Updated 14 November 2026.
Tenerife welcome Ceuta to the Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz on Sunday 15 November, with kick-off at 13:00 UK. The hosts are 14th in the La Liga 2 table and have drawn six of their 12 games. The visitors are 22nd of 22, with one win from 13 and 30 goals conceded. Tenerife have not won in five, and 1-1 is the single likeliest scoreline in our projection, though we make the hosts the more likely winners.
Tenerife have 15 points from 12 games, built on three wins, six draws and three defeats. Ceuta have 5 points from 13, and no side in La Liga 2 averages fewer goals for or more against.
Tenerife's last five league games were a 3-2 loss at Córdoba, then four draws in a row: 1-1 with Girona, 1-1 at Celta Fortuna, 1-1 at Sabadell and, most recently, 2-2 at home to FC Andorra. Both teams have scored in 67% of their games, the 3rd highest rate in the division, but they average only 2.92 shots on target a game, the fewest in La Liga 2.
Ceuta have lost four of their last five games in all competitions. They lost 1-2 to Oviedo and 1-3 at Cádiz, then beat Poblense 2-1 away in the Copa del Rey. After that came a 0-2 home defeat to Gijon and a 0-3 loss at Córdoba. They average 0.77 goals a game, the fewest in La Liga 2, and concede 2.31, the most. Their clean-sheet rate is 0%, the lowest in the division.
Ceuta win 6.23 corners a game, the 2nd most, and 62% of their games go over 2.5 goals, the 2nd highest rate. Tenerife's rate is 33%, the 3rd lowest.
Tenerife possible starting lineup:
De Vuyst; David Rodríguez, Viereck, Jureskin, Landázuri; Juanjo Sánchez, Álvarez; Nacho Gil, Noel López, Gomis; Gallego
Ceuta possible starting lineup:
Pedro López; Anuar, Caparrós, Carlos Hernández, Matos; Meléndez, Bodiger; Illescas, Zalazar, Teguia Noubi; Escobar
Kuki Zalazar has had at least one shot in 12 straight games for Ceuta, averaging three a match, and that run ranks first in La Liga 2.
Enric Gallego has two runs going for Tenerife. He has had a shot in 11 straight games and committed a foul in each of those 11, averaging 3 shots and 3.1 fouls a game. Each run ranks 4th in La Liga 2.
Jordi Escobar has had a shot in eight straight games for Ceuta, averaging 2.9.
Nacho Gil has made a tackle in six straight games at 2.2 a match, and David Rodríguez has done the same in five at 2.8.
We make Tenerife the likelier winners at 49%. Coral offer 1.75 on the home win, with the draw at 3.5 (BoyleSports) and Ceuta at 4 (Coral). Among the player runs, Zalazar has shot in 12 straight games and Gallego in 11.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 1.75 (Coral) | 49% |
| Draw | 3.5 (BoyleSports) | 27% |
| Ceuta win | 4 (Coral) | 24% |
| Both teams to score | 1.83 (Coral) | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (BoyleSports) | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 (BoyleSports) | 46% |
Our prediction is Tenerife 1-1 Ceuta. A draw is clearly in play, and 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 12%, though we make Tenerife the more likely winner. We project 1.52 goals for the hosts and 0.99 for the visitors, and Tenerife keep a clean sheet in 37% of our simulations against 22% for Ceuta. Ceuta's games go over 2.5 goals 62% of the time against 33% for Tenerife, and we put this match at 46%.
Tenerife vs Ceuta in La Liga 2 2026/27 kicks off at 13:00 UK on Sunday 15 November 2026 at the Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz. Tenerife are 14th and Ceuta 22nd of 22, and we give the hosts a 49% chance of winning.
Our prediction for Tenerife vs Ceuta in La Liga 2 2026/27 is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%. We still make Tenerife the more likely winner at 49%, with Ceuta at 24%.
Tenerife are favourites for the La Liga 2 match against Ceuta, with a 49% win chance in our model and a best price of 1.75 at Coral. The draw is 27% and Ceuta 24%.
We give both teams to score a 50% chance in Tenerife vs Ceuta, and Coral offer 1.83. Tenerife's games have seen both sides score 67% of the time, the 3rd highest rate in La Liga 2 this season.
Tenerife are 14th in La Liga 2 with 15 points from 12 games, while Ceuta are 22nd of 22 with 5 points from 13. Ceuta have won once and conceded 30 goals this season.
Ceuta's Kuki Zalazar has had at least one shot in 12 straight games going into Tenerife vs Ceuta in La Liga 2 2026/27, a run that ranks first in the division. Tenerife's Enric Gallego has done so in 11 straight, and Ceuta's Jordi Escobar in 8.
Tenerife are expected to line up with De Vuyst in goal and Gallego leading the attack, with Nacho Gil and Noel López behind him. Ceuta's predicted side has Pedro López in goal, Zalazar behind Escobar and Anuar at right-back.