Updated 23 October 2026.
Portland Timbers host Charlotte at Providence Park in Major League Soccer, with kick-off at 02:30 UK on Sunday 25 October (Saturday evening local time). The Timbers sit 11th in the Western Conference and are winless in seven, while Charlotte arrive 5th in the Eastern Conference. Both teams have scored in 73% of Portland's games and 70% of Charlotte's.
Portland are 11th in the Western Conference on 34 points from 30 games, with nine wins, seven draws and 14 defeats, and 51 goals scored against 56 conceded. They drew 0-0 with Colorado at home in their latest game, lost 2-0 at LA Galaxy, and drew 3-3 at Sporting KC. Before that came a 3-1 defeat at San Jose. They have won one of their last ten and none of the last seven.
At the back they have let in 1.87 goals a game, the 8th most in MLS, and they keep a clean sheet in just 7% of matches, the 3rd lowest. Both teams have scored in 73% of their games, the 5th highest rate in MLS. They also commit the 2nd fewest fouls in MLS at 9.63 a game.
Charlotte are 5th in the Eastern Conference on 47 points, with 13 wins, eight draws and nine defeats, and 53 goals scored against 45 conceded. Their latest results are a 2-2 draw at Philadelphia, a 3-1 loss at Columbus, a 3-2 home win over Dallas and a 1-0 home loss to Chicago Fire. Over their last ten they have won five, drawn three and lost two. They score 1.77 a game, the 9th most in MLS, and concede 1.5, the 12th fewest. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games, the 7th highest rate, and 70% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 6th highest.
Portland Timbers possible starting lineup:
Pantemis; Hernández, Miller, Waterman, Fory; Chará, Iziota; Da Costa, Fernandez, Velde; Janssen
Charlotte possible starting lineup:
Kahlina; Byrne, Kessler, Morrison, Schnegg; Westwood, Diani; Aloko, Biel, Saint-Maximin; Toklomati
Kristoffer Velde has had at least one shot in 29 straight games, averaging 3.3 a game. He is 1.03 at bet365 to make it 30.
Allan Saint-Maximin has put a shot on target in seven straight games for Charlotte and has had three or more shots in five in a row, averaging 3.4. He is 1.57 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target and 1.67 at Midnite for three or more shots.
Vincent Janssen has had a shot in seven straight games, averaging 1.7, and is 1.02 at bet365 to extend that.
Ashley Westwood has had a shot in three in a row and is 1.80 at bet365 for another.
Eric Iziota has had a shot in each of his three appearances, averaging 1.33 a game, and is 1.25 at bet365 to carry that on.
We back Portland Timbers, who are 2.01 to win at bet365. We give them a 51% chance, with the draw at 23% and a Charlotte win at 26%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 2.01 (bet365) | 51% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 23% |
| Charlotte win | 3.20 (bet365) | 26% |
| Both teams to score | 1.33 (bet365) | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 69% |
We project Portland to score 2.09 goals and Charlotte 1.49, with Portland having 17.95 shots to Charlotte's 12.70. Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 10%, though we make Portland 51% to win overall and 2-1 (9%) is close behind. Both teams to score comes in at 69% and a clean sheet looks unlikely for either side, 23% for Portland and 12% for Charlotte.
Statz prediction: Portland Timbers 1-1 Charlotte.
Kick-off is at 02:30 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Providence Park, which is Saturday evening local time.
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 10%, though we make Portland Timbers 51% to win, the draw 23% and Charlotte 26%.
Portland Timbers are favourites at 2.01 with bet365, with Charlotte 3.20 and the draw 4.00.
We give both teams to score a 69% chance. It has happened in 73% of Portland's games and 70% of Charlotte's, and bet365 price it at 1.33.
Kristoffer Velde has had a shot in 29 straight games for Portland, and Allan Saint-Maximin has had a shot on target in seven straight for Charlotte.
Charlotte are 5th in the Eastern Conference on 47 points and Portland Timbers are 11th in the Western Conference on 34 points, after 30 games each.
Portland: Pantemis; Hernández, Miller, Waterman, Fory; Chará, Iziota; Da Costa, Fernandez, Velde; Janssen. Charlotte: Kahlina; Byrne, Kessler, Morrison, Schnegg; Westwood, Diani; Aloko, Biel, Saint-Maximin; Toklomati.