No, Al Khaleej have taken 12 points over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, within 0.82 of the 11.18 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Al Khaleej create 0.95 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, 9.51 in all, and have scored 9 goals from those chances, 0.51 fewer than that xG would expect.
Al Khaleej allow 1.29 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, 12.85 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 0.15 more than that xGA would expect.
Joshua King has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Khaleej over 10 Saudi Pro League games in 2026/2027, 2.89 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Musa Barrow is next with 1.68 xG.
Al Khaleej's results and their chances agree, within 0.8 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 9.51 | 9 | -0.51 | 12.85 | 13 | -0.15 | 11.18 | 12 | +0.82 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.83 | 7 | +1.17 | 5.84 | 4 | +1.84 | 6.68 | 9 | +2.32 |
| Home | 5 | 4.25 | 4 | -0.25 | 6.36 | 6 | +0.36 | 5.39 | 6 | +0.61 |
| Away | 5 | 5.26 | 5 | -0.26 | 6.49 | 7 | -0.51 | 5.79 | 6 | +0.21 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Fateh (A) | 2-3 | 0.97 | 0.92 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al-Fayha (H) | 2-0 | 1.55 | 1.11 | 1.68 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Saudi Pro League | Al Ettifaq (A) | 1-1 | 2.42 | 2.04 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr (H) | 1-1 | 0.32 | 1.43 | 0.51 | 1 | L |
| 7 Sep | Saudi Pro League | Al Riyadh (H) | 0-0 | 0.57 | 0.34 | 1.50 | 1 | D |
| 3 Sep | Saudi Pro League | NEOM SC (A) | 3-0 | 0.27 | 1.58 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 28 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal (H) | 1-5 | 1.23 | 2.57 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 25 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Abha (A) | 1-1 | 0.78 | 0.98 | 1.17 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Shabab (H) | 0-0 | 0.58 | 0.91 | 1.03 | 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | Saudi Pro League | Al Taawoun (A) | 0-0 | 0.82 | 0.97 | 1.22 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Mascarell | midfielder | 10 | 900 | 0.14 | 2 | +1.86 | 0.01 |
| Joshua King | attacker | 6 | 415 | 2.89 | 4 | +1.11 | 0.63 |
| Saleh Mohammed Fares Al Jaman | attacker | 10 | 489 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.05 |
| Mateo Benegas | attacker | 3 | 152 | 1.00 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.59 |
| Musa Barrow | attacker | 9 | 586 | 1.68 | 1 | -0.68 | 0.26 |
| Nawaf Al-Sadi | attacker | 10 | 592 | 0.70 | 0 | -0.70 | 0.11 |
| Miguel Crespo | midfielder | 8 | 628 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.10 |
| Thamer Al-Khaibri | attacker | 5 | 280 | 0.92 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.30 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 15.4 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 2 | Al-Qadsiah | 9 | 21.3 | 23 | 10.4 | 9 | 18.3 | 22 | +3.7 |
| 3 | Al Ettifaq | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12.4 | 12 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 8 | 25.5 | 26 | 9.3 | 7 | 18.5 | 21 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Al Nassr | 8 | 13.9 | 19 | 5.9 | 7 | 16.6 | 19 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 7.5 | 9 | 14.3 | 17 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 8 | 18.1 | 20 | 11.4 | 10 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 8 | NEOM SC | 9 | 13.9 | 14 | 10.1 | 8 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 9.5 | 9 | 12.8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 8.9 | 8 | 19.2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0 |
| 11 | Al Hazm | 9 | 10.8 | 10 | 17.7 | 13 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Al Faisaly | 8 | 8.3 | 8 | 15.7 | 15 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Al Draih | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 9 | 17.2 | 14 | 16.5 | 18 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Al Shabab | 8 | 11.7 | 9 | 13.4 | 11 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 12 | 9 | 18.7 | 20 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Abha | 8 | 7.6 | 6 | 11.9 | 15 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Al Taawoun | 9 | 12.4 | 4 | 15.3 | 16 | 11.3 | 4 | -7.3 |