Yes, Benfica have taken 47 points over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 3.75 more than the 43.25 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Benfica create 2.41 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 48.29 in all, and have scored 52 goals from those chances, 3.71 more than that xG would expect.
Benfica allow 0.98 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 19.68 in all, and have conceded 19 goals from those chances, 0.68 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Vangelis Pavlidis has the most expected goals (xG) for Benfica over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 12.40 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 11 goals; Andreas Schjelderup is next with 6.26 xG.
Benfica have taken 3.8 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +3.7 goals against their xG, and +0.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 48.29 | 52 | +3.71 | 19.68 | 19 | +0.68 | 43.25 | 47 | +3.75 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 25.14 | 29 | +3.86 | 7.96 | 10 | -2.04 | 23.37 | 23 | -0.37 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.63 | 13 | +2.37 | 4.22 | 4 | +0.22 | 10.68 | 12 | +1.32 |
| Home | 10 | 26.27 | 25 | -1.27 | 6.94 | 9 | -2.06 | 24.01 | 24 | -0.01 |
| Away | 10 | 22.02 | 27 | +4.98 | 12.74 | 10 | +2.74 | 19.24 | 23 | +3.76 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Liga Portugal | Vitória SC (H) | 2-0 | 2.09 | 0.65 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Liga Portugal | Porto (A) | 3-1 | 1.08 | 2.07 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente (H) | 3-1 | 2.89 | 0.93 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 9 Sep | Liga Portugal | Moreirense (A) | 0-4 | 3.10 | 0.40 | 2.75 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Liga Portugal | MarÃtimo (A) | 0-3 | 1.47 | 0.17 | 2.39 | 3 | W |
| 31 Aug | Liga Portugal | Estoril (H) | 2-1 | 1.96 | 0.34 | 2.48 | 3 | W |
| 17 Aug | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (A) | 0-7 | 2.68 | 0.26 | 2.74 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Liga Portugal | Ac. Viseu (H) | 2-2 | 3.31 | 1.04 | 2.51 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Liga Portugal | Estoril (A) | 1-3 | 3.44 | 1.90 | 2.13 | 3 | W |
| 11 May | Liga Portugal | Braga (H) | 2-2 | 3.12 | 0.20 | 2.83 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | Liga Portugal | Famalicão (A) | 2-2 | 1.57 | 2.10 | 1.08 | 1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Liga Portugal | Moreirense (H) | 4-1 | 2.46 | 0.43 | 2.59 | 3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Liga Portugal | Sporting (A) | 1-2 | 2.29 | 1.98 | 1.58 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Liga Portugal | Nacional (H) | 2-0 | 3.72 | 0.32 | 2.83 | 3 | W |
| 6 Apr | Liga Portugal | Casa Pia (A) | 1-1 | 2.38 | 0.43 | 2.57 | 1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Liga Portugal | Vitória SC (H) | 3-0 | 1.60 | 0.76 | 1.97 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Liga Portugal | Arouca (A) | 1-2 | 2.34 | 2.55 | 1.30 | 3 | L |
| 8 Mar | Liga Portugal | Porto (H) | 2-2 | 1.76 | 2.16 | 1.16 | 1 | L |
| 2 Mar | Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente (A) | 1-2 | 1.67 | 0.88 | 1.92 | 3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Liga Portugal | AVS (H) | 3-0 | 3.36 | 0.11 | 2.88 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca Prestianni | attacker | 19 | 1329 | 3.41 | 6 | +2.59 | 0.23 |
| Richard RÃos | midfielder | 13 | 947 | 2.99 | 5 | +2.01 | 0.28 |
| Franjo Ivanović | attacker | 10 | 328 | 1.69 | 3 | +1.31 | 0.46 |
| Rafa Silva | attacker | 20 | 1274 | 4.98 | 6 | +1.02 | 0.35 |
| Leandro Barreiro | midfielder | 18 | 1264 | 3.22 | 4 | +0.78 | 0.23 |
| Alexander Bah | defender | 15 | 917 | 2.26 | 3 | +0.74 | 0.22 |
| Jhon Durán | attacker | 7 | 98 | 0.38 | 1 | +0.62 | 0.35 |
| Enzo Barrenechea | midfielder | 13 | 676 | 0.41 | 1 | +0.59 | 0.05 |
| Fredrik Aursnes | midfielder | 11 | 661 | 0.45 | 1 | +0.55 | 0.06 |
| Clément Lenglet | defender | 7 | 575 | 0.58 | 1 | +0.42 | 0.09 |
| Samuel Dahl | defender | 19 | 1693 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.12 | 0.05 |
| Georgiy Sudakov | midfielder | 10 | 456 | 1.25 | 1 | -0.25 | 0.25 |
| Andreas Schjelderup | attacker | 20 | 1292 | 6.26 | 6 | -0.26 | 0.44 |
| João Palhinha | midfielder | 6 | 443 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.15 |
| Tomás Araújo | defender | 15 | 1261 | 1.02 | 0 | -1.02 | 0.07 |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | attacker | 19 | 1454 | 12.40 | 11 | -1.40 | 0.77 |
| António Silva | defender | 10 | 731 | 1.76 | 0 | -1.76 | 0.22 |
| Dodi Lukébakio | attacker | 18 | 434 | 2.03 | 0 | -2.03 | 0.42 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 18.7 | 20 | 7.9 | 4 | 17.2 | 24 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 9.7 | 11 | 14.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| 3 | Arouca | 8 | 8.9 | 11 | 11.2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | +4 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 14.4 | 18 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 8 | 13.8 | 20 | 7.1 | 9 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Rio Ave | 8 | 6.2 | 8 | 14.9 | 17 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 8 | 6.6 | 8 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 11.2 | 13 | 12.1 | 12 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Benfica | 8 | 18.6 | 24 | 5.8 | 7 | 18.4 | 19 | +0.6 |
| 10 | MarÃtimo | 8 | 7.1 | 9 | 11.3 | 14 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| 11 | Sporting Braga | 7 | 8.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 8 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6.6 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 6.7 | 10 | 11.4 | 11 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 11.9 | 14 | 11.1 | 15 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 8 | 7 | 3 | 13.7 | 17 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 4 | -5 |
| 17 | Estoril | 8 | 7.4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Vitória Guimarães | 8 | 13.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 5 | -9.2 |