Yes, Al Nassr have taken 50 points over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 6.99 more than the 43.01 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Al Nassr create 2.14 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 42.70 in all, and have scored 53 goals from those chances, 10.30 more than that xG would expect.
Al Nassr allow 0.76 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 15.29 in all, and have conceded 17 goals from those chances, 1.71 more than that xGA would expect.
Cristiano Ronaldo has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Nassr over their last 20 Saudi Pro League games, 10.35 xG in 17 appearances, and has scored 12 goals; João Félix is next with 9.73 xG.
Al Nassr have taken 7.0 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +10.3 goals against their xG, and -1.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 42.70 | 53 | +10.30 | 15.29 | 17 | -1.71 | 43.01 | 50 | +6.99 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.32 | 24 | +7.68 | 7.61 | 9 | -1.39 | 19.83 | 23 | +3.17 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.78 | 9 | +0.22 | 3.89 | 5 | -1.11 | 10.30 | 10 | -0.30 |
| Home | 10 | 20.46 | 24 | +3.54 | 6.71 | 6 | +0.71 | 21.50 | 28 | +6.50 |
| Away | 10 | 22.24 | 29 | +6.76 | 8.58 | 11 | -2.42 | 21.51 | 22 | +0.49 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Draih (H) | 3-0 | 2.35 | 1.06 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 1-1 | 1.43 | 0.32 | 2.23 | 1 | W |
| 9 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Abha (H) | 2-1 | 1.42 | 0.29 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Ittihad (A) | 2-1 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.39 | 0 | W |
| 28 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (H) | 2-1 | 2.03 | 0.68 | 2.26 | 3 | W |
| 25 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (A) | 2-3 | 1.90 | 0.71 | 2.18 | 3 | W |
| 21 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (A) | 0-4 | 1.62 | 0.61 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (H) | 3-0 | 1.62 | 0.73 | 2.01 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Saudi Pro League | Damac FC (H) | 4-1 | 1.44 | 0.91 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 12 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (H) | 1-1 | 0.96 | 0.76 | 1.49 | 1 | W |
| 7 May | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (A) | 2-4 | 3.27 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Saudi Pro League | Al-Qadsiah (A) | 3-1 | 0.81 | 2.19 | 0.56 | 0 | L |
| 29 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Ahli (H) | 2-0 | 0.69 | 0.15 | 1.83 | 3 | D |
| 15 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (H) | 1-0 | 2.48 | 0.91 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Akhdoud (A) | 0-2 | 2.76 | 0.13 | 2.81 | 3 | W |
| 3 Apr | Saudi Pro League | Al Najma (H) | 5-2 | 4.30 | 0.62 | 2.76 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Saudi Pro League | Al Khaleej (A) | 0-5 | 3.26 | 1.22 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (H) | 1-0 | 3.17 | 0.60 | 2.67 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (A) | 1-3 | 3.21 | 0.13 | 2.86 | 3 | W |
| 25 Feb | Saudi Pro League | Al Najma (A) | 0-5 | 2.43 | 0.18 | 2.72 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ângelo | attacker | 13 | 961 | 1.50 | 4 | +2.50 | 0.14 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | attacker | 17 | 1346 | 10.35 | 12 | +1.65 | 0.69 |
| Abdullah Al-Hamdan | attacker | 20 | 584 | 3.60 | 5 | +1.40 | 0.55 |
| Samú Costa | midfielder | 7 | 527 | 1.60 | 3 | +1.40 | 0.27 |
| Iñigo MartÃnez | defender | 16 | 1421 | 0.79 | 2 | +1.21 | 0.05 |
| Sadio Mané | attacker | 18 | 1551 | 5.83 | 7 | +1.17 | 0.34 |
| Kingsley Coman | attacker | 16 | 1276 | 3.91 | 5 | +1.09 | 0.28 |
| Abdulelah Al-Amri | defender | 18 | 1484 | 1.01 | 2 | +0.99 | 0.06 |
| Mohamed Simakan | defender | 17 | 1477 | 1.26 | 2 | +0.74 | 0.08 |
| Ayman Yahya | defender | 17 | 535 | 0.89 | 1 | +0.11 | 0.15 |
| João Félix | attacker | 18 | 1546 | 9.73 | 9 | -0.73 | 0.57 |
| Abdulrahman Ghareeb | attacker | 9 | 237 | 0.88 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.33 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |