Finland vs San Marino Predictions and Betting Tips

Updated 13 November 2026.

Finland host San Marino at the Bolt Arena on Sunday 15 November, with kick-off at 17:00 UK, in UEFA Nations League League C. Finland have scored 9 and conceded 4 in five matches, while San Marino arrive with one goal scored, 18 conceded and no points.

The sides have already met this season. San Marino 0-7 Finland on 26 September was the first of the five Nations League games each side has played so far.

How the teams arrive

Finland are 3rd in their League C group in the UEFA Nations League table, with 7 points from five games: two wins, a draw and two defeats. They have lost their last two, Albania 2-0 Finland on Thursday and Belarus 1-0 Finland on 6 October, both away games. Before that came Finland 2-1 Albania and a 0-0 draw with Belarus at home.

Finland average 1.8 goals a game, the 11th most in the competition, and concede 0.8, the 17th fewest. They have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games, and both teams have scored in only 20% of them, the 12th lowest rate. Their shots on target average is 3.8 a game, the 23rd fewest.

San Marino are 4th in the group with 0 points. They have lost all five, including a 0-2 home defeat to Belarus on Thursday, 2-1 away to Albania, 4-0 away to Belarus and 0-3 at home to Albania. They concede 3.6 goals a game, the most in the competition, and score 0.2, the 4th fewest. They have not kept a clean sheet this season.

Matches involving San Marino have gone over 2.5 goals 80% of the time, the 3rd highest rate in the competition, with four of their five games producing three goals or more. Finland's games have done so 40% of the time. San Marino also average 3 cards a game, the 5th most.

Predicted lineups

Finland possible starting lineup:
Hradecky; Keskinen, Ståhl, Ivanov, Koski, Mahuta; Jensen, Markhiev, Walta; Källman, Antman

San Marino possible starting lineup:
Colombo; Giocondi, Fabbri, Pasolini, Benvenuti; Zannoni, Capicchioni, Balda; Lazzari; Nanni, Capicchioni

Match Leaders

Players to watch

Leo Walta has had at least one shot in five straight games for Finland, averaging 3 a game across the run, and has made a tackle in three straight. Adam Markhiev has won at least one tackle in five straight, at 2.6 a game.

For San Marino, Lorenzo Capicchioni has had a shot in four straight games at 2.3 a game, and Nicola Nanni has done so in three straight at 2 a game. Simone Giocondi has made a tackle in four in a row, averaging 2.

What to expect

Finland have the better record this season, and won the reverse fixture 7-0 in San Marino. San Marino have lost all five games, scored once and conceded at least two in every one of them.

San Marino score 0.2 goals a game, the 4th fewest in the competition, and Finland have kept a clean sheet in two of their five. San Marino's 1.8 shots on target a game is the 6th fewest in the competition, and their 2.4 corners a game is the 6th fewest. At the other end, they have conceded 3.6 goals a game, the most of any side.

Both teams have scored in 20% of Finland's games and 20% of San Marino's, the 12th lowest rate in the competition for each. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of San Marino's games and 40% of Finland's.

Finland vs San Marino Questions

What time is Finland vs San Marino?

Finland vs San Marino kicks off at 17:00 UK on Sunday 15 November 2026 at the Bolt Arena, in UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League C. Finland won the reverse fixture 7-0 in San Marino on 26 September.

Who is favourite in Finland vs San Marino?

Finland are the stronger side in Finland vs San Marino in UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League C: 3rd in their group on 7 points from 5 games, against San Marino's 4th on 0 points. Finland have scored 9 goals and conceded 4, while San Marino have scored 1 and conceded 18.

Will both teams score in Finland vs San Marino?

In Finland vs San Marino, UEFA Nations League 2026/27, both teams have scored in only 20% of Finland's 5 games and 20% of San Marino's, the 12th lowest rate in the competition for each. San Marino have scored just 1 goal in 5 games, the 4th fewest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Finland vs San Marino?

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of San Marino's 5 UEFA Nations League 2026/27 games ahead of Finland vs San Marino, the 3rd highest rate in the competition, because they concede 3.6 a game. Finland's own games have gone over 2.5 goals in 40% of their 5.

Which Finland players are on a run before San Marino?

Before Finland vs San Marino in UEFA Nations League 2026/27, Leo Walta has had at least 1 shot in 5 straight games for Finland, averaging 3 a game, and Adam Markhiev has made at least 1 tackle in 5 straight, averaging 2.6. For San Marino, Lorenzo Capicchioni has a shot in 4 straight.

Where do Finland and San Marino sit in their Nations League group?

Ahead of Finland vs San Marino, Finland are 3rd in their UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League C group with 7 points from 5 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats). San Marino are 4th with 0 points, having lost all 5, scoring 1 and conceding 18.

What are the predicted lineups for Finland vs San Marino?

Predicted lineups for Finland vs San Marino in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Sunday 15 November 2026: Finland may start Hradecky; Keskinen, Ståhl, Ivanov, Koski, Mahuta; Jensen, Markhiev, Walta; Källman, Antman. San Marino may start Colombo; Giocondi, Fabbri, Pasolini, Benvenuti; Zannoni, Capicchioni, Balda; Lazzari; Nanni, Capicchioni.

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