Updated 2 November 2026.
Blackburn Rovers welcome Stoke City to Ewood Park on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 7:45pm UK, in a Championship game between a side that has just been beaten 4-0 and a side that has just won 2-0. Stoke come in 7th, Blackburn 13th, but we see very little between them.
Blackburn's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 77% of the time, the highest rate in the division. Stoke have the opposite habit, keeping clean sheets in 38% of their games, the 2nd highest. We make 1-1 the likeliest single scoreline.
Blackburn sit 13th in the Championship table with 18 points from 13 games (5 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats) and a goal difference of -1. They were beaten 4-0 at Swansea on Saturday, after a 2-0 home win over Wrexham the week before. Before that came a 3-2 defeat at WBA, then a 1-0 win at Bristol City and a 2-1 home win over Cardiff.
Both teams to score lands in 69% of Rovers' games, the 4th highest rate in the league, and they win the 5th most corners per game at 5.92. They also pick up the 4th most cards per game at 2.46. They score 1.46 a game, the 11th most in the division, and concede 1.54, also the 11th most.
Stoke are 7th on 23 points from 13 (7 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 20 and conceding 16. They score 1.54 a game, the 9th most in the Championship, and have won 3 of their last 5. Last time out it was a 2-0 win over Preston, preceded by a goalless draw with Bristol City, a 1-0 win at Derby and a 3-2 home loss to Middlesbrough.
The visitors concede the 7th fewest goals per game at 1.23, and they commit the most fouls in the Championship at 13 a game.
Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Tóth; Alebiosu, McLoughlin, Atcheson, Beyuku; Montgomery, Baradji; Fevrier, Cantwell, Afolayan; Gudjohnsen
Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Johnson, Wilmot, Graham, Lawal; Soumaré, Galbraith, Bombino; McGlynn, Devenny; BoženÃk
Kristi Montgomery has made at least one tackle in 12 straight games, averaging 3.1 a game.
Jack McGlynn has had a shot in 7 consecutive games and is 1.10 at bet365 to make it 8. Ethan Galbraith has had a shot in 5 straight games and is 1.36 at bet365, and he has also committed a foul in 4 straight at 1.33 with Midnite.
Oladapo Afolayan has committed 2 or more fouls in 3 straight games, averaging 2.7, and that is 1.75 at Midnite. Ben Wilmot has had a shot in 3 straight games and is 2.00 at bet365 for another.
We make this a three-way game, with a draw in play. Blackburn and Stoke are level on 35% each to win, and the draw is 30%. The best prices are Blackburn 2.70 at Coral, the draw 3.30 at Coral and Stoke 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 2.70 (Coral) | 35% |
| Draw | 3.30 (Coral) | 30% |
| Stoke win | 2.62 (Ladbrokes) | 35% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 (bet365) | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 71% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, which is the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, with 0-0, 0-1 and 1-0 each around 10%. Both sides are projected 1.22 goals, and both teams scoring is a shade better than even at 51%.
Blackburn Rovers host Stoke City at Ewood Park in the 2026/27 Championship at 7:45pm UK on Tuesday 3 November 2026. Stoke are 7th and Blackburn 13th in the 24-team table, with both clubs on 13 games played.
Our prediction for Blackburn vs Stoke in the 2026/27 Championship is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest scoreline at 14%. We project 1.22 goals for each team and give the draw a 30% chance.
Neither side is favourite in Blackburn vs Stoke in the 2026/27 Championship, as we give Blackburn Rovers and Stoke City a 35% chance each of winning, with the draw at 30%.
Both teams to score is 51% likely in Blackburn vs Stoke in the 2026/27 Championship by our projection. Blackburn's games have had both teams scoring 69% of the time, the 4th highest in the league.
Stoke City are 7th with 23 points from 13 games in the 2026/27 Championship, while Blackburn Rovers are 13th with 18 points from 13. Stoke have scored 20 and conceded 16, Blackburn 19 and 20.
Stoke's Jack McGlynn has had a shot in 7 straight games ahead of Blackburn vs Stoke in the 2026/27 Championship. Blackburn's Kristi Montgomery has made a tackle in 12 straight games.
Blackburn Rovers could start Tóth; Alebiosu, McLoughlin, Atcheson, Beyuku; Montgomery, Baradji; Fevrier, Cantwell, Afolayan; Gudjohnsen in the 2026/27 Championship game against Stoke on 3 November 2026. Stoke City could line up Johansson; Johnson, Wilmot, Graham, Lawal; Soumaré, Galbraith, Bombino; McGlynn, Devenny; BoženÃk.