Updated 29 October 2026.
AC Milan host Inter at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 19:45 UK, and the visitors sit top of Serie A. Inter are 1st on 25 points from nine games with eight wins and a draw, and nobody has beaten them yet. AC Milan are 5th on 18 points, seven behind.
Inter score more than anybody in Serie A at 2.78 a game, while Milan average 2.00, the 5th most. Both sides have kept clean sheets in 33% of their matches, and we give both teams to score a 62% chance.
Milan lost 4-2 at home to Bologna on Wednesday. Before that they won 2-0 at Udinese, lost 3-0 at Bournemouth in the Europa League, beat Atalanta 3-2 at home and won 4-0 at Salzburg in the Europa League. Their defence concedes 1.22 a game, the 6th fewest in Serie A.
Inter have won four of their last five. They won 2-0 at Venezia on Wednesday, 2-1 against Fiorentina before that, and beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 in the Champions League. The one defeat was a 3-4 home loss to Club Brugge in the Champions League, and they followed it with a 3-1 win at Bologna. They have won seven of their last ten.
Inter lead Serie A in shots on target at 7.11 a game, and they win plenty of corners, the 5th most. Milan take just 3.00 corners a game, the fewest in Serie A. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 78% of Inter's games, the 2nd highest rate in the division, and in 56% of Milan's.
AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Estupiñán, Tomori, De Winter, Pavlović; Jashari, Musah; Hutchinson, Bartesaghi, Cissè; Ramos
Inter possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Bisseck, Bastoni, Carlos Augusto; Stanković, Zieliński, Sučić, Diouf, Dimarco; Thuram, Bonny
Marcus Thuram has had two or more shots in eight straight games, averaging 4 a game, and a shot on target in seven in a row. Another shot on target is 1.33 at Ladbrokes.
Piotr Zieliński has had at least one shot in eight consecutive games, averaging 1.6, and he's 1.25 at Ladbrokes to make it nine.
Ange-Yoan Bonny has had two or more shots in each of his last five games in all competitions, with three shots in three of them. Two or more shots is 1.35 at Ladbrokes.
For Milan, Strahinja Pavlović has made two or more tackles in four straight games and averages 2.3, and he's 1.62 at bet365 to do it again. Pervis Estupiñán has made at least one tackle in each of his last five, including four against Bologna, and is 1.33 at bet365 for another.
We make Inter the likeliest winners at 50%, with AC Milan at 26% and the draw at 24%, and Inter are 2.00 at bet365. 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline, so a draw is in play.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan to win | 3.50 (bet365) | 26% |
| Draw | 3.80 (midnite) | 24% |
| Inter to win | 2.00 (bet365) | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 (bet365) | 61% |
We project Inter at 1.85 goals and 5.48 shots on target against Milan's 1.29 and 4.16. Both teams score in 62% of our simulations and there are three or more goals in 61%. Inter keep a clean sheet in 28% and Milan in 16%.
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, at 11%, with 1-2 next at about 10%. We make Inter more likely to win than Milan, 50% to 26%.
Prediction: AC Milan 1-1 Inter
AC Milan vs Inter in Serie A 2026/27 kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Inter are 1st on 25 points from nine games, while AC Milan are 5th on 18 points.
We predict AC Milan 1-1 Inter in Serie A 2026/27 on 31 October, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, though we make Inter more likely to win, at 50% to 26% for AC Milan, with the draw at 24%. A 1-2 away win is next at about 10%.
Inter are favourites to win at AC Milan in Serie A 2026/27 on 31 October, and we give them a 50% chance, against 26% for AC Milan and 24% for a draw. Inter have won eight and drawn one of their nine league games and are unbeaten.
We give both teams to score in AC Milan vs Inter in Serie A 2026/27 a 62% chance, and over 2.5 goals a 61% chance. Both teams have scored in 67% of the league games of AC Milan and of Inter, each the 4th highest rate in Serie A.
Inter are 1st in Serie A 2026/27 on 25 points from nine games, with eight wins, one draw and no defeats, and AC Milan are 5th on 18 points, seven behind, before their meeting on 31 October. AC Milan have won five, drawn three and lost one.
Ahead of Inter's trip to AC Milan on 31 October, Marcus Thuram has had two or more shots in 8 straight games and a shot on target in 7, while Piotr Zieliński has had at least one shot in 8 in a row. Ange-Yoan Bonny has had two or more shots in each of his last five games.
For the 19:45 UK kick-off on 31 October 2026, AC Milan's possible starting lineup is Maignan; Estupiñán, Tomori, De Winter, Pavlović; Jashari, Musah; Hutchinson, Bartesaghi, Cissè; Ramos. Inter's possible starting lineup is Provedel; Bisseck, Bastoni, Carlos Augusto; Stanković, Zieliński, Sučić, Diouf, Dimarco; Thuram, Bonny.