Yes, Arouca have taken 33 points over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 6.30 more than the 26.70 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Arouca create 1.24 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 24.73 in all, and have scored 30 goals from those chances, 5.27 more than that xG would expect.
Arouca allow 1.37 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 27.46 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 5.46 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Iván Barbero has the most expected goals (xG) for Arouca over their last 20 Liga Portugal games, 7.60 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Dylan NandÃn is next with 2.87 xG.
Arouca have taken 6.3 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +5.3 goals against their xG, and +5.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 24.73 | 30 | +5.27 | 27.46 | 22 | +5.46 | 26.70 | 33 | +6.30 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.93 | 17 | +5.07 | 13.06 | 9 | +4.06 | 13.41 | 20 | +6.59 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.33 | 6 | -0.33 | 5.48 | 5 | +0.48 | 7.36 | 8 | +0.64 |
| Home | 10 | 15.30 | 21 | +5.70 | 13.59 | 10 | +3.59 | 14.84 | 22 | +7.16 |
| Away | 10 | 9.43 | 9 | -0.43 | 13.87 | 12 | +1.87 | 11.86 | 11 | -0.86 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Liga Portugal | Estrela (H) | 1-0 | 0.83 | 1.51 | 0.88 | 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | Liga Portugal | Sporting (A) | 2-2 | 2.13 | 0.90 | 2.17 | 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Liga Portugal | Santa Clara (H) | 1-2 | 1.02 | 1.37 | 1.11 | 0 | L |
| 7 Sep | Liga Portugal | Estoril (A) | 0-0 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 1.57 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga Portugal | MarÃtimo (H) | 2-1 | 1.35 | 0.98 | 1.63 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Liga Portugal | Porto (A) | 2-0 | 0.45 | 2.69 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Liga Portugal | Moreirense (H) | 4-0 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Liga Portugal | Vitória SC (A) | 0-1 | 0.31 | 2.27 | 0.25 | 3 | L |
| 16 May | Liga Portugal | Tondela (H) | 3-1 | 2.06 | 0.85 | 2.16 | 3 | W |
| 11 May | Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente (A) | 1-3 | 0.95 | 1.03 | 1.28 | 3 | L |
| 2 May | Liga Portugal | Santa Clara (H) | 2-2 | 1.30 | 1.92 | 1.00 | 1 | L |
| 24 Apr | Liga Portugal | Alverca (A) | 2-1 | 0.99 | 0.81 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Liga Portugal | Estrela (H) | 1-0 | 0.96 | 1.35 | 1.08 | 3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Liga Portugal | Braga (A) | 1-0 | 1.08 | 0.66 | 1.68 | 0 | W |
| 6 Apr | Liga Portugal | Estoril (H) | 3-2 | 1.71 | 0.93 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Liga Portugal | Moreirense (A) | 0-1 | 1.60 | 0.61 | 2.09 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Liga Portugal | Benfica (H) | 1-2 | 2.55 | 2.34 | 1.51 | 0 | W |
| 6 Mar | Liga Portugal | Famalicão (A) | 1-0 | 0.55 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 0 | L |
| 27 Feb | Liga Portugal | Porto (A) | 3-1 | 0.37 | 3.22 | 0.13 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Liga Portugal | Nacional (H) | 3-0 | 1.69 | 1.60 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espen van Ee | midfielder | 19 | 1504 | 0.32 | 2 | +1.68 | 0.02 |
| José Fontán | defender | 19 | 1710 | 1.35 | 3 | +1.65 | 0.07 |
| Taichi Fukui | midfielder | 20 | 1739 | 0.55 | 2 | +1.45 | 0.03 |
| Hyun-ju Lee | midfielder | 14 | 949 | 2.36 | 3 | +0.64 | 0.22 |
| Iván Barbero | attacker | 19 | 1401 | 7.60 | 8 | +0.40 | 0.49 |
| Tiago Esgaio | defender | 17 | 1523 | 1.68 | 2 | +0.32 | 0.10 |
| Alfonso Trezza | attacker | 18 | 1298 | 1.70 | 2 | +0.30 | 0.12 |
| Bas Kuipers | defender | 12 | 1018 | 0.72 | 1 | +0.28 | 0.06 |
| Dylan NandÃn | attacker | 14 | 325 | 2.87 | 3 | +0.13 | 0.79 |
| Pablo Gozálbez | midfielder | 19 | 957 | 1.16 | 1 | -0.16 | 0.11 |
| Miguel Puche | attacker | 7 | 93 | 1.18 | 1 | -0.18 | 1.15 |
| Naïs Djouahra | attacker | 20 | 1654 | 1.97 | 1 | -0.97 | 0.11 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 18.7 | 20 | 7.9 | 4 | 17.2 | 24 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 9.7 | 11 | 14.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| 3 | Arouca | 8 | 8.9 | 11 | 11.2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | +4 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 14.4 | 18 | +3.6 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 8 | 13.8 | 20 | 7.1 | 9 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Rio Ave | 8 | 6.2 | 8 | 14.9 | 17 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 8 | 6.6 | 8 | 14.1 | 15 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 11.2 | 13 | 12.1 | 12 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Benfica | 8 | 18.6 | 24 | 5.8 | 7 | 18.4 | 19 | +0.6 |
| 10 | MarÃtimo | 8 | 7.1 | 9 | 11.3 | 14 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| 11 | Sporting Braga | 7 | 8.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 8 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6.6 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 6.7 | 10 | 11.4 | 11 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 11.9 | 14 | 11.1 | 15 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 8 | 7 | 3 | 13.7 | 17 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 4 | -5 |
| 17 | Estoril | 8 | 7.4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Vitória Guimarães | 8 | 13.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 5 | -9.2 |