1
25 Sep 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Sudan	Away	1-0	0	1	1
9 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Malawi	Home	1-1	1	1	2
6 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Malawi	Home	1-0	1	0	1
31 Mar 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe	Home	1-0	1	0	1
27 Mar 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe	Away	0-3	3	0	3
12 Oct 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Burkina Faso	Away	3-1	1	3	4	Biniam Ayten (1)
8 Oct 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Guinea-Bissau	Home	1-0	1	0	1	Ramkel James (1)
9 Sep 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Sierra Leone	Away	2-0	0	2	2
5 Sep 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt	Away	2-0	0	2	2
24 Mar 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Djibouti	Home	6-1	6	1	7	Bereket Desta (3)
21 Mar 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt	Home	0-2	0	2	2

Ethiopia goals 2026: last 15 games

Goals for per game: 1.07
Goals against per game: 1.27
Match total goals per game: 2.33
Games: 15
League rank for match goals: 47 of 55

Ethiopia Goals for 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %
Home	9	1.11	56%	11%	11%	11%
Away	6	1	50%	33%	17%	0%
Overall	15	1.07	53%	20%	13%	7%

Ethiopia Goals against 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %
Home	9	1.11	67%	33%	11%	0%
Away	6	1.5	83%	50%	17%	0%
Overall	15	1.27	73%	40%	13%	0%

Ethiopia Match total 2026 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %	Over 5.5 %
Home	9	2.22	100%	56%	22%	11%	11%	11%
Away	6	2.5	100%	83%	50%	17%	0%	0%
Overall	15	2.33	100%	67%	33%	13%	7%	7%

Ethiopia Team goals 2026: overall, home and away (last 15 games)

Team goals	Overall	Home	Away
Goals / match	1.07	1.11	1
Goals over 0.5	53%	56%	50%
Goals over 1.5	20%	11%	33%
Goals over 2.5	13%	11%	17%
Goals over 3.5	7%	11%	0%

Ethiopia Goals against 2026: overall, home and away (last 15 games)

Goals against	Overall	Home	Away
Goals against / match	1.27	1.11	1.5
Goals against over 0.5	73%	67%	83%
Goals against over 1.5	40%	33%	50%
Goals against over 2.5	13%	11%	17%
Goals against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Match goals 2026: overall, home and away (last 15 games)

Match goals	Overall	Home	Away
Match goals / match	2.33	2.22	2.5
Match goals over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Match goals over 1.5	67%	56%	83%
Match goals over 2.5	33%	22%	50%
Match goals over 3.5	13%	11%	17%
Match goals over 4.5	7%	11%	0%
Match goals over 5.5	7%	11%	0%

Ethiopia 1st-half goals for 2026 (from 13 of 15 games)

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %
Home	8	0.88	63%	13%
Away	5	0.6	40%	20%
Overall	13	0.77	54%	15%

Ethiopia 1st-half goals against 2026 (from 13 of 15 games)

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %
Home	8	1	50%	38%
Away	5	0.6	40%	20%
Overall	13	0.85	46%	31%

Ethiopia 1st-half match total 2026 (from 13 of 15 games)

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %
Home	8	1.88	100%	63%	25%
Away	5	1.2	80%	40%	0%
Overall	13	1.62	92%	54%	15%

Ethiopia goals match by match 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Goals for	Goals against	Match total	1st-half total
29 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Senegal (H)	0-1	0	1	1	-
25 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Sudan (A)	1-0	0	1	1	-
9 Jun	Friendly International	Malawi (H)	1-1	1	1	2	2
6 Jun	Friendly International	Malawi (H)	1-0	1	0	1	1
31 Mar	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe (H)	1-0	1	0	1	1
27 Mar	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe (A)	0-3	3	0	3	2
12 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Burkina Faso (A)	3-1	1	3	4	0
8 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Guinea-Bissau (H)	1-0	1	0	1	1
9 Sep	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Sierra Leone (A)	2-0	0	2	2	1
5 Sep	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt (A)	2-0	0	2	2	2
24 Mar	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Djibouti (H)	6-1	6	1	7	3
21 Mar	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt (H)	0-2	0	2	2	2
19 Nov	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	DR Congo (A)	1-2	2	1	3	1
16 Nov	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Tanzania (H)	0-2	0	2	2	2
15 Oct	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Guinea (H)	0-3	0	3	3	3

