How much xG Dortmund create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 7 November 2026, after the last game
Dortmund create 1.55 expected goals per game in the Bundesliga in 2026/2027, the 6th fewest of the 18 clubs and below the league average of 1.73, across nine league games, while FC Bayern München create the most with 3.03.
Serhou Guirassy has created the most expected goals for Dortmund in 2026/2027, 7.00 in 12 appearances, 0.58 a game, ahead of Maximilian Beier with 2.00 and Fábio Silva with 1.00, across all competitions.
Dortmund create more expected goals at home, 1.97 a game in their last 10 home games against 1.45 in their last 10 away.
Dortmund created 3.45 expected goals away at Sabah on 20 October, their most in a game in 2026/2027, against an average of 1.80 across their 13 games, and their fewest was 0.75 away at Bayern on 31 October.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhou Guirassy | 12 | 7 | 0.58 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Maximilian Beier | 13 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Fábio Silva | 12 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Svensson | 13 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jobe Bellingham | 13 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Luca Reggiani | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Giannis Konstantelias | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mathis Albert | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kauã Prates | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Filippo Mane | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Samuele Inácio | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ramy Bensebaini | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carney Chukwuemeka | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konstantinos Karetsas | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Nwaneri | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Ryerson | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Veerman | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Felix Nmecha | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Waldemar Anton | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joane Gadou | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gregor Kobel | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Dortmund | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Elversberg (H) | Bundesliga | 2-1 | 1.50 | 1.42 | 2.92 |
| 4 Nov 2026 | Betis (H) | Champions League | 2-1 | 2.64 | 0.89 | 3.53 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Bayern (A) | Bundesliga | 2-2 | 0.75 | 3.33 | 4.08 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Frankfurt (H) | Bundesliga | 1-0 | 1.55 | 0.84 | 2.39 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Sabah (A) | Champions League | 1-2 | 3.45 | 1.15 | 4.60 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | U Berlin (A) | Bundesliga | 0-0 | 1.07 | 0.90 | 1.97 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Bodø / Glimt (A) | Champions League | 1-0 | 0.81 | 1.14 | 1.95 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Bremen (H) | Bundesliga | 2-2 | 2.04 | 0.77 | 2.81 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Stuttgart (A) | Bundesliga | 0-1 | 1.57 | 1.01 | 2.58 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Paderborn (H) | Bundesliga | 3-0 | 1.72 | 0.46 | 2.18 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (H) | Champions League | 3-2 | 2.75 | 1.42 | 4.17 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Hoffenheim (A) | Bundesliga | 2-3 | 1.95 | 1.53 | 3.48 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Hamburg (H) | Bundesliga | 2-0 | 1.65 | 0.84 | 2.49 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund expected goals | Over 1.00 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Dortmund expected goals | Over 1.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Dortmund expected goals | Over 2.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Dortmund expected goals | Over 2.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |
| Dortmund expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 3.00 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.00 | 8 of 10 | 80% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 6 of 10 | 60% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 2 of 10 | 20% |