Updated 26 October 2026.
Rizespor host Trabzonspor at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu on Monday 26 October, kick-off 16:00 UK, and the visitors come in with the better record by some distance. Trabzonspor are 4th in the Super Lig table on 16 points from eight games. Rizespor are 13th on 10, with three wins and four defeats.
Trabzonspor have conceded five league goals all season. Rizespor have scored eight. Our model leans towards the visitors.
Trabzonspor have won their last five games in all competitions. The 2-0 home win over Hearts in the Europa Conference League came three days after a 2-0 league win against Beşiktaş. Before that they won 4-2 away at KuPS and 3-0 at Samsunspor, and the run started with a 4-0 home win over Galatasaray. They score 2.25 goals a game, the 2nd most in the league, and concede 0.63, the fewest. Half their league games have been clean sheets, the 2nd highest rate in the division, and they average 6.88 shots on target a game, the 3rd most.
Rizespor have taken one point from their last three league games. They lost 2-1 at Çorum FK on 16 October and 3-0 at home to Fenerbahçe six days before that. Their last win was 2-0 at Eyüpspor in September, and in between came a 2-2 draw at Göztepe. They average a goal a game and concede 1.38, the 9th most in the league. They do create chances, with 4.88 shots on target a game, the 8th most, and 5 corners a game, the 6th most.
Both sides foul little. Each averages 10.5 fouls a game, the 2nd fewest in the league. Trabzonspor average 2.25 cards a game, the 9th most, and Rizespor 2, the 9th fewest.
Rizespor possible starting lineup:
Fofana; Pala, Sagnan, Bakayoko, Ariss; Antalyalı, Laci; Mebude, Olawoyin, Mihăilă; Sowe
Trabzonspor possible starting lineup:
Onana; Pina, Savic, Nwaiwu, Cabral; Mendy, Jabol-Folcarelli; Muci, Salah, Şimşir; Franculino
Mohamed Salah has had at least one shot in all eight of Trabzonspor's league games, averaging three a game. A shot for him is 1.01 at bet365.
For Rizespor, Modibo Sagnan has made a tackle and committed a foul in each of his eight league games, at around two of each per match. Mithat Pala has also tackled in all eight league games, averaging 2.3, and Zakaria Ariss has fouled in six straight.
In attack, Valentin Mihăilă has had a shot in each of his last four appearances, averaging two a game.
We back Trabzonspor, who are 2.00 at Ladbrokes to win. Rizespor are 3.80 at bet365 and the draw is 3.90 at Coral. Both teams to score is 1.50 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.57.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 3.80 (bet365) | 29% |
| Draw | 3.90 (Coral) | 25% |
| Trabzonspor win | 2.00 (Ladbrokes) | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 58% |
Our model makes it 1.71 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.32 for Rizespor. Rizespor are only 18% likely to keep a clean sheet, against 27% for the visitors. 1-1 is the likeliest single score, though we make Trabzonspor the more likely winner, so a draw is in play. Our prediction is Rizespor 1-1 Trabzonspor.
The Super Lig game kicks off at 16:00 UK on Monday 26 October 2026 at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu.
We predict a 1-1 draw. The 1-1 scoreline has an 11% chance in our model, though we make Trabzonspor the more likely winner at 46%.
Trabzonspor. They are 2.00 at Ladbrokes, against 3.80 for Rizespor at bet365, and our model gives them a 46% chance of winning.
Our model gives both teams to score a 61% chance. It is 1.50 at bet365.
Salah has had at least one shot in all eight of Trabzonspor's league games, averaging three a game. A shot for him is 1.01 at bet365.
Trabzonspor are 4th on 16 points from eight games. Rizespor are 13th on 10 points.
Rizespor: Fofana; Pala, Sagnan, Bakayoko, Ariss; Antalyalı, Laci; Mebude, Olawoyin, Mihăilă; Sowe. Trabzonspor: Onana; Pina, Savic, Nwaiwu, Cabral; Mendy, Jabol-Folcarelli; Muci, Salah, Şimşir; Franculino.