CAF World Cup Qualifiers goals table 2026: every team's goals per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
1	Gambia	4	2	2.25	4.25	100%
2	Burundi	5	2	1.6	3.6	80%
3	Madagascar	5	1.6	2	3.6	60%
4	Mozambique	5	1.2	2.2	3.4	60%
5	South Sudan	4	1.25	2	3.25	75%
6	Algeria	12	1.92	1.17	3.08	58%
7	Senegal	14	1.71	1.29	3	57%
8	Cape Verde Islands	10	1.5	1.5	3	70%
9	Guinea-Bissau	4	1.5	1.5	3	50%
10	Gabon	4	1.25	1.75	3	50%
11	Gabon	4	1.25	1.75	3	50%
12	Eritrea	4	1.25	1.75	3	50%
13	Tunisia	10	0.7	2.2	2.9	50%
14	Burkina Faso	7	1.43	1.43	2.86	57%
15	Botswana	5	1.2	1.6	2.8	60%
16	Togo	6	1.67	1	2.67	33%
17	Côte d'Ivoire	11	1.91	0.73	2.64	55%
18	Rwanda	5	2.2	0.4	2.6	60%
19	Ghana	10	0.7	1.9	2.6	40%
20	Nigeria	12	1.67	0.92	2.58	67%
21	Nigeria	12	1.67	0.92	2.58	67%
22	Egypt	15	1.67	0.87	2.53	47%
23	Zimbabwe	6	1.5	1	2.5	50%
24	Central African Republic	4	1.25	1.25	2.5	50%
25	Morocco	17	1.94	0.53	2.47	35%
26	Zambia	5	0.6	1.8	2.4	40%
27	Benin	8	1	1.38	2.38	38%
28	Cameroon	6	1.33	1	2.33	33%
29	Cameroon	6	1.33	1	2.33	33%
30	Lesotho	6	0.67	1.67	2.33	50%
31	Libya	4	1	1.25	2.25	50%
32	Angola	5	1	1.2	2.2	40%
33	Sierra Leone	6	0.83	1.33	2.17	33%
34	Liberia	7	0.86	1.29	2.14	43%
35	South Africa	12	1.17	0.92	2.08	33%
36	Kenya	7	1.43	0.57	2	29%
37	Congo DR	11	1.18	0.82	2	36%
38	Congo DR	11	1.18	0.82	2	36%
39	Tanzania	6	1.17	0.83	2	17%
40	Guinea	5	0.8	1.2	2	40%
41	Sudan	5	0.6	1.4	2	40%
42	Seychelles	4	0.25	1.75	2	50%
43	Mauritania	7	1	0.86	1.86	43%
44	Malawi	6	0.67	1.17	1.83	33%
45	Mali	6	0.83	0.83	1.67	17%
46	Djibouti	3	0.33	1.33	1.67	33%
47	Ethiopia	6	1	0.5	1.5	17%
48	Niger	6	0.5	1	1.5	17%
49	Equatorial Guinea	5	0.6	0.8	1.4	0%
50	Comoros	5	0.6	0.8	1.4	20%
51	São Tomé and Príncipe	3	0	1.33	1.33	33%
52	Somalia	4	0.25	1	1.25	25%
53	Uganda	3	0.67	0.33	1	0%
54	Namibia	5	0.2	0.6	0.8	0%
55	Mauritius	3	0	0	0	0%

Ethiopia goals against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	10	0.9	1.4	2.3	30%
Vs top half	10	0.9	1.4	2.3	30%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Ethiopia goals per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2027	4	1	0.5	1.5	25%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2025	6	0.5	2	2.5	50%
Friendly International	2024	2	1.5	1.5	3	100%

Ethiopia next three opponents: goals per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their goals for	Their goals against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Fri 13 Nov 13:00	Mozambique (away)	3.1	1.2	1.9	3.33	2	1.33
Tue 17 Nov 13:00	Mozambique (home)	3.1	1.2	1.9	3	0.86	2.14
Wed 24 Mar 00:00	Sudan (home)	1.8	0.4	1.4	1.88	0.38	1.5

Ethiopia Ethiopia goals scored — Full time (last 15 games, 2026)

Ethiopia goals scored	Overall	Home	Away
Scored / match	1.07	1.11	1
Minutes per goal Scored	84 min	81 min	90 min
Scored over 0.5	53%	56%	50%
Scored over 1.5	20%	11%	33%
Scored over 2.5	13%	11%	17%
Scored in both halves	23%	13%	40%
First team to score	40%	44%	33%
Failed to score	47%	44%	50%
Highest scored in a match	6 goals	6 goals	3 goals
Penalties won	2 in 3	2 in 2	0 in 1
Penalties conceded	3 in 3	1 in 2	2 in 1

Ethiopia Ethiopia goals scored — 1st half (last 15 games, 2026)

