Updated 2 November 2026.
Villarreal host Paris Saint Germain at the Estadio de la Cerámica on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 8pm UK, in the Champions League league phase. PSG arrive top of the 36-team table with nine points from three games and the competition's best attack. Villarreal are 19th, with a win and two defeats, and both teams have scored in all three of each side's league-phase games.
PSG have won their last nine games, and in the Champions League they are three from three with 14 goals scored and five conceded. They beat Barcelona 4-2 on 20 October and won 4-2 at Man City on 14 October. Since the Barcelona game they've added a 2-0 over Lyon and a 5-1 win at Le Havre. They average 4.67 goals a game in this competition, the most of any side, and 12.67 shots on target, also the most.
Villarreal sit 19th in the league-phase table with 3 points and a goal difference of zero, with 8 scored and 8 conceded. They lost 4-3 at Liverpool on 20 October, then went to Valencia and won 2-1, before a 5-0 Copa del Rey win at Manacor. Last time out they lost 0-1 at home to Espanyol, and they have no clean sheet in the Champions League, conceding 2.67 a game, the 8th most.
Villarreal take 4.33 corners a game, the 37th fewest, and commit 9.33 fouls, the 13th fewest. PSG pick up 0.33 cards a game, the 2nd fewest.
Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Gulácsi; Mouriño, Navarro, Veiga, Cardona; Comesaña, Gueye, Buchanan; Moleiro, Mikautadze, Pépé
Paris Saint Germain possible starting lineup:
Safonov; Hakimi, Pacho, Zabarnyi, Hernández; Vitinha, Neves, Fabián Ruiz; Doué, Akliouche, Ferran Torres
Achraf Hakimi has had a shot on target in three straight games and two or more shots in each of them, averaging 2.3 shots a game. He is 2.25 at Ladbrokes to have a shot on target.
Ferran Torres has also hit the target in all three, averaging two shots on target a game, and is 1.29 at bet365 to do it again.
Fabián Ruiz has taken at least a shot in each of his three Champions League games, averaging 3.3 a game. He is 1.18 at bet365 for a shot here.
For Villarreal, Santiago Mouriño is the right-back with a shot on target in three straight games, priced 5.5 at bet365. He has also committed two or more fouls in each of those three, and is 1.73 at Ladbrokes to do so again.
Pape Gueye has had a shot in three straight games, averaging 1.3 a game, and made at least a tackle in all three at two a game. He is 1.40 at bet365 for a shot, and has taken a shot in four of his last five games, including six in the latest.
We back PSG to win, with our model giving them 54% and the best price 1.65 at Ladbrokes. Villarreal are 5.00 at bet365 and the draw 4.60 at Midnite. Both teams to score is 1.40 at bet365 and our model puts it at 65%, with over 2.5 goals at 1.36 (66%).
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal win | 5.00 (bet365) | 24% |
| Draw | 4.60 (Midnite) | 22% |
| PSG win | 1.65 (Ladbrokes) | 54% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 (bet365) | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 66% |
We project 2.07 goals for PSG and 1.33 for Villarreal. Our predicted score is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 9.7%, though 1-2 is almost level at 9.5% and we make PSG clearly more likely to win overall.
For the player markets, the shots and shots-on-target options at bet365 are Nicolas Pépé to have a shot on target (1.57), Désiré Doué a shot on target (1.40), Vitinha a shot (1.20) and Pape Gueye a shot (1.40). Pépé and Doué have each had a shot on target in all of their last five games, and Vitinha and Gueye a shot in four of five.
Villarreal vs PSG kicks off at 8pm UK on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at the Estadio de la Cerámica, in the 2026/27 Champions League league phase, where PSG lead the 36-team table with 9 points and Villarreal are 19th with 3.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Villarreal vs PSG in the 2026/27 Champions League league phase, the likeliest single scoreline at 9.7%, though we make PSG 54% to win, Villarreal 24% and the draw 22%.
PSG are favourites for Villarreal vs PSG in the 2026/27 Champions League league phase, with a 54% chance of winning in our model against 24% for Villarreal and 22% for a draw. They lead the 36-team table with 9 points from 3 games.
Our model gives 65% for both teams to score in Villarreal vs PSG in the 2026/27 Champions League league phase, and both teams have scored in all 3 of each side's games so far. We project 1.33 goals for Villarreal and 2.07 for PSG.
Before Villarreal vs PSG in the 2026/27 Champions League league phase, PSG are 1st of 36 with 9 points from 3 games, while Villarreal are 19th with 3 points from 3 games, after 1 win and 2 defeats.
Before Villarreal vs PSG, Achraf Hakimi and Ferran Torres have each hit the target in 3 straight 2026/27 Champions League games for PSG. For Villarreal, Santiago Mouriño has had a shot on target in 3 straight games.
Villarreal's possible starting lineup for Villarreal vs PSG in the 2026/27 Champions League includes Gulácsi, Mouriño, Comesaña, Moleiro and Mikautadze, while PSG's has Safonov, Hakimi, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz and Ferran Torres.