No, Atlético San Luis have taken 13 points over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, within 1.03 of the 14.03 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Atlético San Luis create 1.22 expected goals (xG) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 14.66 in all, and have scored 16 goals from those chances, 1.34 more than that xG would expect.
Atlético San Luis allow 1.61 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 19.36 in all, and have conceded 21 goals from those chances, 1.64 more than that xGA would expect.
David Rodríguez has the most expected goals (xG) for Atlético San Luis over 12 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 0.29 xG in 12 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Rafa Llorente is next with 0.19 xG.
Atlético San Luis's results and their chances agree, within 1.0 points of xPts over 12 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 12 | 14.66 | 16 | +1.34 | 19.36 | 21 | -1.64 | 14.03 | 13 | -1.03 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.91 | 12 | -0.91 | 15.16 | 16 | -0.84 | 12.69 | 12 | -0.69 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.06 | 8 | +0.94 | 9.43 | 8 | +1.43 | 5.80 | 7 | +1.20 |
| Home | 6 | 7.68 | 7 | -0.68 | 7.43 | 10 | -2.57 | 8.77 | 5 | -3.77 |
| Away | 6 | 6.98 | 9 | +2.02 | 11.93 | 11 | +0.93 | 5.26 | 8 | +2.74 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Liga MX | Toluca (A) | 1-1 | 1.34 | 2.56 | 0.73 | 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | Liga MX | Santos Laguna (H) | 1-2 | 1.00 | 2.26 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM (A) | 2-3 | 2.26 | 1.64 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Liga MX | Necaxa (H) | 3-1 | 1.39 | 0.49 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 15 Sep | Liga MX | León (A) | 2-0 | 1.07 | 2.48 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Liga MX | Guadalajara (H) | 0-3 | 0.89 | 0.79 | 1.42 | 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Liga MX | Monterrey (A) | 1-3 | 0.98 | 2.33 | 0.61 | 3 | L |
| 23 Aug | Liga MX | Pachuca (H) | 1-1 | 2.58 | 0.63 | 2.51 | 1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Liga MX | América (A) | 3-0 | 0.70 | 1.65 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Liga MX | Tijuana (H) | 0-0 | 0.70 | 0.33 | 1.64 | 1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (A) | 2-2 | 0.63 | 1.27 | 0.85 | 1 | L |
| 18 Jul | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (H) | 2-3 | 1.12 | 2.93 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sébastien Salles-Lamonge | midfielder | 12 | 1063 | 0.08 | 3 | +2.92 | 0.01 |
| David Rodríguez | midfielder | 12 | 914 | 0.29 | 3 | +2.71 | 0.03 |
| Óscar Macías | midfielder | 12 | 996 | 0.07 | 2 | +1.93 | 0.01 |
| Rafa Llorente | attacker | 10 | 752 | 0.19 | 2 | +1.81 | 0.02 |
| Ronaldo Nájera | midfielder | 7 | 127 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Felipe Mora | attacker | 7 | 392 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Eduardo Águila | defender | 12 | 1080 | 0.09 | 1 | +0.91 | 0.01 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | 13.6 | 12 | 19.5 | 20 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.3 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.4 | 14 | 17.4 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |