Too early to say: ES Tunis have 3 points over their last 3 FIFA Club World Cup games against 2.04 expected points (xPts), and 3 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
ES Tunis create 0.54 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 3 FIFA Club World Cup games, 1.63 in all, and have scored 1 goal from those chances, 0.63 fewer than that xG would expect.
ES Tunis allow 1.39 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 3 FIFA Club World Cup games, 4.17 in all, and have conceded 5 goals from those chances, 0.83 more than that xGA would expect.
3 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.63 | 1 | -0.63 | 4.17 | 5 | -0.83 | 2.04 | 3 | +0.96 |
| Home | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | -0.08 | 1.13 | 3 | -1.87 | 0.40 | 0 | -0.40 |
| Away | 2 | 1.55 | 1 | -0.55 | 3.04 | 2 | +1.04 | 1.64 | 3 | +1.36 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun | FIFA Club World Cup | Chelsea (H) | 0-3 | 0.08 | 1.13 | 0.40 | 0 | L |
| 20 Jun | FIFA Club World Cup | LAFC (A) | 0-1 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 1.17 | 3 | L |
| 17 Jun | FIFA Club World Cup | Flamengo (A) | 2-0 | 0.33 | 1.53 | 0.47 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 7 | 11.5 | 17 | 6.8 | 5 | 13.2 | 18 | +4.8 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | 9.3 | 8 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Botafogo | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | 8.5 | 3 | 2.9 | 6 | +3.1 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 6 | 5.8 | 8 | 6.1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | +3 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8.2 | 7 | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 7 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 12.3 | 16 | 5.4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 8 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 7.2 | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 9 | ES Tunis | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 | Salzburg | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | 4.9 | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 11 | Auckland City | 3 | 0.4 | 1 | 13.4 | 17 | 0.1 | 1 | +0.9 |
| 12 | Benfica | 4 | 9 | 10 | 4.5 | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 13 | Juventus | 4 | 5.3 | 11 | 5.8 | 7 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 14 | River Plate | 2 | 2.4 | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 15 | FC Bayern München | 5 | 9.1 | 16 | 4.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| 16 | Al Ain | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | 6.9 | 12 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 17 | Al Hilal | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | 8.8 | 6 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| 18 | Monterrey | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | 4.6 | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 19 | Manchester City | 4 | 11.8 | 16 | 4.4 | 6 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| 20 | Palmeiras | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | 4.3 | 4 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| 21 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | 2.9 | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 22 | Porto | 3 | 3.8 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 23 | Ulsan HD | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | 7.6 | 6 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 24 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | 4.9 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 25 | Urawa Reds | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | 4.2 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 26 | Wydad Casablanca | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | 6.7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 | Flamengo | 4 | 7.5 | 8 | 2.3 | 6 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| 28 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3.6 | 5 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 29 | Inter | 3 | 6.4 | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| 30 | Al Ahly | 3 | 4.9 | 4 | 3.4 | 6 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| 31 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | 5.5 | 7 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| 32 | Pachuca | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | -4 |