Updated 31 October 2026.
Newcastle United host Everton at St. James' Park on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 8pm UK. The sides met on Thursday, when Everton won the Carabao Cup tie 3-1 at home, so Newcastle get a quick chance to answer it in the league.
Newcastle sit 8th in the Premier League on 11 points, Everton 11th on 10. Newcastle have scored more and conceded more, while Everton have drawn four of their eight and kept things tight.
Newcastle have won three, drawn two and lost three of their eight league games, scoring 12 and conceding 14. They are the 6th most prolific side in the division at 1.5 goals a game, but the 3rd most generous at the back, shipping 1.75. That combination makes their games busy: both teams have scored in 63% of them, the 3rd highest rate in the league, and 63% have gone over 2.5 goals, also the 3rd highest.
Recent results are mixed. They beat Palace 2-0 at Selhurst Park on 25 October but lost 1-0 to Villa at home the week before and went down 4-1 at Coventry before that. The shots on target numbers are the soft spot: 3.38 a game is the 4th fewest in the league.
Everton have won two, drawn four and lost two, with eight scored and nine conceded. They keep clean sheets in 38% of games, the 7th highest rate, and only 38% of their matches see both sides score. They are the league's fewest fouling side at 8.13 a game, and they get 4.75 shots on target a game, the 7th most.
The league run is two defeats, at Arsenal and at home to Chelsea, both 2-0, after a 2-2 draw at Hull. The cup win over Newcastle came straight after. Newcastle on 11 points and Everton on 10 are a point apart in the Premier League table.
Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Hornicek; Dedić, Schär, Burn, Hall; Willock, Joelinton, González; Murphy, Barnes, Osula
Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Röhl, Tarkowski, O'Brien, Mykolenko; Garner, Armstrong; Johnson, Dewsbury-Hall, George; Barry
Thierno Barry is the headline name. He has had two or more shots in eight straight games, averaging 3.4, and a shot on target in five straight. Two shots is 1.36 at bet365 and a shot on target 1.73.
Harvey Barnes has had three or more shots in three games running at 3.7 a game, and three-plus shots is 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
James Tarkowski has made a tackle in eight straight games for Everton, averaging 1.9, while on the Newcastle side Joe Willock has made one in six straight at 1.20.
William Osula has had a shot in four straight games, 1.5 a game. Dan Burn is the longer shot: a shot is 2.10 and a shot on target 4.33.
We back Newcastle to win, at 2.35 with bet365, and make them 44% likely to do it. Everton are 30% and the draw 26%. Everton are 2.90 at bet365 and the draw is 3.75 at BoyleSports.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle win | 2.35 (bet365) | 44% |
| Draw | 3.75 (BoyleSports) | 26% |
| Everton win | 2.90 (bet365) | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 53% |
Our prediction is Newcastle United 1-1 Everton. A draw is in play, as 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 12%, though we make Newcastle the likelier winner overall, with 2-1 and 1-0 next on the list. We project 1.54 goals for Newcastle and 1.24 for Everton. Newcastle's games have been loose and goal-heavy, and our model makes both teams scoring a shade better than even, while Everton's own record leans the other way.
Our bet builder pairs Barry with a shot on target, Barnes with two or more shots, Willock with a tackle and Nico González with two or more fouls.
Newcastle United host Everton in the Premier League at 20:00 UK on Monday 2 November 2026 at St. James' Park. It is a 2026/27 league fixture, coming four days after Everton beat Newcastle 3-1 in the Carabao Cup.
Our prediction for Newcastle vs Everton in the Premier League on 2 November 2026 is a 1-1 draw, which is the single likeliest scoreline at 12%. We still make Newcastle the likelier winner, at 44% against 30% for Everton.
Newcastle are the favourites for the 2 November 2026 Premier League game, at 2.35 with bet365 against 2.90 for Everton. Our model gives Newcastle a 44% chance of winning, Everton 30% and the draw 26%.
We give both teams to score a 56% chance in this Premier League game on 2 November 2026, with bet365 offering 1.57. Both teams have scored in 63% of Newcastle's league games this season, the 3rd highest rate in the division.
Thierno Barry has had two or more shots in 8 straight games, averaging 3.4 a game. He has also had a shot on target in each of his last 5 matches, and is 1.73 at bet365 to make it six.
In the 2026/27 Premier League table, Newcastle are 8th with 11 points from 8 games and Everton are 11th with 10 points from 8. Newcastle have scored 12 and conceded 14, Everton have scored 8 and conceded 9.
Newcastle's predicted XI for the 2 November 2026 Premier League game is Hornicek; Dedić, Schär, Burn, Hall; Willock, Joelinton, González; Murphy, Barnes, Osula. Everton's is Pickford; Röhl, Tarkowski, O'Brien, Mykolenko; Garner, Armstrong; Johnson, Dewsbury-Hall, George; Barry.