Ethiopia goals scored	Overall	Home	Away
1st-half Scored / match	0.77	0.88	0.6
1st-half Scored over 0.5	54%	63%	40%
1st-half Scored over 1.5	15%	13%	20%

Ethiopia Ethiopia goals scored — 2nd half (last 15 games, 2026)

Ethiopia goals scored	Overall	Home	Away
2nd-half Scored / match	0.46	0.38	0.6
2nd-half Scored over 0.5	31%	13%	60%
2nd-half Scored over 1.5	8%	13%	0%

Ethiopia Ethiopia goals conceded — Full time (last 15 games, 2026)

Ethiopia goals conceded	Overall	Home	Away
Conceded / match	1.27	1.11	1.5
Minutes per goal Conceded	71 min	81 min	60 min
Conceded over 0.5	73%	67%	83%
Conceded over 1.5	40%	33%	50%
Conceded over 2.5	13%	11%	17%
Conceded in both halves	8%	0%	20%
Conceded first	60%	56%	67%
Clean sheets	27%	33%	17%
Most conceded in a match	3 goals	3 goals	3 goals

Ethiopia Ethiopia goals conceded — 1st half (last 15 games, 2026)

Ethiopia goals conceded	Overall	Home	Away
1st-half Conceded / match	0.85	1	0.6
1st-half Conceded over 0.5	46%	50%	40%
1st-half Conceded over 1.5	31%	38%	20%

Ethiopia Ethiopia goals conceded — 2nd half (last 15 games, 2026)

Ethiopia goals conceded	Overall	Home	Away
2nd-half Conceded / match	0.46	0.13	1
2nd-half Conceded over 0.5	31%	13%	60%
2nd-half Conceded over 1.5	8%	0%	20%

Ethiopia Match goals over / under — Over (last 15 games, 2026)

Match goals over / under	Overall	Home	Away
Match goals / match	2.33	2.22	2.5
Over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5	67%	56%	83%
Over 2.5	33%	22%	50%
Over 3.5	13%	11%	17%
Over 4.5	7%	11%	0%
Over 5.5	7%	11%	0%

Ethiopia Match goals over / under — Under (last 15 games, 2026)

Match goals over / under	Overall	Home	Away
Under 0.5	0%	0%	0%
Under 1.5	33%	44%	17%
Under 2.5	67%	78%	50%
Under 3.5	87%	89%	83%
Under 4.5	93%	89%	100%
Under 5.5	93%	89%	100%

Ethiopia Match goals over / under — 1st half (last 15 games, 2026)

Match goals over / under	Overall	Home	Away
1st-half match goals / match	1.62	1.88	1.2
1st-half over 0.5	92%	100%	80%
1st-half over 1.5	54%	63%	40%
1st-half over 2.5	15%	25%	0%

Ethiopia Match goals over / under — 2nd half (last 15 games, 2026)

Match goals over / under	Overall	Home	Away
2nd-half match goals / match	0.92	0.5	1.6
2nd-half over 0.5	38%	13%	80%
2nd-half over 1.5	23%	13%	40%
2nd-half over 2.5	15%	13%	20%

Ethiopia Both teams to score — Full time (last 15 games, 2026)

Both teams to score	Overall	Home	Away
BTTS	27%	22%	33%
BTTS and win	13%	11%	17%
BTTS and draw	7%	11%	0%
BTTS and lose	7%	0%	17%
BTTS and over 2.5	20%	11%	33%
BTTS and under 2.5	7%	11%	0%
No BTTS and over 2.5	13%	11%	17%

Ethiopia Both teams to score — Halves (last 15 games, 2026)

Both teams to score	Overall	Home	Away
BTTS 1st half	8%	13%	0%
BTTS 2nd half	23%	13%	40%
BTTS both halves	0%	0%	0%
BTTS 1st half only	8%	13%	0%
BTTS 2nd half only	23%	13%	40%
No BTTS in either half	69%	75%	60%

Mozambique goals match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Goals for	Goals against	Match total	1st-half total
29 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Sudan (H)	4-1	4	1	5	-
25 Sep	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Senegal (H)	1-1	1	1	2	-
9 Jun	Friendly International	Indonesia (A)	1-0	0	1	1	1
7 Jun	Friendly International	Oman (A)	4-1	1	4	5	1
5 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Nigeria (A)	4-0	0	4	4	2
31 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Cameroon (H)	1-2	1	2	3	2
28 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Gabon (A)	2-3	3	2	5	3
24 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Ivory Coast (A)	1-0	0	1	1	0
17 Nov	Friendly International	Chad (A)	2-2	2	2	4	1
14 Nov	Friendly International	Morocco (A)	1-0	0	1	1	1