Updated 24 October 2026.
Hull City welcome Brentford to the MKM Stadium on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 14:00 UK, in a Premier League game between two sides who both lost on 17 October. Hull sit 10th in the table on 9 points from seven games, while Brentford are 6th on 10 points and have scored 13 times to Hull's 8.
Brentford have the 4th most goals per game in the division and the 2nd highest both-teams-to-score rate, while Hull have the 3rd fewest shots on target. Hull's strength is at the other end, where they have conceded the 4th fewest goals per game and kept clean sheets in 43% of their league games, the 3rd highest rate in the league.
Hull have not won in their last six games in all competitions, drawing three and losing three. The latest defeat was a 1-0 loss at Fulham on 17 October. Before that they drew 2-2 with Everton at home, and in September they came away from Chelsea with a 2-2 draw before losing 2-1 at Newcastle. Across the season it is 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 8 scored and 7 conceded.
Hull average 3.14 cards a game, the most in the league and level with Brentford. Their shots on target are down at 3.43 a game, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Brentford arrive after a 2-1 home defeat to Liverpool, which followed a 2-2 draw at Villa and a 3-0 win over Chelsea. The season record is 2 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, and the Liverpool game is their only defeat in their last ten. Their 71% over 2.5 goals rate is the 2nd highest in the league, and they also lead the division in fouls per game at 14.71.
Hull City possible starting lineup:
Tzolakis; Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, Herrington; Norton-Cuffy, Slater, Crooks; Thomas, Belloumi, McBurnie
Brentford possible starting lineup:
Kelleher; Kayode, Van den Berg, Ajer, Lewis-Potter; Sangaré, Jensen; Schade, Damsgaard, Anthony; Igor Thiago
Mohamed Belloumi has had two or more shots in five straight games, averaging 3 a game over that run with a high of five. He is 1.40 at bet365 to have 2+ shots again.
Igor Thiago leads Brentford's line and has had a shot in seven straight games, averaging 2.4. He has also committed two or more fouls in four in a row, and is 1.75 at Midnite to make it five.
Mamadou Sangaré has made at least one tackle and committed at least one foul in each of Brentford's seven league games, averaging 2.7 tackles. The tackle price is 1.05 at bet365 and the foul price is 1.28 at Ladbrokes.
Matt Crooks has made two or more tackles in five straight league games, averaging 2.4, and is 1.14 at bet365.
Oliver McBurnie has committed a foul in all seven of Hull's league games, at 1.6 a game, and is 1.25 at Ladbrokes.
We back Brentford, who are 1.73 at bet365 to win. Our model gives them a 57% chance, with Hull on 20% and the draw on 23%. Brentford are projected to score 1.95 goals to Hull's 1.10.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Hull City win | 4.75 (bet365) | 20% |
| Draw | 4.00 (Ladbrokes) | 23% |
| Brentford win | 1.73 (bet365) | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 (Midnite) | 81% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 11%, so a draw is in play, though we make Brentford clearly more likely to win overall. Our prediction is Hull City 1-1 Brentford, with 1-2 and 0-2 close behind.
For the player markets, Jaidon Anthony to commit a foul is 1.62, and we rank him the likeliest foul committer in the game. Regan Slater to have a shot is 1.73. For Hull, Semi Ajayi has made a tackle in six straight games and is 1.25 at bet365.
Kick-off at the MKM Stadium is 14:00 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Our prediction is Hull City 1-1 Brentford. A 1-1 draw is the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we give Brentford a 57% chance of winning the match.
Brentford are favourites at 1.73 with bet365, and our model gives them a 57% chance of winning. Hull City are 4.75 and the draw is 4.00.
We give both teams to score a 58% chance, and the best price is 1.67 at bet365. Brentford have the 2nd highest both-teams-to-score rate in the league at 71%, while Hull's is 43%.
Our projection is 1.10 goals for Hull and 1.95 for Brentford. We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance, with a best price of 1.67 at bet365.
Mohamed Belloumi has had two or more shots in five straight games for Hull, averaging 3 a game, and is 1.40 at bet365. Igor Thiago has had a shot in seven straight games for Brentford.
Hull: Tzolakis; Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, Herrington; Norton-Cuffy, Slater, Crooks; Thomas, Belloumi, McBurnie. Brentford: Kelleher; Kayode, Van den Berg, Ajer, Lewis-Potter; Sangaré, Jensen; Schade, Damsgaard, Anthony; Igor Thiago.