Updated 26 October 2026.
Unión Santa Fe host Estudiantes at Estadio 15 de Abril on Monday 26 October, kick-off 10pm UK, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura. The league leaders arrive with the best defence in the division, while the hosts have one of the leakiest.
Estudiantes sit 1st on 31 points from 16 games, with only 7 goals conceded. Unión are 8th on 21 points, and they play in a way that produces goals at both ends: they have the 2nd highest rate for both teams scoring and the highest for over 2.5 goals. We lean slightly towards the hosts at 38%, though 1-1 is the likeliest single score.
Unión Santa Fe come into this on a poor run. They have lost four of their last five in the league and only the latest game broke the pattern, a 1-1 draw at Deportivo Riestra. Before that came a 0-2 home defeat to Defensa y Justicia and a 0-3 loss at Boca Juniors. They sit 8th on 21 points with five wins, six draws and five defeats, and a goal difference of +4.
Unión score the 3rd most per game at 1.42, and they have the 5th most shots on target at 4.9 a game. At the back they concede 1.45 a game, the 2nd most in the division, and their clean sheet rate of 16% is the lowest. Both teams have scored in 61% of their matches, the 2nd highest figure, and 58% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest.
Estudiantes are 1st in the Clausura table on 31 points, with nine wins, four draws and three defeats. Their goals record is 19 for and 7 against, and they concede the fewest per game in the division. They have kept a clean sheet in 43% of games, and only 27% of their matches have seen both teams score, the lowest in the division.
Their latest game was a 0-0 at Flamengo on Friday in the Copa Libertadores, which followed a 1-2 home loss to San Lorenzo, and before that came a 0-0 with Flamengo at home. They have one win in their last five in all competitions, but they still have the 2nd most shots on target in the league at 5.1 a game. Having played in the Libertadores three days earlier, they now face a short turnaround.
Unión Santa Fe possible starting lineup:
Mansilla; Rubio, Rocha, Ludueña, Mosqueira; Ayala, Peresutti, Palacios; Cuello, Estigarribia, Tarragona
Estudiantes possible starting lineup:
Muslera; Mancuso, González Pírez, Rojo, Benedetti; Sosa, Monsalve, Palacios; Fabricio Pérez, Cetré, Alario
Cristian Tarragona, the Unión striker, has committed 2+ fouls in 11 straight games, averaging 2.5 a game across the run. He is 1.57 at midnite for fouls in this one.
Juan Pablo Ludueña, the centre-back, has made at least one tackle in 16 straight games, averaging 2.2 a game.
Fabricio Pérez has had a shot in five straight games for Estudiantes, and the winger averages 2.2 a game across the run. He is 1.11 at bet365 for a shot.
Edwuin Cetré, the left winger, has hit the target in three straight and is 1.83 at ladbrokes to do so again.
We make Unión Santa Fe the narrow favourites at 38%, and the best price on them is 2.70 at bet365. Estudiantes are 34% with a top price of 2.88 at boylesports, and the draw is 28% at 3.20 with ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Unión Santa Fe win | 2.70 (bet365) | 38% |
| Draw | 3.20 (ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Estudiantes win | 2.88 (boylesports) | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 (bet365) | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 (midnite) | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 (bet365) | 48% |
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Unión slightly more likely to win the match at 38%. We project 1.34 goals for Unión and 1.24 for Estudiantes. A 1-0 home win is next at 10%, then a 1-0 win for Estudiantes at 9% and a 2-1 home win at 8%. We give both teams to score 53%, between a home side that rarely keeps a clean sheet and a visiting defence that rarely concedes.
On the player markets, Tarragona is 1.57 for fouls, Cetré 1.83 for a shot on target and Fabricio Pérez 1.11 for a shot.
Kick-off is at 10pm UK time on Monday 26 October 2026 at Estadio 15 de Abril, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol Clausura.
We predict a 1-1 draw. It is the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Unión Santa Fe slightly more likely to win the match at 38%, against 34% for Estudiantes and 28% for the draw.
Unión Santa Fe, narrowly. The best price on them is 2.70 at bet365, with Estudiantes at 2.88 at boylesports and the draw at 3.20 with ladbrokes.
Our model gives it 53%, and the best price is 1.91 at bet365. Both teams have scored in 61% of Unión's games, but only 27% of Estudiantes' matches.
Estudiantes are 1st on 31 points from 16 games. Unión Santa Fe are 8th on 21 points from 16.
Cristian Tarragona has committed 2+ fouls in 11 straight games, and Juan Pablo Ludueña has made a tackle in 16 straight.
Unión Santa Fe: Mansilla; Rubio, Rocha, Ludueña, Mosqueira; Ayala, Peresutti, Palacios; Cuello, Estigarribia, Tarragona. Estudiantes: Muslera; Mancuso, González Pírez, Rojo, Benedetti; Sosa, Monsalve, Palacios; Fabricio Pérez, Cetré, Alario.