Yes, Benin have taken 17 points over 10 CAF World Cup Qualifiers games in 2026, 3.30 more than the 13.70 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Benin create 1.00 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 CAF World Cup Qualifiers games in 2026, 10.02 in all, and have scored 12 goals from those chances, 1.98 more than that xG would expect.
Benin allow 0.94 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 CAF World Cup Qualifiers games in 2026, 9.38 in all, and have conceded 11 goals from those chances, 1.62 more than that xGA would expect.
Benin have taken 3.3 points more than their chances warranted over 10 games: +2.0 goals against their xG, and -1.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 10 | 10.02 | 12 | +1.98 | 9.38 | 11 | -1.62 | 13.70 | 17 | +3.30 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.04 | 6 | +1.96 | 4.17 | 6 | -1.83 | 6.53 | 9 | +2.47 |
| Home | 5 | 4.74 | 8 | +3.26 | 4.52 | 3 | +1.52 | 6.88 | 12 | +5.12 |
| Away | 5 | 5.28 | 4 | -1.28 | 4.86 | 8 | -3.14 | 6.82 | 5 | -1.82 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Nigeria (A) | 4-0 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 1.31 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Rwanda (A) | 0-1 | 0.59 | 0.82 | 1.10 | 3 | L |
| 9 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Lesotho (H) | 4-0 | 1.24 | 0.51 | 1.94 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Zimbabwe (H) | 1-0 | 0.83 | 0.68 | 1.45 | 3 | D |
| 25 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | South Africa (H) | 0-2 | 0.47 | 1.22 | 0.73 | 0 | L |
| 20 Mar | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Zimbabwe (A) | 2-2 | 1.14 | 1.08 | 1.40 | 1 | W |
| 10 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Nigeria (H) | 2-1 | 0.90 | 1.01 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 6 Jun | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Rwanda (H) | 1-0 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.51 | 3 | W |
| 21 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | Lesotho (A) | 0-0 | 2.07 | 1.09 | 2.00 | 1 | W |
| 18 Nov | CAF World Cup Qualifiers | South Africa (A) | 2-1 | 0.57 | 0.93 | 1.01 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Mounié | attacker | 10 | 896 | 0.00 | 5 | +5.00 | 0.00 |
| Dokou Dodo | midfielder | 9 | 588 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Imourane Hassane | midfielder | 10 | 777 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Andréas Hountondji | attacker | 8 | 475 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Junior Olaitan | midfielder | 9 | 722 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jodel Dossou | attacker | 9 | 400 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Aiyegun Tosin | attacker | 4 | 178 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 10 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.3 | 0 | 17.6 | 28 | +10.4 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 11 | 13.2 | 16 | 10.7 | 6 | 16.7 | 25 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Gabon | 11 | 13.5 | 23 | 10.9 | 13 | 16.8 | 25 | +8.2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 10 | 13.4 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | 16.9 | 25 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Ghana | 10 | 14.8 | 23 | 9.3 | 6 | 17.1 | 25 | +7.9 |
| 6 | Morocco | 8 | 14.6 | 22 | 4.7 | 2 | 17.3 | 24 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Cape Verde Islands | 10 | 13.1 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 16.6 | 23 | +6.4 |
| 8 | Senegal | 10 | 16.1 | 22 | 9.2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | +6 |
| 9 | Côte d'Ivoire | 10 | 17.7 | 25 | 5.7 | 0 | 20.2 | 26 | +5.8 |
| 10 | Madagascar | 10 | 11.2 | 17 | 11.7 | 12 | 13.4 | 19 | +5.6 |
| 11 | Egypt | 9 | 15.4 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 17.7 | 23 | +5.3 |
| 12 | Libya | 10 | 9.2 | 12 | 12.3 | 10 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 13 | Niger | 7 | 7.4 | 8 | 11.1 | 10 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| 14 | Burkina Faso | 10 | 15.5 | 23 | 10.5 | 8 | 16.9 | 21 | +4.1 |
| 15 | Mozambique | 9 | 8.4 | 11 | 10.2 | 16 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 16 | Benin | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9.4 | 11 | 13.7 | 17 | +3.3 |
| 17 | Sierra Leone | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| 18 | South Africa | 10 | 13.5 | 17 | 7.1 | 6 | 18.1 | 21 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Uganda | 9 | 11.5 | 13 | 7.5 | 6 | 15.3 | 18 | +2.7 |
| 20 | Sudan | 10 | 10 | 8 | 13.4 | 6 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| 21 | Liberia | 9 | 8.9 | 10 | 11.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| 22 | Lesotho | 10 | 8 | 6 | 17.7 | 14 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| 23 | Guinea | 10 | 11.7 | 11 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 | Cameroon | 10 | 16.3 | 17 | 9.6 | 6 | 18.1 | 18 | -0.1 |
| 25 | Comoros | 10 | 12.3 | 12 | 9.6 | 13 | 15.1 | 15 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Tanzania | 7 | 5.6 | 3 | 8.3 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 27 | Central African Republic | 10 | 8.3 | 11 | 16.8 | 24 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| 28 | Ethiopia | 9 | 8.7 | 9 | 14.3 | 14 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| 29 | Rwanda | 9 | 8.9 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Equatorial Guinea | 7 | 9.5 | 8 | 5.2 | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| 31 | Nigeria | 10 | 15.1 | 17 | 7.6 | 9 | 18.6 | 17 | -1.6 |
| 32 | Burundi | 10 | 8.8 | 13 | 11.3 | 13 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| 33 | Namibia | 9 | 11.2 | 10 | 8.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 12 | -1.8 |
| 34 | Malawi | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11.3 | 10 | 12.2 | 10 | -2.2 |
| 35 | Mauritius | 10 | 7 | 7 | 14.6 | 17 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| 36 | Mali | 9 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.4 | 6 | 17.4 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 37 | South Sudan | 10 | 7.9 | 3 | 17.6 | 19 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| 38 | Gambia | 10 | 14.1 | 27 | 10.9 | 18 | 15.6 | 13 | -2.6 |
| 39 | Botswana | 10 | 11.3 | 12 | 11.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | -2.8 |
| 40 | Kenya | 10 | 13.2 | 18 | 9.8 | 14 | 15.3 | 12 | -3.3 |
| 41 | Congo | 5 | 4.9 | 4 | 9.3 | 15 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| 42 | Guinea-Bissau | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 13.5 | 10 | -3.5 |
| 43 | Seychelles | 10 | 4.2 | 2 | 23.8 | 53 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| 44 | Zambia | 7 | 10.4 | 7 | 9.5 | 10 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
| 45 | São Tomé and PrÃncipe | 10 | 7.8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
| 46 | Angola | 9 | 12.7 | 9 | 7.9 | 8 | 15.5 | 11 | -4.5 |
| 47 | Zimbabwe | 10 | 10.1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 5 | -6 |
| 48 | Chad | 9 | 6.9 | 5 | 13.9 | 22 | 7.7 | 1 | -6.7 |
| 49 | Mauritania | 10 | 11.3 | 4 | 11.1 | 13 | 13.8 | 7 | -6.8 |
| 50 | Somalia | 10 | 7.2 | 3 | 15.2 | 20 | 8.1 | 1 | -7.1 |
| 51 | Eswatini | 10 | 10.4 | 6 | 15.4 | 19 | 10.6 | 3 | -7.6 |
| 52 | Djibouti | 10 | 8.5 | 5 | 15.9 | 33 | 8.6 | 1 | -7.6 |
| 53 | Togo | 10 | 13.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | 16.1 | 8 | -8.1 |