Updated 2 November 2026.
Wrexham welcome Middlesbrough to the Racecourse Ground on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 7:45pm. The hosts sit 18th with 14 points from 13 games. Boro are 1st on 28, with eight wins, four draws and just the one defeat.
It's a meeting of the division's second-best attack and a Wrexham side that has lost three of its last four. Boro have scored 30 goals, Wrexham 15, and the visitors lead the Championship for shots on target per game. Wrexham have Kieffer Moore, who has had 2+ shots in six straight games.
Wrexham's last five Championship games brought one win, one draw and three defeats. A 1-1 draw at Derby was followed by a 2-1 home defeat to West Brom, then a 4-1 win over Preston. Since then they've lost 2-0 at Blackburn and 1-0 at Sheffield United, scoring nothing in either. Overall it's three wins, five draws and five defeats, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded.
At the other end of the table, Middlesbrough have won four of their last five and drawn the other. They beat Charlton 3-0 on Saturday, won 5-1 at Bolton, drew 2-2 with Cardiff, won 3-2 at Stoke and beat Wolves 1-0. They've scored 2.31 goals a game, the 2nd most in the league, and 77% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the division.
Wrexham's shots on target come in at 3.31 per game, the 4th fewest, against 6.62 for Boro, the most. Wrexham have also collected the 2nd fewest cards in the league, while Middlesbrough have the fewest. Wrexham are the 12th fewest for fouls and Middlesbrough the 5th fewest.
Wrexham possible starting lineup:
Patterson; Doyle, Hyam, Worrall, Ekomié; Kaboré, Sheaf, James; Rathbone, O'Brien, Moore
Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Vitek; Brittain, Phillips, Malanda, Neto Borges; Berhalter, Morris; McGree, Cozier-Duberry, Conway; Strelec
Kieffer Moore is Wrexham's main outlet. He has had two or more shots in six straight games, averaging 3.3 a game, and he's 1.28 at Ladbrokes to make it seven. He has had at least two shots in each of his last five, with a high of six.
Amario Cozier-Duberry has managed three-plus shots in four straight, averaging 5.3 a game over that run, and he's 1.55 at Ladbrokes to do it again.
Aidan Morris has made a tackle in 12 straight games, averaging 3.4 a game. He has also had a shot on target in each of his last four, and 2+ shots in each of those four, at 2.20 at Ladbrokes for 2+ again.
Callum Doyle has made a tackle in seven straight games for Wrexham, at 2.3 a game.
We back Middlesbrough to win: Ladbrokes have them at 1.75 and we give them a 50% chance. Wrexham are 4.33 at bet365 (24%) and the draw is 4.00 (26%). Over 2.5 goals is 1.65 at Ladbrokes and both teams to score is 1.65 at Ladbrokes too.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 4.33 (bet365) | 24% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 26% |
| Middlesbrough win | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 1.65 (Ladbrokes) | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 (Ladbrokes) | 52% |
Our projection is 1.09 goals for Wrexham and 1.67 for Middlesbrough. 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 12%, though we make Boro the more likely winners, and 0-1 and 1-2 are the next most likely. A draw is in play. Our prediction is Wrexham 1-1 Middlesbrough.
For a player angle, Moore's 2+ shots at 1.28 at Ladbrokes comes off a run of six, and Callum Brittain to have a shot is 1.57 at bet365 after four straight.
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at the Racecourse Ground in the 2026/27 Championship. Wrexham are 18th on 14 points from 13 games and Middlesbrough are 1st on 28.
Our prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough in the 2026/27 Championship is a 1-1 draw, which carries a 12% chance as the likeliest score. We still make Middlesbrough the more likely winner at 50%, against 24% for Wrexham.
Middlesbrough are favourites for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough in the 2026/27 Championship on 4 November 2026, and we give them a 50% chance of winning, against 26% for the draw and 24% for a Wrexham win.
We give both teams to score a 55% chance in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough in the 2026/27 Championship. Both teams have scored in 77% of Middlesbrough's matches this season, the 2nd highest rate, against 62% for Wrexham.
Middlesbrough lead the 2026/27 Championship in 1st place with 28 points from 13 games, ahead of the trip to Wrexham. Wrexham are 18th of 24 with 14 points from 13 games, after three wins, five draws and five defeats.
Kieffer Moore has had 2+ shots in 6 straight Championship games for Wrexham, averaging 3.3 a game over that run, ahead of Wrexham vs Middlesbrough in the 2026/27 Championship on 4 November. He has had at least 2 shots in each of his last 5, with a high of 6.
The possible starting lineup for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough in the 2026/27 Championship on 4 November 2026 has Patterson in goal and Moore up front for Wrexham, with Vitek in goal and Strelec up front for Middlesbrough.