Updated 6 November 2026.
TSG Hoffenheim host Schalke 04 at the SNP Arena on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 18:30 UK, in a Bundesliga game that pairs the highest over-2.5 rate in the league with its lowest scorers. Hoffenheim have gone over 2.5 goals in 88% of their games, the highest rate in the division. Schalke have scored four goals all season.
Hoffenheim sit 12th on 9 points and Schalke 17th on 6. We give Hoffenheim a 61% chance of winning, with the draw at 23% and Schalke at 16%, but 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline and we predict a draw.
Hoffenheim have three wins and five defeats from eight, with 14 goals scored and 16 conceded. Both teams have scored in 75% of their games, the 3rd highest rate in the league, and Hoffenheim have kept a clean sheet in just 13%. They commit 13 fouls a game, the 4th most, and win 6.13 corners a game, the 3rd most.
Hoffenheim won three in a row, 2-1 at Gladbach on 18 October, 3-0 against Lyon in the Europa League and 3-0 against Leverkusen. They then lost 2-0 at Bremen on 31 October and drew 1-1 at Palace in the Europa League on Thursday.
Schalke have one win, three draws and four defeats, scoring 0.5 goals a game, the fewest in the league, and managing 2.88 shots on target a game, also the fewest. At the other end they concede 1.13 a game, the 3rd fewest, and have kept clean sheets in 38% of their games, the 3rd highest rate.
Schalke have not scored in their last three league games: a 0-1 home loss to Mainz on 17 October, a 0-0 draw at Köln on 24 October and a 0-2 home defeat to RB Leipzig on 31 October. Only 38% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd lowest rate in the league.
TSG Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Kabak, Machida, Rots; Abraha, Kramaric, Avdullahu, Burger, Daghim; Lemperle, Asllani
Schalke 04 possible starting lineup:
Karius; Becker, Kuruçay, Katic, Becker; Tanaka, Ayhan; Aouchiche, Karaman, Ljubicic; Džeko
Fisnik Asllani has had two or more shots in five straight games, averaging 3.6 a game over the run, and is 1.14 at Ladbrokes for another two-shot game. He has also committed a foul in four straight games and is 1.40 at bet365 to make it five.
Wouter Burger has had a shot in six straight games, averaging 1.7 a game, and is 1.25 at Ladbrokes to extend it. He has also made at least one tackle in six straight games, averaging 2.2, at 1.08 with bet365. Tim Lemperle has committed a foul in five straight games and is 1.08 at bet365 for one more.
For Schalke, Hasan Kuruçay has made at least one tackle in eight straight games, averaging 3.1 a game, and is 1.07 at bet365. Timo Becker has made two or more tackles in each of his last five games, averaging 3.8, and is 1.22 at bet365 for two or more. Satoshi Tanaka has committed a foul in six straight games, averaging 1.8, and is 1.53 at bet365 for another.
Hoffenheim are the favourites at 1.61 with Coral, and we give them a 61% chance. Schalke are 5.25 with bet365 and the draw is 4.33 with bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim win | 1.61 (Coral) | 61% |
| Draw | 4.33 (bet365) | 23% |
| Schalke win | 5.25 (bet365) | 16% |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 (bet365) | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 55% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 11%, with 2-0 also at 11% and 1-0 at 10%, though we make Hoffenheim 61% to win against 23% for the draw. We project 1.96 goals for Hoffenheim and 0.93 for Schalke, with a Hoffenheim clean sheet at 39%. Both teams to score is 53% and over 2.5 goals 55%.
Statz prediction: Hoffenheim 1-1 Schalke.
Hoffenheim vs Schalke in the 2026/27 Bundesliga kicks off at 18:30 UK on Sunday 8 November 2026 at the SNP Arena. It is a regular-season fixture between 12th-placed Hoffenheim on 9 points and 17th-placed Schalke on 6.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Hoffenheim vs Schalke in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, the single likeliest score at 11%. We still make Hoffenheim the likelier winner at 61%, with the draw at 23% and Schalke at 16%.
Hoffenheim are favourites to beat Schalke in the 2026/27 Bundesliga on 8 November 2026, at 1.61 with Coral. We give them a 61% chance of winning, to 23% for a draw and 16% for Schalke, who are 5.25 with bet365.
We give both teams to score a 53% chance in Hoffenheim vs Schalke in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, priced at 1.53 with bet365, with Hoffenheim projected to score 1.96 goals and Schalke 0.93.
Hoffenheim are 12th in the 2026/27 Bundesliga with 9 points from 8 games, having won 3 and lost 5, while Schalke are 17th with 6 points from 8 games, having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 4.
Predicted lineups for Hoffenheim vs Schalke in the 2026/27 Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026: TSG Hoffenheim may start Baumann; Kabak, Machida, Rots; Abraha, Kramaric, Avdullahu, Burger, Daghim; Lemperle, Asllani. Schalke 04 may start Karius; Becker, Kuruçay, Katic, Becker; Tanaka, Ayhan; Aouchiche, Karaman, Ljubicic; Džeko.