Updated 23 October 2026.
Palmeiras host Bragantino at Allianz Parque on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 22:30 UK, with the league's best defence on show. Palmeiras sit 2nd on 66 points from 31 games, 19 wins and just three defeats. Bragantino are 10th on 41 points, having lost 12 times.
The home side have conceded 22 league goals all season and kept a clean sheet in 45% of their games, the highest rate in the division. Bragantino have scored 39 and conceded 36 in their 31 games.
Palmeiras have had a busy week in two competitions. They lost 1-0 at home to Fluminense on Thursday in the Copa Libertadores, after four straight wins: a 2-0 league win at Athletico PR, a 2-1 win in the first leg at Fluminense, a 4-1 win over Corinthians and a 1-0 win over Bahia.
Palmeiras average 1.74 league goals a game, the 2nd most, and concede 0.71, the fewest. They win the 3rd most corners in the division and have the 8th most shots on target, at 5.10 a game.
Bragantino have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten. The latest was a 1-1 at Remo on Sunday, preceded by a 4-2 home win over Cruzeiro and a 1-1 draw with Mirassol. Before that came a 1-0 loss at Atlético-MG and a 2-1 defeat at Flamengo.
Bragantino have the 3rd most shots on target in the league at 5.42 a game and the 2nd most corners at 5.97. Their cards, 2.81 a game, are the 3rd most.
Palmeiras possible starting lineup:
Carlos Miguel; Giay, Gómez, Murilo, Barboza; Freitas, Evangelista, Arthur Gabriel; Mauricio, Sosa, López
Bragantino possible starting lineup:
Volpi; Guzmán Rodríguez, Alix, Gabriel, Juninho Capixaba; Fabinho, Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva; Lucas Barbosa, Eduardo Sasha, Wallace Yan; Fernando
Mauricio has had at least one shot in 19 straight league games, averaging 1.9 a game, and the run ranks 4th in the competition. He is 1.03 at bet365 to make it 20.
Fernando has had three or more shots in seven straight games, a run that ranks 1st in the competition, and he averages 4.6 a game across his 18 appearances. Three or more shots is 2.20 at bet365. He has had 26 shots in his last five games, an average of 5.2.
José Manuel López has had a shot in ten straight games and averages 2.8 a game, while Lucas Barbosa has had two or more shots in nine in a row, at 1.67 with bet365.
Wallace Yan has put a shot on target in six straight games, and one more is 1.65 at Ladbrokes. At the back, Alexander Barboza has made two or more tackles in each of his last five, which is 1.80 at bet365.
We back Palmeiras, who are 1.57 at Ladbrokes to win. Bragantino are 6.25 at bet365 and the draw is 4.20 at Ladbrokes. Both teams to score is 1.80 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.70.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras win | 1.57 | 60% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 24% |
| Bragantino win | 6.25 | 16% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 51% |
We project Palmeiras at 1.86 goals to Bragantino's 0.87 and give them a 42% chance of a clean sheet. 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 12%, with 2-0 and 1-0 close behind, though we make Palmeiras 60% to win against 24% for the draw. Our prediction is Palmeiras 1-1 Bragantino.
Mauricio's shot run is 1.03 at bet365, Fernando's three-plus shots is 2.20, and Barbosa for two or more shots is 1.67.
Kick-off at Allianz Parque is 22:30 UK on Saturday 24 October 2026.
We predict 1-1 as the likeliest single scoreline, though we make Palmeiras 60% to win, with the draw at 24% and Bragantino 16%.
Palmeiras are the favourites at 1.57 with Ladbrokes. Bragantino are 6.25 at bet365 and the draw is 4.20 at Ladbrokes.
We give both teams to score a 50% chance and it is 1.80 at bet365. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and 1.70 at bet365.
Mauricio has had at least one shot in 19 straight league games, a run that ranks 4th in the competition.
Palmeiras are 2nd on 66 points from 31 games. Bragantino are 10th on 41 points.
Palmeiras: Carlos Miguel; Giay, Gómez, Murilo, Barboza; Freitas, Evangelista, Arthur Gabriel; Mauricio, Sosa, López. Bragantino: Volpi; Guzmán Rodríguez, Alix, Gabriel, Juninho Capixaba; Fabinho, Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva; Lucas Barbosa, Eduardo Sasha, Wallace Yan; Fernando.