No, Antwerp have taken 21 points over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, within 2.16 of the 23.16 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Antwerp create 1.39 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 27.87 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 2.87 fewer than that xG would expect.
Antwerp allow 1.91 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 38.16 in all, and have conceded 38 goals from those chances, 0.16 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Michael Frey has the most expected goals (xG) for Antwerp over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 4.29 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Vincent Janssen is next with 3.56 xG.
Antwerp's results and their chances agree, within 2.2 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 27.87 | 25 | -2.87 | 38.16 | 38 | +0.16 | 23.16 | 21 | -2.16 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.64 | 14 | +0.36 | 22.82 | 20 | +2.82 | 9.98 | 11 | +1.02 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.47 | 3 | -2.47 | 15.25 | 15 | +0.25 | 2.22 | 0 | -2.22 |
| Home | 10 | 14.29 | 13 | -1.29 | 16.61 | 20 | -3.39 | 13.23 | 11 | -2.23 |
| Away | 10 | 13.58 | 12 | -1.58 | 21.55 | 18 | +3.55 | 9.93 | 10 | +0.07 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (A) | 5-1 | 1.14 | 2.47 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (H) | 0-2 | 0.45 | 2.65 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Club Brugge (A) | 3-1 | 1.82 | 3.54 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Standard (A) | 1-0 | 1.12 | 3.52 | 0.34 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Sint-Truiden (H) | 1-4 | 0.94 | 3.07 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Genk (H) | 4-4 | 1.84 | 1.62 | 1.52 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Belgian Pro League | KV Kortrijk (A) | 0-3 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 1.36 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Belgian Pro League | SK Beveren (H) | 2-1 | 2.72 | 0.89 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 23 May | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (H) | 2-0 | 1.75 | 0.54 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 19 May | Belgian Pro League | Genk (A) | 0-0 | 0.84 | 3.52 | 0.24 | 1 | L |
| 15 May | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (A) | 3-0 | 0.84 | 1.07 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (H) | 0-1 | 1.75 | 0.80 | 2.03 | 0 | W |
| 3 May | Belgian Pro League | Standard (H) | 0-5 | 1.47 | 2.61 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (A) | 2-4 | 2.88 | 0.81 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 21 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Standard (A) | 1-2 | 2.05 | 2.00 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (H) | 2-0 | 1.53 | 0.35 | 2.26 | 3 | W |
| 10 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (A) | 2-1 | 1.63 | 1.73 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 3 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Genk (H) | 1-2 | 1.09 | 1.92 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Belgian Pro League | OH Leuven (A) | 1-0 | 0.24 | 1.89 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Standard (H) | 1-1 | 0.75 | 2.16 | 0.53 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Valencia | attacker | 14 | 966 | 2.01 | 4 | +1.99 | 0.19 |
| Rein Van Helden | defender | 13 | 912 | 0.86 | 2 | +1.14 | 0.09 |
| Eran Tuypens | defender | 13 | 614 | 0.10 | 1 | +0.90 | 0.01 |
| Snayder Porozo | attacker | 6 | 215 | 1.20 | 2 | +0.80 | 0.50 |
| Christopher Scott | midfielder | 18 | 1409 | 3.51 | 4 | +0.49 | 0.22 |
| Xander Dierckx | midfielder | 17 | 1225 | 0.83 | 1 | +0.17 | 0.06 |
| Youssef Hamdaoui | midfielder | 7 | 160 | 0.84 | 1 | +0.16 | 0.47 |
| Ibrahim Salah | attacker | 7 | 394 | 0.87 | 1 | +0.13 | 0.20 |
| Michael Frey | attacker | 8 | 600 | 4.29 | 4 | -0.29 | 0.64 |
| Vincent Janssen | attacker | 10 | 862 | 3.56 | 3 | -0.56 | 0.37 |
| Marwan Alsahafi | attacker | 4 | 130 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.46 |
| Farouck Adekami | midfielder | 9 | 446 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.15 |
| Geoffry Hairemans | attacker | 6 | 131 | 0.85 | 0 | -0.85 | 0.58 |
| Thibo Somers | attacker | 14 | 950 | 1.22 | 0 | -1.22 | 0.12 |
| Gyrano Kerk | attacker | 10 | 762 | 2.33 | 1 | -1.33 | 0.28 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.6 | 4 | 14.8 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 16.3 | 16 | 8.3 | 7 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Club Brugge | 8 | 22.6 | 19 | 9.7 | 4 | 16.7 | 21 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 8 | 8.8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SK Beveren | 8 | 8.4 | 8 | 15.8 | 14 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 8 | 13.3 | 20 | 13.9 | 17 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 8 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.2 | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 9 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11.4 | 9 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 11 | 12 | 18.8 | 20 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 11 | Genk | 8 | 14.3 | 16 | 10.2 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liège | 8 | 14.6 | 13 | 12.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Mechelen | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 8 | 10.2 | 8 | 18.1 | 18 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 10.5 | 6 | 17.1 | 14 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| 16 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 8.1 | 2 | 15.3 | 18 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| 17 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | 15.8 | 15 | 12.7 | 16 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 11.8 | 9 | 12.4 | 16 | 10.5 | 3 | -7.5 |