No, Ceuta have taken 5 points over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 8.66 fewer than the 13.66 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Ceuta create 1.52 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 15.18 in all, and have scored 9 goals from those chances, 6.18 fewer than that xG would expect.
Ceuta allow 1.58 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 15.82 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 6.18 more than that xGA would expect.
Jordi Escobar has the most expected goals (xG) for Ceuta over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 1.69 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Omar Sadik is next with 0.90 xG.
Ceuta have taken 8.7 points fewer than their chances warranted over 10 games: -6.2 goals against their xG, and -6.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 15.18 | 9 | -6.18 | 15.82 | 22 | -6.18 | 13.66 | 5 | -8.66 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.37 | 7 | -3.37 | 6.36 | 7 | -0.64 | 9.23 | 5 | -4.23 |
| Home | 6 | 11.30 | 6 | -5.30 | 8.36 | 10 | -1.64 | 9.97 | 4 | -5.97 |
| Away | 4 | 3.88 | 3 | -0.88 | 7.46 | 12 | -4.54 | 3.69 | 1 | -2.69 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | La Liga 2 | Oviedo (H) | 1-2 | 3.38 | 2.17 | 1.98 | 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | La Liga 2 | Sabadell (H) | 1-2 | 1.56 | 1.23 | 1.60 | 0 | W |
| 4 Oct | La Liga 2 | Castellón (A) | 1-1 | 1.88 | 1.39 | 1.70 | 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | La Liga 2 | Real Sociedad II (H) | 3-1 | 2.38 | 0.52 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | La Liga 2 | Valladolid (H) | 1-1 | 1.17 | 1.05 | 1.44 | 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | La Liga 2 | Burgos (A) | 3-1 | 0.88 | 0.76 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | La Liga 2 | Celta Fortuna (H) | 0-2 | 1.27 | 2.13 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | La Liga 2 | Mallorca (A) | 3-0 | 0.16 | 1.72 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | La Liga 2 | Las Palmas (H) | 0-2 | 1.54 | 1.26 | 1.57 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | La Liga 2 | FC Andorra (A) | 5-1 | 0.96 | 3.59 | 0.27 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernández | defender | 10 | 895 | 0.13 | 4 | +3.87 | 0.01 |
| Jordi Escobar | attacker | 10 | 559 | 1.69 | 4 | +2.31 | 0.27 |
| Alejandro Camacho | attacker | 10 | 729 | 0.72 | 1 | +0.28 | 0.09 |
| José Matos | defender | 10 | 646 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.07 |
| Edgar Sevikyan | attacker | 5 | 324 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.19 |
| Carlos Redru | defender | 5 | 404 | 0.72 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.16 |
| Omar Sadik | attacker | 7 | 286 | 0.90 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.28 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AlmerÃa | 10 | 15 | 20 | 11.9 | 7 | 15.4 | 24 | +8.6 |
| 2 | SD Eibar | 10 | 13.2 | 20 | 11.6 | 11 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Sporting Gijón | 10 | 10.4 | 11 | 10.3 | 9 | 13.6 | 19 | +5.4 |
| 4 | Castellón | 10 | 19.1 | 18 | 10.6 | 4 | 18.5 | 23 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 10 | 11.6 | 12 | 11.8 | 5 | 13.5 | 18 | +4.5 |
| 6 | Girona | 10 | 12 | 17 | 13.5 | 9 | 13.8 | 18 | +4.2 |
| 7 | Burgos | 10 | 13.2 | 13 | 13.6 | 10 | 13.1 | 17 | +3.9 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 10 | 14.4 | 13 | 15.3 | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | +3.5 |
| 9 | Leganés | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 18.3 | 15 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Granada | 10 | 16.5 | 16 | 12.8 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 10 | 9.3 | 12 | 12.3 | 14 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 10 | 8.7 | 13 | 12.7 | 19 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 10 | 12.7 | 15 | 15.9 | 16 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Sabadell | 10 | 14.3 | 10 | 10.8 | 8 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 15 | Eldense | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 13.4 | 13 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 10 | 14.4 | 15 | 11.9 | 14 | 14.9 | 12 | -2.9 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 10 | 12.8 | 14 | 16.9 | 21 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 10 | 18.6 | 15 | 15.9 | 20 | 16 | 12 | -4 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 15.3 | 10 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 10 | 11.1 | 11 | 11.5 | 13 | 13.1 | 7 | -6.1 |
| 21 | Ceuta | 10 | 15.2 | 9 | 15.8 | 22 | 13.7 | 5 | -8.7 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 11.7 | 6 | 16.6 | 22 | 11.3 | 1 | -10.3 |