Too early to say: Ararat have 3 points over their last 2 Europa League games against 2.04 expected points (xPts), and 2 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Ararat create 1.38 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 2 Europa League games, 2.75 in all, and have scored 2 goals from those chances, 0.75 fewer than that xG would expect.
Ararat allow 2.01 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 2 Europa League games, 4.02 in all, and have conceded 4 goals from those chances, 0.02 fewer than that xGA would expect.
2 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 2 | 2 | 2.75 | 2 | -0.75 | 4.02 | 4 | +0.02 | 2.04 | 3 | +0.96 |
| Home | 2 | 2.75 | 2 | -0.75 | 4.02 | 4 | +0.02 | 2.04 | 3 | +0.96 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Europa League | Sparta Praha (H) | 1-4 | 1.52 | 2.53 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 27 Aug | Europa League | U Craiova (H) | 1-0 | 1.23 | 1.49 | 1.19 | 3 | L |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 0.4 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.5 | 3 | +2.5 |
| 2 | OFI | 1 | 1.1 | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | 0.7 | 3 | +2.3 |
| 3 | Torreense | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 4 | Benfica | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Ferencvárosi | 1 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Olympique Lyonnais | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 8 | Salzburg | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 2.2 | 4 | 1.6 | 0 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 2.5 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 13 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 2.7 | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 15 | Juventus | 1 | 3.2 | 5 | 0.8 | 0 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 16 | Olympiacos F.C. | 1 | 3.2 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 19 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 3.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 3.2 | 5 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 21 | Celje | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 22 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | 2.7 | 3 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 23 | AZ | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 24 | Olympique Marseille | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 25 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 26 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 27 | Rennes | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 | Lech Poznań | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 2.2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 30 | Celtic | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 31 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.7 | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 32 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 33 | AC Milan | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.9 | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 34 | Lillestrøm | 1 | 2.6 | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 35 | TSG Hoffenheim | 1 | 2.2 | 0 | 1.1 | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 36 | Celta de Vigo | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.4 | 1 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |