Yes, Al-Qadsiah have taken 46 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 4.29 more than the 41.71 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Al-Qadsiah create 2.42 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 48.41 in all, and have scored 52 goals from those chances, 3.59 more than that xG would expect.
Al-Qadsiah allow 1.10 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 22.02 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 0.02 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Julián Quiñones has the most expected goals (xG) for Al-Qadsiah over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 15.29 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 15 goals; Mateo Retegui is next with 8.53 xG.
Al-Qadsiah have taken 4.3 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +3.6 goals against their xG, and +0.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 48.41 | 52 | +3.59 | 22.02 | 22 | +0.02 | 41.71 | 46 | +4.29 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 25.06 | 28 | +2.94 | 12.33 | 10 | +2.33 | 20.55 | 25 | +4.45 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.18 | 15 | +2.82 | 6.65 | 6 | +0.65 | 9.61 | 13 | +3.39 |
| Home | 10 | 20.95 | 22 | +1.05 | 9.28 | 14 | -4.72 | 21.05 | 21 | -0.05 |
| Away | 10 | 27.46 | 30 | +2.54 | 12.74 | 8 | +4.74 | 20.66 | 25 | +4.34 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Abha (H) | 2-1 | 1.70 | 1.26 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 9 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (A) | 0-5 | 5.16 | 2.69 | 2.14 | 3 | W |
| 11 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 3-3 | 2.40 | 0.83 | 2.33 | 1 | W |
| 8 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 3-2 | 1.87 | 1.24 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 3 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Draih (A) | 0-2 | 1.05 | 0.63 | 1.68 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Faisaly (H) | 3-1 | 2.20 | 0.72 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 24 Aug | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 0-2 | 1.67 | 1.59 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 21 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (H) | 0-1 | 2.34 | 0.30 | 2.63 | 0 | W |
| 13 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (A) | 1-3 | 2.87 | 1.16 | 2.32 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 1-5 | 3.80 | 1.91 | 2.24 | 3 | W |
| 14 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Hazm (H) | 2-0 | 1.72 | 0.06 | 2.59 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 1-2 | 1.67 | 1.44 | 1.53 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (H) | 3-1 | 2.19 | 0.81 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 29 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (A) | 0-4 | 4.92 | 0.92 | 2.66 | 3 | W |
| 14 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 2-2 | 3.44 | 2.62 | 1.78 | 1 | W |
| 9 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (A) | 1-1 | 1.52 | 0.39 | 2.22 | 1 | W |
| 5 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (A) | 3-2 | 2.39 | 1.54 | 1.88 | 0 | W |
| 13 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 3-2 | 0.81 | 1.36 | 0.95 | 3 | L |
| 7 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Kholood (A) | 1-4 | 2.41 | 0.47 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (H) | 1-1 | 2.28 | 0.08 | 2.75 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijjani Reijnders | midfielder | 7 | 563 | 1.94 | 4 | +2.06 | 0.31 |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | defender | 18 | 1413 | 4.46 | 6 | +1.54 | 0.28 |
| Mateo Retegui | attacker | 15 | 1199 | 8.53 | 10 | +1.47 | 0.64 |
| Turki Al-Ammar | attacker | 14 | 242 | 1.11 | 2 | +0.89 | 0.41 |
| Ibrahim Mohannashi | midfielder | 8 | 356 | 0.25 | 1 | +0.75 | 0.06 |
| Gabriel Carvalho | attacker | 6 | 141 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.27 |
| Ali Abdullah Hazazi | midfielder | 7 | 172 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.29 |
| Mohammed bin Hamad bin Dwaihi Al Swaidan Al Qahtani | attacker | 9 | 188 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.30 |
| Christopher Bonsu Baah | attacker | 20 | 1752 | 1.65 | 2 | +0.35 | 0.08 |
| Musab Al-Juwayr | midfielder | 19 | 1552 | 4.69 | 5 | +0.31 | 0.27 |
| Nahitan Nández | midfielder | 13 | 1151 | 1.24 | 1 | -0.24 | 0.10 |
| Julián Quiñones | attacker | 19 | 1710 | 15.29 | 15 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| Nacho Fernández | defender | 19 | 1681 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.03 |
| Gastón Álvarez | defender | 19 | 1710 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.03 |
| Otávio | midfielder | 9 | 745 | 0.80 | 0 | -0.80 | 0.10 |
| Abdullah Al-Salem | attacker | 11 | 438 | 3.12 | 2 | -1.12 | 0.64 |
| Jehad Thakri | defender | 17 | 1219 | 1.20 | 0 | -1.20 | 0.09 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |