Napoli arrive at Sardegna Arena in excellent shape – D L W W W, three wins in their last three and a genuine Scudetto challenge building. Cagliari (L D D L L) are in freefall – five without a win and staring down the Serie A relegation zone. The gap in class is significant.
Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:
Cagliari (4-3-3): Caprile; Rodriguez, Dossena, Mina, Pedro; Folorunsho, Gaetano, Adopo; Kilicsoy, Esposito, Palestra
Napoli (3-4-2-1): Meret; Olivera, Buongiorno, Beukema, Spinazzola; Gilmour, Anguissa; Politano, Santos; McTominay; Hojlund
Rasmus Hojlund leads Napoli’s attack with 2 goals and 1 SOT in his last 5. Matteo Politano is direct from the right – 2 goals and 1 assist in 5. Leonardo Spinazzola has even contributed 2 goals from wing-back.
Alessandro Buongiorno is Napoli’s set-piece threat even from centre-back – 1 goal, 2 assists and 2 SOT in 5. Scott McTominay has been active in the final third. This is a deep, well-organised attacking unit.
Cagliari’s best performer is Michel Adopo with 3 goals in 5, but the team’s defensive record is poor and their overall output is low. See the H2H page and Serie A hub for the full picture.
Hojlund to score anytime in a Napoli win is the headline combo. Politano 1+ shot on target is a safe addition. Anguissa 1+ fouls is another layer given his physical midfield presence.
Cagliari’s Folorunsho has 3 fouls committed in 5 – yellow card risk for the hosts. Run your full build on the Statz Bet Builder Tool.
Napoli to win comfortably. Hojlund to score anytime is the value pick given his form and Cagliari’s defensive wobble. Napoli -1 Asian handicap is worth exploring for the braver punter.