Updated 29 October 2026.
Middlesbrough host Charlton Athletic at the Riverside Stadium on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 3pm UK, as the Championship leaders on 25 points from 12 games against a side sitting 19th on 14. Boro have the division's most shots on target per game and the joint highest rate of Over 2.5 goals matches, while Charlton score 0.92 a game, the 4th fewest. We make Middlesbrough 72% to win and predict a 2-0 home win.
Middlesbrough have won 7, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their 12, scoring 27 and conceding 17. Their goals average of 2.25 a game is the 2nd most in the league, and their games have gone both-teams-to-score 83% of the time, the 2nd highest. They put 6.67 shots on target per game, the most in the division, and 75% of their league games have gone over 2.5 goals, the joint highest rate in the division.
Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last five Championship games, with three wins and two draws. They won 5-1 on their trip to Bolton last Friday, which followed a 2-2 home draw with Cardiff, a 3-2 win at Stoke and a 1-0 home win over Wolves.
Charlton have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 4, scoring 11 and conceding 18. They lost 3-1 at home to Norwich last Saturday, and before that went down 2-0 at Watford. A 2-2 draw at Burnley and a 1-1 against Bristol City came before that, so they have taken a point in two of their last five Championship games and have not won in any of them.
They average 3 shots on target a game, the 2nd fewest in the league, and keep a clean sheet in 25% of matches, the 8th highest rate. They also commit 12.58 fouls a game, the 3rd most, while Boro commit 9.83, the 4th fewest.
Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Vitek; Brittain, Phillips, Malanda, Borges; Morris, Berhalter, McGree; Cozier-Duberry, Lankshear, Conway
Charlton Athletic possible starting lineup:
Okonkwo; Ramsay, Jones, Koumetio, Edwards; Coventry, Carey, Rankin-Costello; Campbell, Grant, Kelman
Will Lankshear has had 3+ shots in four straight games, averaging 4.3 a game, and a shot on target in each of those four; that market is 1.15 with Ladbrokes.
Ashley Phillips is a centre-back with a shot in five straight games, available at 1.67 with bet365. His team-mate Sebastian Berhalter has also had a shot in four in a row, averaging 2.5 a game.
For Charlton, Conor Coventry has committed a foul in all 12 of their Championship games, averaging 1.7 a game, and a foul is 1.25 with Midnite. He has also made a tackle in each of those 12. Charlie Kelman has had a shot in each of his last five games, three in each of the last two, and a shot is 1.25 with bet365.
We make Middlesbrough 72% to win, with the draw at 18% and a Charlton win at 10%. The best price on Middlesbrough is 1.30 with Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 1.30 (Ladbrokes) | 72% |
| Draw | 6.00 (bet365) | 18% |
| Charlton Athletic win | 10.00 (bet365) | 10% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 62% |
We project 2.4 goals for Boro and 0.79 for Charlton, and 2-0 is the likeliest single score at 12%, with 3-0, 2-1 and 1-0 next at 9% each. We predict a 2-0 home win. Middlesbrough have a 45% chance of a clean sheet and Charlton 9%.
For longer prices, Adilson Malanda has 2+ shots at 3.50 for Middlesbrough, while Lloyd Jones has a shot on target at 4.33 and Kayne Ramsay a shot at 3.00 for Charlton.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic in the 2026/27 Championship kicks off at 3pm UK on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough are 1st on 25 points after 12 games and Charlton Athletic are 19th on 14 points.
For Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic in the 2026/27 Championship we predict a 2-0 win for Middlesbrough, the likeliest single score at 12%, and we give Boro a 72% chance of winning, with the draw at 18% and Charlton Athletic at 10%.
Middlesbrough are clear favourites against Charlton Athletic in the 2026/27 Championship, with our model giving them a 72% chance of a win against 18% for a draw and 10% for Charlton Athletic. Middlesbrough lead the table with 25 points from 12 games.
We give both teams to score a 50% chance in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic in the 2026/27 Championship. Middlesbrough's games have gone both-teams-to-score 83% of the time, the 2nd highest rate in the league, while Charlton's have gone 58%.
We give Over 2.5 goals a 62% chance in Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic in the 2026/27 Championship, and 75% of Middlesbrough's league games this season have gone Over 2.5, the joint highest rate in the division.
Middlesbrough are 1st in the 2026/27 Championship with 25 points from 12 games, from seven wins, four draws and one defeat, while Charlton Athletic are 19th with 14 points from three wins, five draws and four defeats ahead of Saturday's meeting.
For the 3pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026/27 Championship, Middlesbrough's possible starting lineup against Charlton Athletic is Vitek; Brittain, Phillips, Malanda, Borges; Morris, Berhalter, McGree; Cozier-Duberry, Lankshear, Conway. Charlton Athletic's possible starting lineup is Okonkwo; Ramsay, Jones, Koumetio, Edwards; Coventry, Carey, Rankin-Costello; Campbell, Grant, Kelman.