Yes, Burgos have taken 17 points over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 3.88 more than the 13.12 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Burgos create 1.32 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 13.23 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 0.23 fewer than that xG would expect.
Burgos allow 1.36 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 13.59 in all, and have conceded 10 goals from those chances, 3.59 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Jon Karrikaburu has the most expected goals (xG) for Burgos over 10 La Liga 2 games in 2026/2027, 1.63 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Curro Sánchez is next with 0.79 xG.
Burgos have taken 3.9 points more than their chances warranted over 10 games: -0.2 goals against their xG, and +3.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 13.23 | 13 | -0.23 | 13.59 | 10 | +3.59 | 13.12 | 17 | +3.88 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.09 | 5 | -1.09 | 6.69 | 4 | +2.69 | 6.38 | 9 | +2.62 |
| Home | 6 | 9.47 | 10 | +0.53 | 8.00 | 6 | +2.00 | 8.90 | 13 | +4.10 |
| Away | 4 | 3.76 | 3 | -0.76 | 5.59 | 4 | +1.59 | 4.22 | 4 | -0.22 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | La Liga 2 | Sabadell (H) | 1-0 | 2.52 | 0.44 | 2.60 | 3 | W |
| 12 Oct | La Liga 2 | Granada (H) | 0-1 | 1.65 | 2.21 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 3 Oct | La Liga 2 | Almería (A) | 2-1 | 0.86 | 2.60 | 0.46 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | La Liga 2 | Eldense (H) | 1-0 | 0.45 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | La Liga 2 | Las Palmas (A) | 1-2 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 1.32 | 3 | D |
| 11 Sep | La Liga 2 | Ceuta (H) | 3-1 | 0.76 | 0.88 | 1.23 | 3 | L |
| 6 Sep | La Liga 2 | Oviedo (A) | 0-0 | 1.96 | 1.58 | 1.62 | 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | La Liga 2 | Real Sociedad II (H) | 2-2 | 2.17 | 1.61 | 1.72 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | La Liga 2 | Gijon (A) | 1-0 | 0.33 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | La Liga 2 | Córdoba (H) | 3-2 | 1.92 | 1.99 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David González | midfielder | 10 | 844 | 0.01 | 3 | +2.99 | 0.00 |
| Álex Forés | attacker | 10 | 551 | 0.51 | 3 | +2.49 | 0.08 |
| Curro Sánchez | attacker | 10 | 636 | 0.79 | 2 | +1.21 | 0.11 |
| Alberto Dadie | defender | 10 | 782 | 0.04 | 1 | +0.96 | 0.00 |
| Javi Llabrés | attacker | 10 | 725 | 0.47 | 1 | +0.53 | 0.06 |
| Jon Karrikaburu | attacker | 8 | 403 | 1.63 | 2 | +0.38 | 0.36 |
| Álex Lizancos | defender | 3 | 181 | 0.78 | 0 | -0.78 | 0.39 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 10 | 15 | 20 | 11.9 | 7 | 15.4 | 24 | +8.6 |
| 2 | SD Eibar | 10 | 13.2 | 20 | 11.6 | 11 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Sporting Gijón | 10 | 10.4 | 11 | 10.3 | 9 | 13.6 | 19 | +5.4 |
| 4 | Castellón | 10 | 19.1 | 18 | 10.6 | 4 | 18.5 | 23 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 10 | 11.6 | 12 | 11.8 | 5 | 13.5 | 18 | +4.5 |
| 6 | Girona | 10 | 12 | 17 | 13.5 | 9 | 13.8 | 18 | +4.2 |
| 7 | Burgos | 10 | 13.2 | 13 | 13.6 | 10 | 13.1 | 17 | +3.9 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 10 | 14.4 | 13 | 15.3 | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | +3.5 |
| 9 | Leganés | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 18.3 | 15 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Granada | 10 | 16.5 | 16 | 12.8 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 10 | 9.3 | 12 | 12.3 | 14 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 10 | 8.7 | 13 | 12.7 | 19 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 10 | 12.7 | 15 | 15.9 | 16 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Sabadell | 10 | 14.3 | 10 | 10.8 | 8 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 15 | Eldense | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 13.4 | 13 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 10 | 14.4 | 15 | 11.9 | 14 | 14.9 | 12 | -2.9 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad II | 10 | 12.8 | 14 | 16.9 | 21 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 10 | 18.6 | 15 | 15.9 | 20 | 16 | 12 | -4 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 15.3 | 10 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 10 | 11.1 | 11 | 11.5 | 13 | 13.1 | 7 | -6.1 |
| 21 | Ceuta | 10 | 15.2 | 9 | 15.8 | 22 | 13.7 | 5 | -8.7 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 11.7 | 6 | 16.6 | 22 | 11.3 | 1 | -10.3 |